chillacy

10 ms·

61.
by chillacy 4y ago
From what I've seen and noticed myself, exposure and engaging with different arguments in good faith (e.g. able to switch sides and argue for the other side in as convincing a way, as one might do in a debate club) tends to either move
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by chillacy 4y ago
They say the only two ways in business to make money are bundling and unbundling. This is surprisingly applicable to software frameworks as well.
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by chillacy 4y ago
Just throwing out there that waiting 10 years tends to make dating easier for a man regardless of whatever else you do. I remember this in the okCupid data showing that women’s match numbers start highest at 18 and go down over time. Not th
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by chillacy 4y ago
> Who is in charge of the iPad division at Apple Apple isn't organized by product like other large tech companies, instead it's organized by function. E.g. no divisions like iPad, Mac, iPhone. It's divisions like hardware,
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by chillacy 4y ago
I get the sense that "disabled" is still in its avant-garde phase. "retarded" passed that in my circles maybe a few years ago, but also there was a time where it was much like "disabled" is today. Aside, someho
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by chillacy 4y ago
I recall stumbling upon a linguistic feature more common to native American languages called grammatical evidentals, where certain statements required some sort of marker which indicates how the information is known to the speaker: whether
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by chillacy 4y ago
I don't think this comment addresses the (very philosophical) point of the parent poster when they try to explain the difference between "is" and "ought" by doubling down on details of the "is". To me it l
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by chillacy 4y ago
That's a fair take. In research about forecasting, they do indeed find that timeline greatly impacts forecasting accuracy. Even if we were to fix this particular bucketing issue with a large enough dataset of foreign policy predictions
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by chillacy 4y ago
> doing good for its citizens Not to be semantic but this can be measured very differently depending on who you ask, and if someone's objective function has deaths weighing much more heavily than personal freedom (actually not an in
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by chillacy 4y ago
I’m curious what the mechanism for reducing inflation is when taxing the rich? Here are my assumptions: 1. Inflation is a function of monetary supply, the velocity of money, and available goods. 2. The rich contribute less to the velocity o
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by chillacy 4y ago
Afaik Monetarists like Friedman assume that velocity is a constant, but this trickles down to most gold bugs I meet not even knowing the inflation equation.
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by chillacy 4y ago
Oh yea, as a general rule of thumb I have found that if any party is getting emotional (defensive, frustrated, hurt, etc) then the conversation will have to pivot to feelings.. something about the pre-frontal cortex going offline when we ge
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by chillacy 4y ago
Ah yes I remember that one. A few weeks later I believe one of his colleagues in Conscious Leadership Group goes on the show too and she brings up more details.
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by chillacy 4y ago
This is the track record for Metaculus (the chart at the end) showing historically a 10% swing in predictions of 50% historically by aggregated forecasters on the site: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/track-record&#
75.
by chillacy 4y ago
I thought this was a pretty good book despite the seeming brevity to it. Anyways to really expand for those who haven't read it, Dethmer talks about an internal mindset dial between judgementalness vs curiosity. There are other dials l
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by chillacy 4y ago
I personally use the meta-conversational move a lot, and it usually turns heated political discussions into more thoughtful philosophy discussions. I think because most people don't have such strong identity based beliefs around questi
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by chillacy 5y ago
"Impressions from a first-time english speaker" > A little background on me: I’ve been speaking French and Spanish my entire professional life ... > The Bad > I’m accustomed to gendered pronouns in both French and Spanish
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by chillacy 5y ago
For numbers, Metaculus collectively puts China annexing Taiwan by 2050 at around 50%: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5320/chinese-annexation-... 30 years is a long time for forecasting though, afaik forecasti
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by chillacy 5y ago
That sums up my experience as well. I just spent 20 mins trying to make that go away in Safari, I was not able to get Tampermonkey working (possibly due to XSS headers) but Cascadea worked. `#karma { display: none !important; }`
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by chillacy 5y ago
Amdahl's law suggests that "we" (assuming readers here are monolithic enough to call a collective) would have more effect optimizing the dominant power consumers, and I would guess that would be some sort of industrial proces
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by chillacy 5y ago
I really enjoyed this video when I first saw it, especially learning and recognizing that burnout includes cynicism and is often triggered by feeling unrewarded. Makes a great deal of sense. Dr K has been such a gem to discover on YouTube (
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by chillacy 5y ago
> Those companies that have a Sign-up for our email and get 10% off your first order pop-up, you mean? I've seen this type of thing improve conversion immensely at a startup I worked at, and it sets up the starts of a drip marketing
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by chillacy 5y ago
This is the answer: while there is no universal purpose to life, everyone can (or has the burden to) find their own purpose. From my understanding this was the big finding from existentialism, and afaik wasn't as big of a problem back
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by chillacy 5y ago
Would another spin on this be: if the connotation of MBA includes "bad" in it, then applying this label to bad stuff is tautological and doesn't add information? Here's another example: made in China has a connotation of
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by chillacy 5y ago
Wikipedia says Bucha has a population of 36k people, I can't see how this headline is correct as-is.
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by chillacy 5y ago
> The moral case against gambling transcends American Protestantism. Many Asian countries ban casinos and others restrict them to foreigners. In South Korea, 13 of its 14 casinos are off-limits to Korean citizens. China has no casinos at
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by chillacy 5y ago
There’s a status game for streetwear too but afaik it involves rare sneakers with expensive basics.
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by chillacy 5y ago
DFW claims religion is immune to this effect but to me it seems like another statement to add could be: “worship god and you’ll feel like a sinner”
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by chillacy 5y ago
In the US at least, iOS has higher uptake than android for the first time ever in younger age cohorts https://fburl.com/2m6hv5lb I recall a recent article on HN about this
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by chillacy 5y ago
> based on my experience I will throw out counter-experience that I did not succeed at technical interviews until I treated it like a fulltime job. In the past I just brushed up and failed Google's interview a handful of times befor

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