ericmay

77 ms·

451.
by ericmay 2mo ago
Well you still don't seem to understand this general topic haha so ask away! In the US at least and western militaries as far as I'm aware, combined arms operations are coordinated between branches. The Air Force doesn't have
452.
by ericmay 2mo ago
> I am not sure what you mean by this `Well that's a bad example because a UI isn't a model.`. Sorry I thought you were talking about the actual UIs of the model providers (desktop apps for example), not whether or not they wil
453.
by ericmay 2mo ago
Circling back to where this began... > The claim above is that neither side has experience that's all that relevant to the type of conflict we'd expect in a China/US conflict. This is a factually incorrect statement. I&#x2
454.
by ericmay 2mo ago
> Uh yes they did Not really > In other words, there are other relevant variables than just combat experience...? Yes? Nobody argued otherwise. > "We're actively learning lessons in Ukraine" → Yet somehow our Patriot
455.
by ericmay 2mo ago
> No active American servicemember has fought a near-peer adversary lmao You don't need to fight China to get experience fighting. The skills and experience translate. Plus America is getting direct experience with Chinese and Russi
456.
by ericmay 2mo ago
> After all, they had tons and tons of combined arms, counterinsurgency, and standoff experience. Way more combat experience than Ukraine did. They didn't have more combat experience than Ukraine though, never mind the additional pr
457.
by ericmay 2mo ago
Don't humans fail in the same way too, broadly speaking? Wouldn't it depend on how you categorize failure? If a Waymo failed because it missed a stop sign, and then another Waymo failed because it was confused about some strange m
458.
by ericmay 2mo ago
> 1) The American companies had not run up debts in the $100bn range. How are Chinese companies financing their buildouts of AI infrastructure? > 2) If there was an open source business model that could create $100bn companies or pay
459.
by ericmay 2mo ago
Well that's a bad example because a UI isn't a model. But if you hold that it's true that returns compound and that they do so for intelligence/performance for AI models, then having the lead matters quite a bit and even
460.
by ericmay 2mo ago
> Your statement was about what you think America can do, but not about what it has proven to do already. Sorry that's nonsense. You can't simultaneously project a hypothetical Chinese capability that it hasn't proven it c
461.
by ericmay 2mo ago
That is factually incorrect then if that's the claim. The US has that experience.
462.
by ericmay 2mo ago
Ok so let me explain something to you as I think you might be a little new to the military or military theory, combat, &c. Militaries need to train in order to test systems, test weapons, gain experience, and be able to generally perfor
463.
by ericmay 2mo ago
I think that's a separate question from the validity of real-life combat experience that American (and other) forces are gaining that Chinese forces lack, with respect to the OP.
464.
by ericmay 2mo ago
Dropping bombs and evading live anti-aircraft fire is of limited applicability? Are you sure you're not confusing combined arms exercises that the US has, and continues to engage in (Venezuela comes to mind recently) with your personal
465.
by ericmay 2mo ago
I don't think so because China would not be sure what and how the US would be involved and because it would be incredibly risky to attack Taiwan without striking US forces in the area they'll likely attempt to strike US forces i
466.
by ericmay 2mo ago
This applies to open-source evangelists and developers too.
467.
by ericmay 2mo ago
> This is wishcasting. People are raising the alarm because models like GLM-5.2 and Kimi K3 have already displaced demand for frontier models in highly demanding fields like security research. There's no amount of money that you can
468.
by ericmay 2mo ago
No they won't. They'll offer far superior models at a premium price and they'll capture most of the profits similar to iPhone versus the Android manufacturers. US companies will also release open source models and lower-cost
469.
by ericmay 2mo ago
> In a world where open-weight models dominate, the proprietary frontier models of Anthropic and OpenAI will find it virtually impossible to charge monopolistic pricing. Maybe they can't charge monopolistic pricing (there's a f
470.
by ericmay 2mo ago
What was the lesson learned? I’m guessing they didn’t care whether or not the OP knew the answer, they just wanted to see how they solved the problem and cramming for the test is the anti-pattern because that’s what the try-hards do and you
471.
by ericmay 2mo ago
I haven’t made any incorrect assumptions. > Nobody said small waste should not be fixed, they said it wouldn’t move the needle. Ok then we agree that we should pursue eliminating small dollar waste. Which is what I’ve already said quite
472.
by ericmay 2mo ago
They’re not right though because “don’t need to worry about them” doesn’t make sense. What do you mean worry? That sounds like “we don’t need to fix small line-item waste” which I simply reject for being dumb. If I make half a million/
473.
by ericmay 2mo ago
> Then we can have a discussion about how to fix it. Ok but I am not trying, nor have I given that impression, to find individual examples of government waste and specifically fix those. As I’m repeating myself yet again… government wast
474.
by ericmay 2mo ago
The eroding of Germany as a manufacturing powerhouse is scary for the future of Europe. If it happens peacefully, well, where will the money come from to sustain these states? If it doesn't happen peacefully, what does a militaristic a
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by ericmay 2mo ago
Well I can go dig up a few examples - and then what? Are you suggesting that the government doesn't waste money on small line items?
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by ericmay 2mo ago
At the end of the day I've already stated my opinion here and I don't really have much else to say as I'm just repeating myself. I was never defending the specific claims (true or otherwise) and was defending the need to elim
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by ericmay 2mo ago
> Why not actually find out if they’re true or not? Because I don't care about those specific items and whether those specific items are true or not. What does it matter? The broader point is the government wastes money, and sometim
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by ericmay 2mo ago
> Until Trump came along and discarded those other things, several of those other things were working. Which ones were working? > Demonstrably not today you aren't, > Running out of even the wrong munitions for a fight against
479.
by ericmay 2mo ago
> Again, no, you are rather mischaracterising what I said. Ok then let's characterize it better. Are unions today a force for pushing the country forward? > you could have had by falling for Reaganite cartooned claptrap about un
480.
by ericmay 2mo ago
> You did defend the specific items, you said so explicitly, you used the word “specific” in your previous comment, your first sentence said you are now “more convinced the OP was right to point out those specific items”. I said the OP w

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