cl42

17 ms·

1. 181.▲
   by cl42 3y ago

   Thanks for asking! Not yet as I’ve been focusing on building agents that can properly and regularly log predictions. Ideally, I’d like the agents to then participate in prediction markets or “superforecasting” groups to use actual human pre
2. 182.▲
   by cl42 3y ago

   LLM agents to forecast geopolitical and economic events. - Site: https://emergingtrajectories.com/ - GitHub repo: https://github.com/wgryc/emerging-trajectories I've helped a number of companies b
3. 183.▲
   Forecasting GDP Growth in Q4 2023 (With LLMs)(emergingtrajectories.com)

   2 points by cl42 3y ago|0 comments
4. 184.▲
   Forecasting the New Hampshire Republican Primary with LLMs(emergingtrajectories.com)

   1 points by cl42 3y ago|0 comments
5. 185.▲
   by cl42 3y ago

   Fine-tuning is not a good approach to integrating new knowledge into an LLM. It's a good way to drive the direction of the LLM's style, structure of responses (e.g., length, format). I'd say RAG is still very much the way to
6. 186.▲
   by cl42 3y ago

   Do you have recommendations on good semi-advanced textbooks for fundamental AI research? I agree with you about this space... I would love to spend more time in it, even if it's just an hour or two per day, but nearly all the content o
7. 187.▲
   by cl42 3y ago

   Neither. Option 3: Opt for a long-term plan involving a counsellor trained in Adlerian psychology. It's not about delving into past life experiences but about working on emotion regulation, promotional thinking, etc. about the present
8. 188.▲
   by cl42 3y ago

   That makes me a bit sad, but I appreciate the reality check. Are you working in this space?
9. 189.▲
   by cl42 3y ago

   Two features that are really clever from a product perspective: 1. Using the spatial cameras/features to scan your own face. I'm surprised Quest 3 doesn't do this... As soon as I saw the concept, I thought, "DUH! So smar
10. 190.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    Are you asking as someone who would be building a product in this space? If so, then my #1 concern is that I don't want anyone to know about my financial situation or have access to my transaction log. I've spent a lot of time i
11. 191.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    Excel on a 'regular' basis -- weekly when I feel volatility is high, monthly otherwise.
12. 192.▲
    Ideas matter: How I stopped being a Culture Incel(writingruxandrabio.com)

    3 points by cl42 3y ago|0 comments
13. 193.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    This sort of content would be great for a peer group to review regularly!
14. 194.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    Thanks! I agree with you, though this is much easier said than done. Ask me how it's going in 12 months. :-)
15. 195.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    To have more fun and to enjoy the process of working on things, not focusing on the end result.
16. 196.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    I appreciate that, thanks for sharing! If Obsidian didn't have plain markdown + regular folders, I would also avoid it.
17. 197.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    Out of curiosity, why do you prefer open source in this case?
18. 198.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    In Feb 2022, Meta hosted "Inside the Lab"[1], a day-long webinar series outlining their vision for mixed reality, AI, etc. I highly recommend anyone interested in Meta's vision and work to watch these. Zuckerberg's demos
19. 199.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    I'm working through the courses here: https://phaseai.com/resources/free-resources-ai-ml-2024 I'm avoiding Azure or Google courses for the same reason. FastAI references its own (free) library but you can als
20. 200.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    Lots of folks have reported issues with Dropbox + Sonoma. Infinite syncing, not syncing all files, etc. Unclear if there is a solution, or when one will come.
21. 201.▲
    XTX Markets Launching $10M 'AI Mathematical Olympiad Prize'(prnewswire.com)

    1 points by cl42 3y ago|0 comments
22. 202.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    I'd like to keep using Dropbox but the syncing issues with Sonoma make this impossible, unfortunately.
23. 203.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    Thanks for this! I'm browsing their site and it led me to the Wirecutter article that discusses them: https://www.nytimes.com/wirecutter/reviews/best-online-backu... Super helpful. Thanks again!
24. 204.▲
    Ask HN: How do you do personal backups in 2023? (Google and Dropbox issues)

    20 points by cl42 3y ago|38 comments
25. 205.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    Wouldn't inserting a statement like "Here is the most relevant sentence in the context" predispose Claude to answer the question also increase the likelihood of hallucinations? Hallucinations often take place when a model is
26. 206.▲
    Chained Tables (For LLM Workflows)(phasellm.com)

    2 points by cl42 3y ago|0 comments
27. 207.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    Just want to say that your remote-first culture and compensation structure is admirable. Kudos to you and the entire company!
28. 208.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    I’m looking to run experiments like this for specific domains and prompting strategies as a way to showcase the next version of https://evals.phasellm.com If the paper above resonates with you or if you have questions about prom
29. 209.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    haha yes, that's it. Shoot me a note at hello <at> phaseai <dot> com and I'd love to connect!
30. 210.▲
    by cl42 3y ago

    Sort of, yes! Not "solved" in the academic sense of actually finding the mathematically correct/ideal way to play, but rather using neural nets to learn to play and beat humans.