etienneb

4 ms·

1. 1.▲
   Learning a meaningful and useful representation of data using Wolfram Language(blog.wolfram.com)

   3 points by etienneb 10y ago|0 comments
2. 2.▲
   by etienneb 12y ago

   indeed ;)
3. 3.▲
   by etienneb 12y ago

   Unfortunately for Italy, it did not have very good match records before the world cup, and was thus not in the top 10 of the previous post ( http://blog.wolfram.com/2014/06/20/predicting-who-will-win-t... ).
4. 4.▲
   by etienneb 12y ago

   The figure was outdated. It has been fixed now.
5. 5.▲
   by etienneb 12y ago

   Indeed, it would be interesting to add more features. However, for international games, I saw that it was quite hard to improve accuracy beyond what I already have. One other approach would be to create alternative ranking systems (modified
6. 6.▲
   by etienneb 12y ago

   They are quite different indeed. It would be interesting to compare, at the end of the tournament, the likelihoods of both models on all matches. This would give a pretty good idea on how good were the models.
7. 7.▲
   by etienneb 12y ago

   Indeed you are right, the figure showing the "chance to reach, chance to knock-out" was accidentally an outdated one (from a test simulation with a lower number of trials). The real figure will be updated soon. They are quite clos
8. 8.▲
   World Cup Follow-Up: Update of Winning Probabilities and Betting Results(blog.wolfram.com)

   206 points by etienneb 12y ago|76 comments