dirtyid

14 ms·

91.
by dirtyid 3y ago
>Why? Because PRC is not systemically comparable to those countries just like Japan isn't comparable to a larger Nigeria. Only the most cognitively challenged demographic determinists argue larger population = more capability. Usefu
92.
by dirtyid 3y ago
Current analysis projects US semi to face shortage of ~80k talent in next few years, ~300k+ in by decades end. This is reality pretty much in every semi producer countries, SKR and TW both have 50k-100k+ shortage with pretty developed talen
93.
by dirtyid 3y ago
US needs immigration to fulfill new workforce demands, PRC doesn't. PRC generates more talent than US can bring in via immigration. Hence trend towards large workforce gap. US does not produce and brain drain enough talent for her need
94.
by dirtyid 3y ago
Most of PRC talent now stays in the PRC because they generate significantly more than west can brain drain or there is emmigration opportunities. The amount of top C9 candidates flowing to the west is decreasing with each year because indig
95.
by dirtyid 3y ago
>US is still winning the talent war Hard to say, PRC generating ~5M STEM per year which is multiple times more than US can generate via domestic education and brain drain. That's the skilled human capita gap where US is losing hard,
96.
by dirtyid 3y ago
PRC national debt is ~75% of GDP vs US ~120%, total aggregate debt PRC ~270% vs US ~760%. Basically +40-50% in the last 10 years to fund the largest infra expansion in human history. Why is infra and manufacturing over invested? Except some
97.
by dirtyid 3y ago
>rationalization that withstands any cursory scrutiny I mean yeah, that's the rationalisation, that useful idiots deliberately try not to see. PRC currently @65% urbanzation, with goal of 75-80% by 2035, aka 140-200M people. PRC &qu
98.
by dirtyid 3y ago
> unmet expectations TBH PRC "growth rate" is roughly in line with expectations, including PRC will overtake US projections from years ago, caveate being many of those projections assumed PRC would strengthen rmb to iirc 4-6 vs
99.
by dirtyid 3y ago
>a lot if it Physical goods pretty small slice of pie considering construction/building operations, transportation and heavy industries. Reality is 7B people in poor countries emissions will massively explode as they develop. Having
100.
by dirtyid 3y ago
TBH bigger issue is bulk of new emissions is going to come from ~7B (85% of global pop) poor people from global south who all want to develop and own their own refrigerators, air conditioners etc. Value engineering cheap consumer goods so t
101.
by dirtyid 3y ago
Yes I acknowledged that in another reply, new national security mandates while finally allowing foreign payment on wechat&alipay. PRC fine with foreigners, including business community, but on their terms. Which is basically don't
102.
by dirtyid 3y ago
Why are labour intensive luxury goods beautiful (well matter of taste)? Maybe bespoke premium goods reflect high effort.
103.
by dirtyid 3y ago
Would US be an ag powerhouse without consolidated scale? IMO US in geopolitical position with respect to land resources that it doesn't need to be, but powerful cartels seem to pretty good at expanding US ag competitive advantages with
104.
by dirtyid 3y ago
What percent would prefer to live in moderate size spaces if amenities in walking distance?
105.
by dirtyid 3y ago
They wouldn't be making payment easier recently for foreigner if that was the case. TLDR is expensive tickets and long paperwork and limited flights. Yes there's also raising frictions with new espionahe laws that makes business m
106.
by dirtyid 3y ago
That's a trivial / statisically insignificant issue - foreign visitors on exit visa shit list is triple digits (less than rounding error) and most know they're on shit list and wont return unless coerced too. Other groups of
107.
by dirtyid 3y ago
I just want unified reader mode experience for content oriented sites for consistent experience. I wouldn't mind some sort of AI constantly interpreting browser content in background and split out basic website in the foreground even i
108.
by dirtyid 3y ago
I think OPs point is to employ shame to prevent % of potential users and future addicts of hard drugs in the first place. Won't stop everyone but may subtantially mitigate. But I also think you're right, modern US culture is parti
109.
by dirtyid 3y ago
Always stood out to me how Mormon expats in PRC had unusually good mandarin skills. They're mainly there to sell farm equipment, but seems hard for teetotalers to do cover work. Hilariously I think ex CIA mormon got busted for selling
110.
by dirtyid 3y ago
>it made you blackmailable Is wife swapping like less blackmailable escape than prostitutes? Clearance life hack.
111.
by dirtyid 3y ago
Decriminalize in a few non productive regions far from everything. Boot down everywhere else except soft stuff. Push all the users to Hamsterdam / Escape from LA.
112.
by dirtyid 3y ago
Geopolitical competition is driven by absolute advantage not relative. At PRC scale, activing fraction of population to high skill is enough to compete with US+co, and PRC's fraction of that high skill talent is set to increase multipl
113.
by dirtyid 3y ago
Not Zeihan tier demographic analysis which is a start. PRC currently generating ~5m STEM per year, aka OECD combined, multiple times more than US has ability to train or brain drain. And relatively proven ability to coordinate talent. Proje
114.
by dirtyid 3y ago
That's a reasonable timeline. PRCs have been developing pharma/bio talent since 2015s. It’s part of medicine&devices category for MIC2025. Focus was on devices, pharma/bio got extra resource/political attention in th
115.
by dirtyid 3y ago
Yes and west has their replication crisis which is massive fraud in all but name. PRC biases towards applied science so will get more applied science fraud. Ultimately countries with large R&D base strategy comes down to generating as m
116.
by dirtyid 3y ago
This is what people are missing, defeating US / degrading US prescence in East Asia / PRC backyard that put and sustains PRC-TW civil war in stasis is the ultimate PRC strategic vision. I think fundementally PRC (and US) planners
117.
by dirtyid 3y ago
PRC/TW is an unfinished civil war prolonged by US. Ultimately that's all there is to it. Civil wars end when one side defeats the other or some kind of mutual formal settlement. PRC won't settle for anything other than unific
118.
by dirtyid 3y ago
There's PPP considertaions. PRC R&D funding also bias towards experimental/applied vs basic research. Hence not surprising they're hammering these replication efforts.
119.
by dirtyid 3y ago
Varies by field but last few years PRC been reaching parity to topping various science and innovation indexes, PRC institutions also breaking global top100 and general trend of moving up rankings. TLDR is PRC science exploded after mid 2010
120.
by dirtyid 3y ago
Whats the theoretical cap? Gen pop likely can live with 30fps if we eventually get there.

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