gwern

14 ms·

181.
by gwern 8mo ago
It seems like the lesson of vibecoding et al is that you want to disable pulls for code but you want to keep them for bugs, test-cases, and requirements . Because that is now what is scarce. You want people to keep contributing things li
182.
by gwern 8mo ago
Previously discussed (and criticized) at https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46722853
183.
by gwern 9mo ago
Thanks for the LLM comment, but that's dumb. If the problem really was as bad with humans (it obviously is not), then OP wouldn't've happened: > For most of the articles Pangram flagged as written by GenAI, nearly every c
184.
by gwern 9mo ago
I don't get it. Embeddings don't prioritize, or even necessarily encode, truth value as a dimension. And even if they did, if you simply accept based on some hyperparameter of distance, it sounds like this procedure just leaves yo
185.
by gwern 9mo ago
OK, this is AI slop ("fracture" alone gives it away). But maybe there's still something of value here? Can you explain it in actual human terms, give a real example, and explain what you did to test this and why I shouldn&#x2
186.
by gwern 9mo ago
A discount they get to set on a subset of miles of their choice may just be a marketing expense for an insurance startup which makes losses and relies on VC capital and needs growth: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lemona
187.
by gwern 9mo ago
(To stop being lazy, the 2020 reference is: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25426329 )
188.
by gwern 9mo ago
> E.g. gemini-3-pro tops the lmarena text chart today at 1488 vs 1346 for gpt-4o-2024-05-13. That's a win rate of 70% (where 50% is equal chance of winning) over 1.5 years. Meanwhile, even the open weights stuff OpenAI gave away las
189.
by gwern 9mo ago
Hm... I think I would predict that it would depend on speed because querying prices reveals information, but not accepting also reveals information, so I would expect that it would go up initially due to an expected shortage, but then when
190.
by gwern 9mo ago
Well, whichever one checked first, the point still holds. Checking is not a free operation and you should expect it to have consequences and it to affect Uber's demand forecasts etc., and affect other price quotes. You do not have in
191.
by gwern 9mo ago
Not going far enough - why would applications be written in either 'systems languages' or 'agent languages' if you have superintelligence too cheap to meter and you will amortize the costs over more than, say, a few da
192.
by gwern 9mo ago
> Who knows why? I’m usually more willing to spend than she is, and I bet that's represented on my user profile. I was paying with a gift card, which surely contributes. Maybe it was a price scraping update, comparison shopping dete
193.
by gwern 9mo ago
> It's like how software engineers who are at Google are worse if they're better competitive programmers. That's not true. It didn't replicate and Norvig has said as much somewhere on HN, IIRC. (I also agree with the
194.
by gwern 9mo ago
> I mean, its open source so people can create benchmark and independently verify if the AI was wrong and then have the claims be passed to the author. Thank you for volunteering. I look forward to your results.
195.
by gwern 9mo ago
It makes no sense because it's some degree of AI slop: https://reddit.com/r/selfhosted/comments/1qi64pr/i_got_into_... Note that he doesn't quite say, when asked pointblank how much AI he used
196.
by gwern 9mo ago
Also of interest: https://dbohdan.com/kaur
197.
by gwern 9mo ago
There's also severe selection effects: what documents have been preserved, printed, and scanned because they turned out to be on the right track towards relativity?
198.
by gwern 9mo ago
I think my take away is that you are seeing mostly mode-collapse here. There is a high consistency across all of the supposedly different personalities (higher than the naive count would indicate - remember the stochastic nature of response
199.
by gwern 9mo ago
Writing or tweaking plugins is great, but it's not a paradigm shift (and risks a lot more toil because now you have to be your own PM or deal with patches/merges, on top of being a reference librarian and copyeditor etc). I feel l
200.
by gwern 9mo ago
No, but I haven't been following the space. (I suspect that with Claude Code-level coding agents, you should be able to do something amazing that thoroughly obsoletes Obsidian/Roam/org-mode, but I don't actually know of
201.
by gwern 9mo ago
Yes, and PKMs in general. Like labeling your emails by topic in Gmail. The problem is that the 'toil' keeps piling up, while the value gained is increasingly hard to see. I have a little rant about it - "‘Tools for thought’ w
202.
by gwern 9mo ago
The conclusion here seems largely unjustified by the data and indeed is difficult to relate to simple distributions or statistics: > Increasingly, public institutions seem to exist to manage the obsessions of a tiny number of neurotic—an
203.
by gwern 9mo ago
> is not related to predicting what is possible with greater scale. If they can't predict new emergence, then 'explaining' old emergence by post hoc prediction with bizarre newly-invented metrics would seem to be irreleva
204.
by gwern 9mo ago
> I thought people recognized that they don't appear out of nowhere. I don't think that paper is widely accepted. Have you seen the authors of that paper, or anyone else, use it to successfully predict (rather than postdict) an
205.
by gwern 9mo ago
1. You put a lot of time into an intern or a junior too. 2. I didn't say 'paid', I said, 'fully loaded [total] cost'. The total cost of them goes far beyond their mere salary - the search process like all of the i
206.
by gwern 9mo ago
> So he's spent $51k on tokens in 3 months to build what exactly? Tools to enable you to spend more money on tokens? Sounds like that's more than a junior or an intern that would have cost twice as much in fully loaded cost.
207.
by gwern 9mo ago
Or the cherries could be a delicious pastry or PBJ-like treat: _Collect Horse Buttery Stable_...
208.
by gwern 9mo ago
(Cerebras is real hardware.)
209.
by gwern 9mo ago
Could you explain why you think that? I'm looking at the lottery ticket section and it seems like he doesn't disown it; the reason he gives, via Abhinav, for not pursuing it at his commercial job is just that that kind of sparsi
210.
Typesetting Poetry in HTML(gwern.net)
7 points by gwern 9mo ago|0 comments

More ›