coderenegade

4 ms·

1.
by coderenegade 8d ago
We routinely close the feedback loop when training people in pretty much every industry. Otherwise, what would you say that exams and accreditation/chartering are? I don't see anything inherent in other knowledge work that means A
2.
by coderenegade 8d ago
Most professions on the list don't have a shortage, and professions stay on the list for far longer than necessary. We don't need any more IT workers, for instance; my workplace routinely receives hundreds of applications even f
3.
by coderenegade 8d ago
This. The value of intelligence and execution is plummeting towards zero for knowledge work. Right now, software and mathematics are the most affected, but the transition to every other industry is going to happen with shocking speed.
4.
by coderenegade 9d ago
Yes, the largest chunk is students. In fact, ~6% of all international students in the world attend Australian universities, making it the largest per-capita destination for international students by a significant margin. They still require
5.
by coderenegade 9d ago
Not really. Australia is very lax when it comes to bringing in dependents, who outnumber skilled migrants themselves. We also have an oversupply of technically skilled people, with nothing for them to work on, because we got rid of all of o
6.
by coderenegade 10d ago
It's less clear cut than that, because modern materials can be better at the job they are designed for. An IKEA kitchen, for instance, might not use traditional wood or stone for its benchtops, but the materials used are actually bette
7.
by coderenegade 11d ago
There is a general solution to the three body problem due to Sundman, in the form of an infinite series. Unfortunately it converges so slowly that it's useless in practice. Being unable to state the solution of a problem in closed form
8.
by coderenegade 11d ago
I can honestly say that I've never had to compile wifi drivers from source in more than a decade of using Linux as my main OS, even through my distrohopping phase. And I'm not researching my hardware ahead of time, either. I don&#
9.
by coderenegade 12d ago
Sure, why not. I haven't uploaded anything to github/lab yet, and you'll have to give me a few days, since I'm busy juggling work and being a new dad. Full disclosure, this is one of my pie-in-sky ideas that I've be
10.
by coderenegade 13d ago
The problem with the article's line of thought is that mathematicians can't control what others do with models that are capable of generating proofs for hard problems. Sure, maybe there's a career in taking known proofs spat
11.
by coderenegade 13d ago
I've been working on something similar as well, but not yet ready to be shared. It's a geometry kernel and then an authoring layer on top. The idea is that the constraints are tests that get run after the geometry is defined, so i
12.
by coderenegade 13d ago
I switched from Claude to Codex because Claude just doesn't do what you actually tell it to half the time. It dances around the edges and does busy work without actually tackling a tough problem. I'm not sure what others are doing
13.
by coderenegade 14d ago
At a certain point, you don't have a choice. Before China got into the game, the only way to avoid giving Luxotica money if you wanted a pair of glasses was to essentially not buy glasses. This is the same for many industries -- consol
14.
by coderenegade 14d ago
They became lazy and uncompetitive, and were eventually overrun by Japanese imports. It's probably reasonable to say they never really recovered.
15.
by coderenegade 14d ago
My newest and most expensive car cost $5k in freedom dollars. It gets the job done. I have an older, more clapped out vehicle that cost $1500, and is in surprisingly decent knick for a 30 year old car, but it does need a paint job and some
16.
by coderenegade 14d ago
Depends on the Mercedes. There was a time where Mercedes made cars that had a reputation for reliability similar to Toyota's today, and those cars are still fairly reasonable to keep running. The problem is that they're now becomi
17.
by coderenegade 14d ago
I think the only thing that stops this from becoming true is what Chinese and European labs decide to do. If they can keep up and keep opening their weights, then we might see some kind of democratization. But right now it looks like the ga
18.
by coderenegade 14d ago
Not necessarily. That's the best case scenario, but proofs can be intrinsically useful in and of themselves. It's just that for problems of that nature, speculative work is often done ahead of time, e.g. the body of work that alre
19.
by coderenegade 14d ago
This is the hope, but I suspect the reality is that we see an ever widening gap between the fortunate and the unfortunate. We're looking at the automation and commodification of all knowledge, and the best models will be kept locked be
20.
by coderenegade 14d ago
This is the real problem. We're looking at a future where those who control AI have an insurmountable advantage in everything. They can control the amount of intelligence the masses have access to -- for their own safety, of course --
21.
by coderenegade 22d ago
Surely part of the problem is that intelligence seems to be implicitly conditioned on embodiment, to the point that "covering only cognitive tasks" seems inherently ill-defined or arbitrary. Everything we do is a cognitive task. A
22.
by coderenegade 1mo ago
Well now that they own it, they can do whatever they like. They don't necessarily have to be optimizing the models for their hardware, they could just setup preferential pipelines to funnel users to their ecosystem. That seems fairly p
23.
by coderenegade 1mo ago
It was a long time ago, so I might have the details wrong. I suspect it may have been expats from Korea taking a short trip to Japan to renew their visa, or even folks switching the type of visa they were on.
24.
by coderenegade 1mo ago
Maybe it was for switching visa types. It was almost 20 years ago, so I may have some of the details mixed up.
25.
by coderenegade 1mo ago
It's a clever move if that's what they're doing. They're restricted in China, and are likely to face stiff competition from Chinese chipmakers in the coming years. Acquiring the largest repository of trainable models and
26.
by coderenegade 1mo ago
It's definitely not. I know Japan and Korea had a similar process when I was living there, and I was under the impression that most places operate this way. Your visa grants you right to temporarily stay in the country, and if you don&
27.
by coderenegade 1mo ago
Sure, if every country did this for every technology, it wouldn't work. But in reality, they don't. Even ongoing industrialization isn't a given once it's been achieved, because the bar for what constitutes "develop
28.
by coderenegade 1mo ago
I didn't say anything about politics. Whether or not industry believes this is a permanent state of affairs, or destined to end with this administration, has no bearing on whether or not tariffs can be a useful tool. My issue is with t
29.
by coderenegade 1mo ago
Where did I say anything about politics? My only beef is with the notion that tariffs and protectionism are inherently bad.
30.
by coderenegade 1mo ago
The only repeatable path to industrialization and the benefits thereof is the combination of protectionist policies -- be they tariffs or subsidies -- with a focus on exporting goods and competing in the global market. This is historically

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