full_monty

4 ms·

1. 1.▲
   by full_monty 3y ago

   Yes. If Monty opens the door by chance there are 3 equally likely cases: There's a 1/3 chance you picked the car and Monty shows you a goat, 1/3 chance you picked a goat and Monty shows you the other goat, 1/3 chance you
2. 2.▲
   by full_monty 3y ago

   I never understood why the 1000 door version was more intuitive. Here's how I understand it. There's 1/3 chance of picking the car. 1/3 of the time you pick the car, switch, and lose. 2/3 of the time you pick a goat
3. 3.▲
   by full_monty 3y ago

   I think I have a simple explanation. There's 1/3 chance of picking the car. 1/3 of the time you pick the car, switch and lose. 2/3 of the time you pick a goat, switch and win. Why? Because 2/3 of the time you picked