dirtyid

50 ms·

421.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Balloons won't be used for sneak attacks, hypersonics might. Regardless, nuclear powers also don't launch on warning post second strike, PRC has no first use, US has launch on attack, both postures has built in allowances for conv
422.
by dirtyid 4y ago
US warplanners considers sending 100,000s of bombs on PRC mainland targets in case of TW scenario all the time. Is that 10D thinking? It's basic escalation dynamics of recipricating homeland attacks with home land attacks, the differen
423.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Which was censored until after war because the idea that CONUS is vunerable to JP attacks is itself significant. Media spasms around PRC balloons reflect that. Except with current capabilities, it won't be 9000 primitive balloons with
424.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Bug reason why PRC aviation / airspace is stressed is because PLA has priority intercepting US recon. If balloons cause comparable stress on commercial US aviation then problems with ID becomes part of the strategy. Exposing CONUS vune
425.
by dirtyid 4y ago
You could but confirming US has that capability is significant. The purpose is to gather intelligence after all. E: Lunar ranging = ground stations. Not feasible to cover CONUS with network of ground based laser for forseeable future. If an
426.
by dirtyid 4y ago
US switching platforms itself has information value. If it takes expensive ASAT tier platforms to take out balloons then saturation with higher ballons might be viable. Like if US has to start trading 5M USD SM6s to hit 110ft ballons, then
427.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Removing doubt has value. If US has to shift to another platform to hit 80k feet ballon reveals specific capabilities. Like if US has to start using advanced ground based interceptors, it will inform PRC on constraints relevant in IndoPac s
428.
by dirtyid 4y ago
>erred by sending such a large I surmise you need large balloon to carry required instruments on one platform. Going forward IMO PRC just going to fly them higher, US can keep shooting them down... possible until they can't, both wi
429.
by dirtyid 4y ago
>DE + Carriers Carrier escorts do the defense. Escorts won't be nuclear, they'll have power plants for DE, but again that's replacing current DDGs with DDGX, which is decades a way. You can plop some DE on carriers themsel
430.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Many possible futures, but IMO for short/medium term projections one can narrow down if extrapolating from can be feasibly procured in time frame and limits of said hardware. Personally have extreme doubts on direct energy weapons for
431.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Point is EX has continuity with prior weapons integration. AF wanted F15 capabilities and opted for modernized variant. Plus F15s simply carrying more = USAF opting to keeping mixed composition of airframes that excels in different capabili
432.
by dirtyid 4y ago
I imagining future that involves programs monitors students writing in proctored setting to establish some sort of individual finger print and use that to match against future writing assignments, again persistently monitored for authentici
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by dirtyid 4y ago
I want to bushels. But dollars.
434.
by dirtyid 4y ago
> will take decades to catch up with modern Western chips IMO decades a little pessmistic. PRC generating as much STEM talent as roughly OECD combined, with semi only elevated to first-level dicipline in 2018, PRC is spitting out 30k IC
435.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Modern weapons mostly use mature / old nodes that are easy to harden, but RU is simply that behind on indigenous microelectronics. PRC with indigenous 14/28nm (well on way) will be fine for weapons, even AI based capabilities, the
436.
by dirtyid 4y ago
NGAD + MUM-T likely in next 10 years, but not for export. US allies also now doing their own 6th gen program, i.e. JP-UK-IT-SE (Global Combat Air Programme), FR-DE-ES (Future Combat Air System) and 4.5 gen SKR (Bormae), but that's stil
437.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Yes, F35 production not keeping up with airforce recapitalization needs, something like 45% of airframes flying beyond service life. So need to plug gap with F15s. > F-15EX in particular can carry patently ridiculous payloads. But also t
438.
by dirtyid 4y ago
JSF programs killed competiton, there's nothing else that can compete for 20-30 years assuming current non US 4.5/5th gen programs deliver.
439.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Basically. Spam educated STEM talent production to OECD combined, first gen makes shit (all the meme of bad PRC papers), but some wheat from chaff at that scale enables PRC to be 80% competitive, refine a bit by 2nd gen, now PRC reach peer
440.
by dirtyid 4y ago
>No “innovation policy framework” will change that. It absolutely does, nor is CCP risk averse when it comes to science. MIC2025 and precursor Indigenous Innovation Policies, are largely succeeding. Human capita only one part of equation
441.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Since last summer, I have two seperate Youtube PREMIUM accounts blocked for spam and deceptive practices, community violations for content makers. These accounts only view videos, doesn't even comment. Banned youtube account can't
442.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Improve yes, but see same benefits, probably not. The geopolitical enviroment where world will concentrate manufacturing in one country is over. And even at height PRC manufacturing employed like 300M, India will only get fraction since PRC
443.
by dirtyid 4y ago
That's why I steer away from open shelves, everything gets chucked into their respective drawer to keep things tidy. Getting partner be onboard with drawer organization probably deadend if they're not into it, but most things need
444.
by dirtyid 4y ago
What's your long johns situation? I haven't found anything that bridges the winter gap where I'm comfy outside and not boiling/sweating inside.
445.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Good for callus prevention, but probably bad for actual serious "pulling". I remember this video from 10+ years ago, when powerlifters were still doing the alternate grip for DL. Now more or less everyone hooks and depending on ha
446.
by dirtyid 4y ago
>change their mind ... >Probably bluff Or US failed to get NL and JP sufficiently on board. The more suspicious details around the arrangement so far is that no parties are disclosing anything technical about the new controls, while a
447.
by dirtyid 4y ago
There needs to be an industrial meccano simulator game to mess around with all these systems, along with bamboo scaffolding.
448.
by dirtyid 4y ago
>unless you like them, I'm not questioning anyone's personal taste Pretty questionable taste to compare seminal works like Unite and Trellick with HK "monster towers". There's at least some design rational for th
449.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Except PRC laws has allowances for foreign operated platforms if they follow PRC data and media filtering laws - what TikTok is basically doing in US, i.e. why Google and Facebook had teams working to get back to PRC market before internal
450.
by dirtyid 4y ago
Break down pipeline problem. PRC is generating roughly ~OECD countries combined worth of STEM talents per year with other disciplines also catching up. There's already increasing youth unemployment due to the shock of oversupply of tal

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