downandout

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61.
by downandout 5y ago
So building on this...many physical casinos use a manual shuffle, especially at higher limits, as bigger players tend to distrust shuffle machines. Even some online casinos with live dealers will shuffle the previous shoe on camera, manual
62.
by downandout 5y ago
So would this model be able to predict any imperfect PRNG with some degree of accuracy, or just xorshift128? For the purposes I'm thinking, even 1% accuracy above purely random would suffice.
63.
by downandout 5y ago
I think this would be a more pertinent point if the adverse event rate was higher The point is that they are intentionally doing something to water down the stats. In the minds of the vaccine hesitant, it destroys their credibility on ev
64.
by downandout 5y ago
Get a vaccine, and whether someone else has or hasn't is not anyones business. Exactly this. It either works or it doesn’t. If it does, we don’t need to worry about anyone else’s vaccine status. If it doesn’t, then people are taki
65.
by downandout 5y ago
Looks like Canada is playing this game with “number of doses administered” instead of “number of people actually vaccinated” too. I just don’t understand the propensity to try to mislead people, at least in such obvious ways. Most of thes
66.
by downandout 5y ago
If VAERS is to be believed, the odds of dying from it are about 1 in 11,000. Relative to other vaccines, that is astronomical, and is far worse than a "sore shoulder". I'm not sure it qualifies as "very few, very rar
67.
by downandout 5y ago
At the very least, I don’t understand why these are vaccine mandates and not antibody mandates. A mandate that does not take natural immunity into account is political policy that ignores science.
68.
by downandout 5y ago
It’s the best data we have on this. The CDC officially denies any causal link between the vaccine and death [1]: ”A review of available clinical information, including death certificates, autopsy, and medical records, has not establishe
69.
by downandout 5y ago
I flagged that comment for wishing me and my children dead, and this one for calling me a "dumbfuck". And nothing I have posted is FUD, nor is it anti-vaccine.
70.
by downandout 5y ago
Your comment has been flagged, but beyond that, I said nothing about being hesitant about the vaccine. I am vaccinated. I believe the mandates are flawed, largely because they don't take natural immunity into account. I have said no
71.
by downandout 5y ago
Yes, but the odds of hospitalization after vaccination (which might include permanent, life-altering injury from it) or death is 1 in 2,400. Which is precisely what my comment said.
72.
by downandout 5y ago
Vaccine mandates aren't new. No. But mandating a brand new vaccine is new. We don’t know what the long term effects are. Nothing about COVID or the way in which tyrants around the world are using it to seize new powers is normal.
73.
by downandout 5y ago
Yes, something tells me Mark Zuckerberg doesn’t spend much time in his cubicle. He also has the peace of mind of knowing that whenever he feels like it, he can have any of a number of places on campus all to himself. So going to work in a
74.
by downandout 5y ago
That is a very small and seemingly cherry picked (by the CDC) study that does not correlate with much larger studies. The study I was referring to came out of Israel, where the vaccination rate is very high and involved far more people. I
75.
by downandout 5y ago
Yes, I am aware. However, this is the best data we have. Otherwise healthy people dying or being hospitalized shortly after receiving the vaccine, of internal causes, does not necessarily prove causality but it is certainly an indicator
76.
by downandout 5y ago
For a healthy person under 35, the odds of dying or having to be hospitalized shortly after receiving the vaccine are slightly higher than the odds of dying from COVID [1]. While the odds of any of these events, including dying from COVID,
77.
by downandout 5y ago
There have been ~180 million vaccinations in the US and approximately 16,000 deaths shortly after receiving it, along with over 75,000 hospitalizations [1]. That implies the odds of dying from the vaccine are 1 in 11,250, and odds of serio
78.
by downandout 5y ago
Yes, I should have said “without the additional ” side effects of the vaccine, but I assumed everyone would understand that part of it. But you are right that I should have been more specific, because someone else responded saying that I
79.
by downandout 5y ago
Where did I say that I was surprised? I knew that most people wouldn't read the comment. Both vaccine zealots and anti-vaxxers tend to fly off the handle after reading a word or two that they disagree with and make the rest up in the
80.
by downandout 5y ago
I deleted a tweet in the comment that was an afterthought, not the comment itself. The comment itself still holds true. I am not an anti-vaxxer, and you couldn't have drawn that conclusion if you had actually read the comment. I was
81.
by downandout 5y ago
I think it's less about people being against the vaccine and more about people being against the mandates . One giant issue with them is that they completely ignore natural immunity, which over 30% of the country now has and studie
82.
by downandout 5y ago
Exactly this. I wasn't rendering any opinion on the vaccine, I was simply stating that many people consider it to be dangerous and/or unnecessary, which is why some are pushing back. Others are simply against the mandates and
83.
by downandout 5y ago
I just looked at the account...you are correct, it does seem to be a very right-leaning account, so I deleted the link. The tweet seemed credible, but given the mass-downvoting in this thread, I'll err on the side of caution. Regardl
84.
by downandout 5y ago
The most likely explanation is here [1]. Pilots (and apparently some air traffic controllers) are doing a sickout to protest vaccine mandates, presumably to make the powers that be understand just how difficult they can make things for the
85.
by downandout 5y ago
The only way to dampen the toxic impact of social media’s radical vocal minority on the real world is to create tools that help decision makers easily contrast what they are seeing there with overall sentiment in the real world. In this ca
86.
by downandout 5y ago
which would mean that FB committed illegal acts The SEC will make extremely vague allegations that Facebook misled investors by not disclosing some of these reports. Facebook will settle to avoid further reputational damage, paying large
87.
by downandout 5y ago
You are correct that Steve, like most high profile CEOs, would have been vulnerable to the cancel police. I think this is one reason that many high net worth Bitcoiners choose to stay under-the-radar: not being vulnerable to the whims of t
88.
by downandout 5y ago
Not everyone has the same moral compass. It isn’t even clear that the whistleblower herself was guided by concern for society: she first went to the SEC with these complaints. That’s a weird place to go with concerns about social media’s i
89.
by downandout 5y ago
She thinks they’re taking it down because they don’t want people to know the truth. To some degree, that’s true. While the vaccines are overall relatively highly effective and safe, there is no denying that tens of thousands of serious i
90.
by downandout 5y ago
It gets even scarier. I don’t want to get political, but our current President, Joe Biden, was the driving force behind our civil forfeiture laws as they exist today. So any push for reform certainly won’t be coming from the executive bra

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