esja

87 ms·

1. 271.▲
   by esja 6y ago

   Stories like this one, plus the recent IPO rush, the Tesla spike, and the frenzied day-trading of twenty-somethings on Robinhood reminds me a LOT of 1999... The difference in 2020 is that by now everyone has decades of very strong evidence
2. 272.▲
   by esja 6y ago

   Not if they are using parallel construction: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parallel_construction
3. 273.▲
   by esja 6y ago

   Harris is a nice example of why "smart people" need to be very careful. Being "smart" in this sense usually also means you are very good at rationalising your beliefs.
4. 274.▲
   by esja 6y ago

   Your first paragraph describes the Gell-Mann Amnesia Effect: https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/65213-briefly-stated-the-ge...
5. 275.▲
   by esja 6y ago

   You're welcome! It's possible you were right, if we can interpret the "attack" as being purely intended to undermine the original argument. I just didn't personally interpret it that way... it looked more like a sid
6. 276.▲
   by esja 6y ago

   And to do the job effectively they probably need 100x or 1000x that number.
7. 277.▲
   by esja 6y ago

   It's not just the corporations and the elites. It's the people working at these companies, and that includes many HN contributors. Would they vote en masse to form a Union to stop these issues arising in the first place? Personall
8. 278.▲
   by esja 6y ago

   Leaving aside the obvious horrors exposed by this letter... one of the buried ledes here is the internal confirmation that AI-driven moderation has failed, and the implication that FB will have to spend significantly more money on human bei
9. 279.▲
   by esja 6y ago

   Quite close but generally ad hominem would be: "You are an awful person and therefore your argument is wrong". The second piece is missing here.
10. 280.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    "What Andy giveth, Bill taketh away". https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andy_and_Bill%27s_law
11. 281.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    Population - Country - Deaths 60,427,888 - Italy - 731 65,328,048 - France - 506 68,021,208 - UK - 213 37,831,020 - Poland - 357 8,678,393 - Switzerland - 72 83,783,942 - Germany - 257 11,608,351 - Belgium - 195 Look at the map. These are r
12. 282.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    I don't remember it being quite so bad in the nineties. It feels like a "medium is the message" type of effect where textual communication has become predominant even in the mainstream (no longer just usenet flamewars), and p
13. 283.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    I accept your point re Germany. It's not materially worse there right now. But back to the original argument. How are the UK, France, Poland and Italy doing? Those are big European countries. UK: 213 deaths France: 506 deaths Poland: 3
14. 284.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    I happen to agree but now you're making a different argument, which is that Bannon was not being literal, but that such speech is dangerous anyway because of the sorts of people who might take it literally (as you did). It's har
15. 285.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    It is absolutely not 2x better than the USA. They had 196 deaths today which is equivalent to 772 in the USA, where there were 740 deaths yesterday. It's very easy to look up other countries e.g. Czechia where things are far worse.
16. 286.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    Something strange seems to have happened to America in the past ten or so years. People seem to have become hyper-literal and unable to detect any sarcasm, hyperbole, etc. I wonder whether this is due to spending more and more time communic
17. 287.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    I listened to the podcast in question and the following one where he elaborated further. It was very clearly not intended to be taken literally. It was no different to the sorts of things you hear in pubs when people are talking about footb
18. 288.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    Bannon didn't literally call for Fauci to be beheaded. He was using a fairly old-fashioned figure of speech to call for Fauci to be fired and for an example to be made of him. If that sort of comment warrants a ban, half the sports fan
19. 289.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    "Beginning" means from the moment I conceived the idea in my mind. Again, please try interpreting things charitably, otherwise you will make poor assumptions and end up arguing against your own imagination. If you re-read this thr
20. 290.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    Assertions aren't arguments, and I've already addressed that comment. Switzerland had 142 deaths in the past 24 hours. That is FOUR OR FIVE TIMES the number of daily per capita deaths in the USA at the moment. It is perfectly reas
21. 291.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    I've been using daily deaths per capita and all the examples are correct by that metric. Switzerland today: - 4560 lab confirmed cases - 19'495 tests - 23,4% positivity rate - 299 hospitalised - 142 deaths That's equivalent
22. 292.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    I did not "redefine" or "reframe" anything. From the beginning I chose to use recent daily deaths per capita as my measure of how badly a country is being hit by COVID "right now". It is true that my first resp
23. 293.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    Only by the least charitable interpretation of the point I am making. There's nothing wrong with using the current death rate per capita as a proxy for the problems a country is experiencing "right now". Which is the context
24. 294.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    Over the past few weeks (i.e. right now), the number of deaths per capita in the European country I live in is far higher than the number of deaths per capita in the USA. Some of the best hospitals on Earth are running out of ICU beds. My c
25. 295.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    We're just discussing different things. I'm talking about the number of deaths occurring right now in Europe, as a response to the original comment I replied to. You've added a lot of context about the number of cases and wha
26. 296.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    Europes daily deaths per head of population are currently much higher than the US. See my comment & links above.
27. 297.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    Germany is basically the best case for Europe and had 199 deaths today, with a quarter the population of the US (who had 485 deaths). * 506 deaths in France (a fifth of the US population) * 213 in the UK (equiv. to 1000/day in the US)
28. 298.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    It's not false at all. The key words are "right now". You are including numbers from months ago.
29. 299.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    Why the downvotes? This is a factual description of the current situation in Europe, i.e. what is happening right now.
30. 300.▲
    by esja 6y ago

    You completely ignored the current situation in Europe, which is what I was referring to.