carbonguy

6 ms·

1.
by carbonguy 28d ago
> And... are they wrong? They might be! Here's one extraordinarily simplistic argument for that case: 1) "Everybody knows" that if you build Skynet (misaligned ASI) everybody dies. 2) Therefore, no rational actor will buil
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by carbonguy 28d ago
> ... We are pursuing this work in part because automated research could help us solve alignment and build defenses against increasingly capable AI. An automated AI researcher can also be an automated safety or alignment researcher. More
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by carbonguy 1mo ago
> Humans were doing exactly what humans are expected to do when facing advanced AI. Being outmatched. "Being outmatched" is not a novel situation for humans either individually or collectively and there are a hell of a lot of w
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by carbonguy 1mo ago
A charitable interpretation is that "the agency of the machines" is the novel aspect of this situation and therefore SHOULD be the main focus of analysis; we certainly have plenty of examples of structural failures of human organi
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by carbonguy 2mo ago
Slate Star Codex reviewed Jaynes' book as well, which is how I first heard about it: https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/06/01/book-review-origin-of-... To your point: > Isn't this a testable hypothe
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by carbonguy 2mo ago
> The ERCOT interconnection queue currently includes more than 1,800 projects representing over 474 gigawatts’ worth of requests to connect to the Texas grid—more than five times Texas’ record peak electricity demand—and about 90 percent
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by carbonguy 3mo ago
I ended up generating alpha so this is clearly a great game and I'm a genius investor (compared to random monkeys). When I lose it all tomorrow, my opinion may of course change. Seriously though, this is a clever idea and I'm inte
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by carbonguy 3mo ago
A fundamental problem (let's not assume there's just one!) is this thinking right in the first paragraph: > ... if he sells a new oven to the country’s pizza makers, pastry chefs, and bakers, he only needs to capture 10% of the
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by carbonguy 5mo ago
> High-performing teams have always managed technical debt intentionally. As AI is adopted by startups and large companies, the question becomes how teams will manage cognitive debt. "Technical" and "cognitive" debt a
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by carbonguy 8mo ago
> I, a foreign entity, have sold something to an american and now have 10 dollars and zero treasuries. Or you sold something to a non-American entity in a dollar-based market, eg. oil. The dollars do come from America to begin with, but
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by carbonguy 9mo ago
In one sense, you can't; the world they lived in lived with them, and when they were gone their world was gone with them too. In another sense, you can't *avoid* that world; the world they lived in was one they *created*, physical
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by carbonguy 9mo ago
I think you're actually agreeing with ctoth i.e. people think the engineering is difficult and politics is easy, BUT that's backwards if you look at history (which you then do). Political will IS the difficult part, and at least t
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by carbonguy 9mo ago
To put it further into numbers - 1). Wikipedia does have a citation [1] saying 2,450 gigatonnes of CO2 have been emitted by human activity, of which 42% stayed in the atmosphere and 34% dissolved in the oceans, with the rest already sequest
14.
by carbonguy 11mo ago
This post resonated with me, as it seems to have done with many of us. My way out of the prison was giving up on "cattle not pets" - I had to acknowledge that I will never, ever need the ability to spin up or spin down a herd of c
15.
by carbonguy 1y ago
> What is the relation of this to studying humanities? A fair question! Put briefly, I would say that studying the humanities would make one more aware of/able to comprehend situations involving others and their motivations (which i
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by carbonguy 1y ago
For those here who are dismissive of the value of the humanities, consider that no problem and no solution is purely technical; there are always "humanistic" aspects. One can - and many do! - ignore these, or even be totally unawa
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by carbonguy 1y ago
As somebody who is suffering from this precise issue at another org right now, and would very much like to solve it, one glaring omission from this article is whether this worked or not! That is, did the "inverse Conway" actually
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by carbonguy 1y ago
The article details the seller-push (i.e. bad) theory, but doesn't go very far with the buyer-pull - presumably this is where one would get value out of the coaching sessions offered at the bottom of the piece? The dichotomy seems real
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by carbonguy 1y ago
> The fact that it's fictional doesn't affect its illustrative merits. Indeed, it may even reinforce the overall argument being made in the post we're discussing; the "Galileo vs. Catholicism" narrative is itself
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by carbonguy 1y ago
I spent some years as a teacher and so have some first-hand experience here; my take, for what it's worth, is that LLMs have indeed blown a gaping hole in the structure of education as actually practiced in the USA. That hole is: much
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by carbonguy 2y ago
> The whole scenario only exists because of the axiom introduced between points 3 and 5... I'll argue that the higher-level context introduced in point 2 is even more important here: "ORG shifts from assume we have infinite bud
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by carbonguy 2y ago
Mainly just wanted to say, this is an absolutely fantastic hack and I loved reading about it - thank you for sharing! I guess if I have one question, it would be... what else are you planning to do with your new Faraday cage?
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by carbonguy 2y ago
Chiming in with a few of my favorite "Levine-likes": - For aviation disasters and safety, can't beat Admiral Cloudberg: https://admiralcloudberg.medium.com/ - For more about the financial sector, Patrick McKe
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by carbonguy 2y ago
I have a nephew turning six this year and have been considering getting him some of the collections as well, wondering if it would have the same formative impact on him as on me. I remember reading the strip in the paper as a six-year-old b
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by carbonguy 2y ago
This concept is not quite smoke and mirrors, since there's nothing wrong with the science, but this article definitely reads more like a breathless press release than something truly ground-breaking. More notes below: > Synhelion
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by carbonguy 3y ago
> why not just use hydrogen directly and skip the inefficiency and cost of direct air capture of CO2 and of making methane? Broadly speaking, one key reason is that we've already got the infrastructure in place for using methane (an
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by carbonguy 3y ago
As a "carbon industry" observer, this is pretty exciting news. I've had my eye on Terraform Industries for a while and love what they're doing; they're one of the few groups that actually seem to understand the impl
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by carbonguy 3y ago
Couldn't agree with you more, and honestly I think you're softballing it here: > I think it’s pretty lazy to crank out a vibes based article describing specific grievances and generalizing to an entire population. In that the
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by carbonguy 3y ago
Genuinely of two minds about this piece - on the one hand, the cynical hand, it feels (to me) like one of the second-tier pitches you see in Mad Men that's meant to contrast with a top-tier Don Draper pitch... ... but on the other ha
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by carbonguy 3y ago
Looking over the "fact sheet" linked in the announcement[1], this appears to be the key requirement: > When filing [Beneficial Ownership Information] reports with FinCEN, the rule requires a reporting company to identify itself

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