cjhopman

9 ms·

31.
by cjhopman 6y ago
> Notice that it is the highlighted part they want you to tweet out. You mean the highlight that medium applies automatically based on user behavior and the author has no part in controlling?
32.
by cjhopman 6y ago
> But communities, including HN, do often tend to have particular inclinations and behavior as a group, even if there are many individual members who diverge. And I'd rather see people seriously discuss the groupthink of those commu
33.
by cjhopman 6y ago
Huh, the point of the bias towards noticing things that we dislike is interesting, and there's good research backing it. I don't think that it necessarily affects much the comparison of one community against another, though, as on
34.
by cjhopman 6y ago
As an example, Amazon is fairly well-known in the industry as having a set of principles and with the fact that those are often described as having been weaponized to support people's positions. I actually think that weaponization of p
35.
by cjhopman 6y ago
That's a good point. The stated goals or objectives or values of a community or collective actually do have significant impact on the behavior of that community. It's too bad that HN generally doesn't recognize that when look
36.
by cjhopman 6y ago
> Specifically, once the proportion of recovered in the population reaches 1/(1-R_0), there are no longer enough vectors (infectable indviduals) remaining for a serious outbreak to occur. It’s worth noting that this is the same prin
37.
by cjhopman 6y ago
> This error is repeated throughout the document where there's this idea that the changes that we've seen are due to lockdown and will just go away otherwise For these, it could be good to compare what has happened in countries
38.
by cjhopman 6y ago
> we wouldn't pass a law ordering people to not drive around in normal times, We absolutely pass a ton of laws to make driving around safer, including restricting driving around when it's particularly dangerous (for example, wh
39.
by cjhopman 6y ago
Here's more random stream of consciousness about this: > Pareto Mitigation: An evidence-based approach I love how this uses "evidence-based" as a dogwhistle followed by proposing an approach without providing any sort of e
40.
by cjhopman 6y ago
> I'm disappointed with the HN community. The past few weeks, most of the medical articles to hit the front page have been written by dabblers. Honestly, that shouldn't be surprising. AFAICT, the only way in which the HN commun
41.
by cjhopman 6y ago
I'm sorry but I can't take serious something that claims to take an impartial look at all the evidence related to the lockdown but then tries its damnedest to present all possible negatives it could without doing the same for posi
42.
by cjhopman 6y ago
AFAIK, there is not a single study that "[shows] infection rates for Covid-19 are far higher than official numbers indicate". There is no place in the world (again, afaik) that is attempting to report the number of infected people
43.
by cjhopman 6y ago
I think it would be really interesting to see what would happen if cities explored more of using their regulatory powers to get better deals for their citizens. You may initially recoil at that framing of it, but really most regulation can
44.
by cjhopman 6y ago
Yeah, and a group of people in a common geographic area are free to bargain collectively to ensure that businesses don't take advantage of them. In fact, it's so core to human society that the idea is universal.
45.
by cjhopman 6y ago
Sure, but a person who goes to the store 7 times a week is ~7 times as likely to have been sampled compared to someone who goes only once a week. They are also ~7 times as likely to have contracted covid-19 at the grocery store. It's l
46.
by cjhopman 7y ago
That herd immunity equation is really only useful in the context of vaccination when there's no active epidemic. With an active scenario like this, it's just the point where the number of people infected per day stops going up. Yo
47.
by cjhopman 7y ago
Because in the real world those scenarios don't happen. We can go all day making up ridiculous wild scenarios and working out the math of how they compare, or we can stick to what people actually experience when buying cars.
48.
by cjhopman 7y ago
> I just care about the final bottom-line price Then you are making bad decisions by not considering the time value of money. And I think it's obvious that that's the case and then you can adjust your position to take that into
49.
by cjhopman 7y ago
Yeah, the west coast's virus outbreak is primarily traced to European sources, the bigger east coast one probably more so (but idk the data to support that). The China travel ban was not an effective measure of control, and experts kne
50.
by cjhopman 7y ago
No. Because Bitcoin has no use in legal industries.
51.
by cjhopman 7y ago
Ah, I had misread that. That statement didn't clearly say whether they were going to donate those that they haven't produced yet. If they aren't donating that, this donation is like a ~10% discount (compared to the ~66% disco
52.
by cjhopman 7y ago
The usefulness of that approach decreases as people's behavior otherwise changes. For example, accidents account for ~10% of deaths. It's quite feasible (and I think we already have data to support this) that that has dropped a lo
53.
by cjhopman 7y ago
There are 3 big problems with open APIs 1. they enable people to do things that other people think shouldn't be done 2. people get upset at companies when (1) happens 3. people get upset at companies for removing or restricting apis wh
54.
by cjhopman 7y ago
> During SpaceX's funding round last month, they raised $500M [1], $250M more than they were seeking (raise when you can!). This was addressed in the article. While they initially claimed they wanted only $250M, they actually approv
55.
by cjhopman 7y ago
A proprietary drug whose maker has said they will donate all 1.5 million doses that they currently have. That's more than they'll be able to produce over the next year (1 million) even after greatly increasing that production capa
56.
by cjhopman 7y ago
Skype had 500 employees in 2010 a year before they were acquired. 700 doesn't seem clearly out of proportion.
57.
by cjhopman 7y ago
Why would you even think to blame the site for that? It's almost certainly a problem with the reader mode you are using.
58.
by cjhopman 7y ago
Testing is not that constrained. Here you can see stats for both positive and negative: https://covidtracking.com/data/state/oregon/ Oregon is doing roughly 1400 tests/day, with ~5% positive rate. Places
59.
by cjhopman 7y ago
> it is common for kitchen staff to pool tips at a restaurant I'm not sure where you got the idea that that is what I was talking about? Do you not understand what an earnings guarantee means in the context of a tipped job? It mean
60.
by cjhopman 7y ago
> If you did a poll of 100 people ordering on DoorDash, and asked them "when you tip on your order, where does the money go", what do you think people would say? 99/100 of them would ABSOLUTELY say "to the driver&quot

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