ckuehne

10 ms·

61.
Stories we like to tell, and why they are likely wrong(lesswrong.com)
2 points by ckuehne 15y ago|0 comments
62.
A Tale of Two Workers(hopaulius.wordpress.com)
12 points by ckuehne 15y ago|0 comments
63.
by ckuehne 15y ago
I am well aware of the point they were trying to make. Or, more precisely, the point Kahneman et al. were trying to make. What I am concerned about is that they, that is, the editors / writers of Vanity Fair, do not understand their mistake
64.
by ckuehne 15y ago
Not only do they seem to lack basic probability skills. They also cannot cite the original material correctly. Kahneman and Tversky tested something else completely. Namely, that people tend to ignore base rates when making probability esti
65.
by ckuehne 15y ago
What he (probably) means is that the following query returns the same result as your query: select sp.Name, sum(s.Amount) as TotalSales from Sales s RIGHT join SalesPerson sp on sp.Sales
66.
by ckuehne 15y ago
Are you sure? You need an income of over 300k Euro to reach 42% taxes in Germany. Not saying, that you are not making that much. But sometimes people get confused between marginal and average tax rate.
67.
The Benjamin Franklin Effect(youarenotsosmart.com)
5 points by ckuehne 15y ago|0 comments
68.
by ckuehne 15y ago
Your point being?
69.
by ckuehne 15y ago
Interesting experiment. But the 10,000 hours rule is a myth [1]. The variance in deliberate practice needed is huge: some top performers need 3,000 hours while others need 24,000 hours. Some never get to the top no matter how much they prac
70.
by ckuehne 15y ago
What does MVP mean?
71.
by ckuehne 15y ago
We are talking statistics here. When you see a hypothesis like "past performance does not correlate with future performance" you look around for evidence for or against it. All the examples I cited clearly speak against this hypothesis. Ins
72.
by ckuehne 15y ago
I think he is right. Past and future performance don't correlate. That is why employers do usually not look a resumes or references. Or why, say, Google and Microsoft don't ask tricky questions in interviews. Or why admission to graduate pr
73.
by ckuehne 15y ago
Or maybe not: http://www.overcomingbias.com/2011/07/a-galaxy-on-earth.html . Who knows.
74.
by ckuehne 15y ago
The hypothesis of this paper rings true (based on my experience).
75.
by ckuehne 15y ago
The OP cites three sources at the bottom of the page. http://mindhacks.com/2009/02/12/leadership-can-be-based-on-q... http://www.spring.org.uk/2009/07/how-newcomers-can-influence... http://psycnet.apa.org/index.cfm?fa=buy.optionToBuy&#
76.
by ckuehne 15y ago
"suppose a prospective client or employer saw your face on an advertisement for some banned substance" But this is not what Google does, or am I missing something? AFAIK, what they actually do is more akin to shopping basket analysis superm
77.
by ckuehne 15y ago
Why exactly is this harmful, i.e., who is harmed and by how much?
78.
by ckuehne 15y ago
Except that they do. Ever wondered, for example, how Google, Apple, Microsoft or any other public company that makes products you are likely using got their main funding? (Hint: IPO.)
79.
by ckuehne 15y ago
I agree with quite a bit of your argument. However, what exactly do you think do "computers build from gates" depend on if not the laws of physics?
80.
Intellectual Property Rights Same Advantages As Barbed Wire?(overcomingbias.com)
15 points by ckuehne 15y ago|13 comments
81.
by ckuehne 15y ago
Could you cite an example?
82.
by ckuehne 15y ago
http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1576969 http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=85743 http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=583977 http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1509758
83.
by ckuehne 15y ago
"I challenge you to come up with a proper definition, if you think the 'free market' will save us" I will do no such thing because I have not argued that "a free market will save us". I solely wanted to note that arguing over definitions an
84.
by ckuehne 15y ago
Most categories break down if you stretch them far enough. That does not mean that they are not useful. Fare from it. Usually, there is some common understanding what words mean. For example, if I say “forest” most people will know what I m
85.
by ckuehne 15y ago
"Even in communist Russia there was a free market. It was just that the cost [...] was incredibly high (like death penalty)." According to your definition prisoners are also free. It's just the cost of breaking out of prison are incredibly
86.
by ckuehne 15y ago
http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=96676 http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1900937
87.
by ckuehne 15y ago
So what you are saying is that the whole database research community does not really know what a B-Tree is [1]? [1] Every database implementation techniques lecture compares the two. See, e.g., http://infolab.stanford.edu/~hyunjung/cs346/
88.
The Backfire Effect. Or: Why you can never win an argument online(youarenotsosmart.com)
9 points by ckuehne 15y ago|0 comments
89.
by ckuehne 15y ago
You quoted a statement Leibniz made about 300 years before Turing proved that there are machines that can compute everything that is computable. I and others explained in comments below, why we have reason to believe, that computers are fun
90.
by ckuehne 15y ago
>>There is a crucial difference between believing that a computer can simulate a brain and believing that a windmill can do so. >That depends entirely on what you think a brain is No. It depends on what you think a computer is.

More ›