chillacy

75 ms·

781.
by chillacy 7y ago
Volatility and returns are not the same thing, but you're correct that people are usually willing to pay a premium to reduce volatility (for instance consider that Vegas Roulette has high volatility and negative returns, so plenty of p
782.
by chillacy 7y ago
I can understand the logic to shutting down pro-democracy protests in Tiananmen if you're a party member and your political system is at stake. This type of thing (sadly) happens all around the world. But I don't see what was to b
783.
by chillacy 7y ago
r/China is very much an echo chamber of its own though. These days the line between criticizing the Chinese government and full blown sinophobia is getting rather thin.
784.
by chillacy 7y ago
That's not a disprovable statement so I won't try to argue that it didn't happen that way, but pandemics have happened in the past. We should expect that they continue to happen even in the absence of bioengineering accidents
785.
by chillacy 7y ago
Even if the two turned out exactly the same in the long run, the slow path has lower volatility than cycles of bubbles and bust.
786.
by chillacy 7y ago
1 > 0, but if you have details on why that is not indicative of reality please share.
787.
by chillacy 7y ago
> A factory in China is just as efficient as a factory in Spain or USA. I'm not sure how you're defining efficiency, but in the Netflix special American Factory, it would seem like the chinese workers were not only cheaper but
788.
by chillacy 7y ago
There's got to be a difference between putting on your own mask first and taking your friend's mask...
789.
by chillacy 7y ago
To the contrary, some of the most successful software companies have strong cultures of internal tools (think FAANG companies). How much of this is cause and effect I'm not sure though. To some extent it's easier to make investmen
790.
by chillacy 7y ago
In the old adage that "you get what you pay for", the internal tools at Apple aren't quite the best as a result. The Radar tool I recall was pretty horrible in particular.
791.
by chillacy 7y ago
The facts presented do not support the conclusion because COVID-19 is not the flu. This is the logic I see in the post: 1. COVID-19 has not killed more people than the flu in the US so far 2. Therefore COVID-19 is comparable to the flu 3. W
792.
by chillacy 7y ago
If the crux of your argument relies on looking at what has happened so far without looking at projections into what could happen, then I have some stock to sell you. You'll buy at the top since the last quarter's earnings were goo
793.
by chillacy 7y ago
Well... there's a thing called the "literal meaning" and sometimes there's another "figurative meaning"... and as you grow up you'll end up knowing the figurative meaning of a phrase quicker until it'
794.
by chillacy 7y ago
> fear of shame be damned I hope that starts to become more socially accepted now. The thing that's always stopped me from wearing my mask as early as February was all the news reports of people being assaulted for wearing a mask on
795.
by chillacy 7y ago
Non-oil particles over 0.3 nm, of which droplets containing viruses is one of. There are P100 masks (oil+non-oil) as well, but they're more expensive and harder to breathe through.
796.
by chillacy 7y ago
> Good. But really, why did this take this long? I know nearly nothing about telco software but after working at enough big places I suspect one likely answer is "because it's monstrously complex for both technical and human re
797.
by chillacy 7y ago
I have some guesses, but even if you take that it is, the authors were not very transparent that they made this assumption, in fact they did not point out that the research was done on all jobs while they spoke only of software. That is a b
798.
by chillacy 7y ago
The cited data is from a paper The Validity and Utility of Selection Methods in Personnel Psychology https://www.researchgate.net/publication/232564809_The_Valid... in 1998 as a meta-analysis of other findings, but the
799.
by chillacy 7y ago
By capacity I mean during flu season we don't run out of hospital beds when people with serious flu complications need them. By that definition then "not having capacity" means that people who go to the ER have to get turned
800.
by chillacy 7y ago
Part of that is having the hospital capacity for seasonal flu and accident victims. We're prepared for that. Coronavirus adding more cases will soon overwhelm hospitals in major US cities, at which point they will have to start triagin
801.
by chillacy 7y ago
> If it were 4x, 5x sure, but 2x is not worthy That seems like a normative judgement, there's no way everybody you talk to would agree with the exact place you drew the line.
802.
by chillacy 7y ago
Yea I was thinking that there is some sort of parallel to datacenters, where it's lowest latency to route everyone to their closest DC but in practice people usually route a certain percentage of traffic to standby datacenters which ar
803.
by chillacy 7y ago
They're doing something like that here: https://www.facebook.com/business/boost/grants
804.
by chillacy 7y ago
Just not one where sales tax is paid I presume. It’s at least not part of the “formal economy” that will show up on a public profit and loss sheet.
805.
by chillacy 7y ago
Past performance is no guarantee of future success. Using the worst case scenario so far as meaning "worst possible scenario" is a fallacy (consider that the past "worst case" was already surprising to people back then b
806.
by chillacy 7y ago
If you think options are overpriced you can sell options too. They're crazy expensive because people think they'll print.
807.
by chillacy 7y ago
All depends how you measure productivity as well. I write more code when I work from home, but lines of code don't necessarily correlate with "useful productivity", since it's entirely possible to work on an epic project
808.
by chillacy 7y ago
The US almost certainly would, at least it did most recently when France wanted to put a digital tax: https://www.theverge.com/2020/1/23/21078574/france-us-digita... A consumption tax is a pretty good wa
809.
by chillacy 7y ago
I'm gonna channel Nicholas Taleb and bring up a couple points: 1. Nobody really knows for sure. Predicting the future worst case by comparing it the worst instance from the past in the category is a fallacy (I get the sense you're
810.
by chillacy 7y ago
Here's a compilation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S1wbBvQ0j_E

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