cameldrv

65 ms·

811.
by cameldrv 4y ago
Why do you assume they haven't?
812.
by cameldrv 4y ago
If the only contact the kid had with the leaker was through Discord, the FBI already knows literally everything the kid knows. If the leaker is on the run, perhaps they’re hoping the kid might keep talking to the leaker and lead them to hi
813.
by cameldrv 4y ago
A distant inlaw of mine did this: https://www.peteregger.ch/weltumrundung He had some crazy stories, especially about walking across Siberia. He's a bit of a character to say the least. He decided to cross the U.S. by
814.
by cameldrv 4y ago
Eliminating the root causes of crime is a noble goal. Of course you can treat both the root cause and the symptoms, but if you want to get at the root cause, you have to know what the root cause is. Of course nothing complex has a single r
815.
by cameldrv 4y ago
This isn’t right. Programs like Wordstar and WordPerfect (4.2 and earlier) were text mode only. What distinguishes them from text editors are things like default word wrap, spell check, footnotes, page numbers, and printer interfaces. Whe
816.
by cameldrv 4y ago
Strongly agree that so many more features lead to more friction and the tool becoming less useful. The original Palm devices were really awesome. Dedicated todo button, push it, and your todos instantly come up, one tap to drop down the c
817.
by cameldrv 4y ago
Say you keep the TV for 7 years, that's $588. You can get a 75 inch Sony Bravia TV for $1500. You want to pay 1/3 of the price of your TV just to power it while it is turned off ?
818.
by cameldrv 4y ago
If there were widespread covid on the scale of every other country, China is not so closed off that they could keep that a secret.
819.
by cameldrv 4y ago
Original COVID had an unmitigated R of about 3. All you have to do is reduce transmission 66% and you beat it. China did this very successfully. The later variants were much more transmissible though. With BA.5 the unmitigated R is proba
820.
by cameldrv 4y ago
Those people were then transferred into a quarantine facility for two weeks where they weren’t isolated from each other, and then sent home on planes all over America without even being tested for COVID on exit from quarantine.
821.
by cameldrv 4y ago
Australia and New Zealand also had COVID fully contained for a long time (not as long as China). It was possible but very difficult. We just weren’t up to the task. The hope was that the vaccine would make COVID like Measles, i.e. a few c
822.
by cameldrv 4y ago
Yes, the cutoff would have worked had it been activated quickly enough. The failure is insidious though. a) When MCAS falsely activates, it only does so briefly. Then, assuming the problem is that the AoA sensor is broken, it activates ag
823.
by cameldrv 4y ago
This. There is some fantastic stuff for kids on YouTube (most of it though is actually made for adults and is not available on YouTube kids). However, there is a tremendous amount of trash, and the recommender loves it. I wish I could ad
824.
by cameldrv 4y ago
Based on my usage of ChatGPT, I think that a more AI driven approach could help a lot. With ChatGPT if it misinterprets what I'm asking for, I can make a clarifying followup query.
825.
Jargon: An LLM-based pseudolanguage for prompt engineering(jake.mirror.xyz)
3 points by cameldrv 4y ago|0 comments
826.
by cameldrv 4y ago
I like this advice from PG: http://www.paulgraham.com/hs.html It's very hard to say what fields will be less affected or will be affected positively by AI. I will say some of the best programmers I've known didn&
827.
by cameldrv 4y ago
Look again at that chart. It's even worse for cameras. It's almost a 75% decline.
828.
by cameldrv 4y ago
MBS having too many defaults was the problem in 2008, which I think is making people turn their attention to this issue. However, we are in a different situation today. IMO the tradable securities that SVB held are probably the least of t
829.
by cameldrv 4y ago
The problem with the T-bonds and MBS losing value when rates went up may be the proximate cause, but there certainly is more to the story. They actually had a good portion of this exposure hedged in 2021 and didn't renew the hedge in
830.
by cameldrv 4y ago
Maybe the products produced by developers that can concentrate better are more valuable and people are willing to pay more for them. Seems like Apple provides 2.4 trillion reasons.
831.
by cameldrv 4y ago
This is ridiculous. There are on the order of 10 million lap children per year. Over the last 40 years, it looks like there have been two lap children that died that might not have had they been in a car seat on the plane. Over that 40 y
832.
by cameldrv 4y ago
Human capabilities vary widely. Is it not AGI if it can’t perform surgery, win Olympic medals, bear children, and figure out what dark matter really is?
833.
by cameldrv 4y ago
The main issue I see is terminology. Ethics is a broad field. “AI Ethics” has come to mean mostly eliminating different kinds of bias from AI models. However, AI raises multitudes of ethical questions, and merely being unbiased is far fr
834.
by cameldrv 4y ago
Regardless of how it's marked on their books, the loans and bonds pay very little interest. This works fine when their source of funds is checking and savings accounts that pay zero interest. When t-bills are paying 4%, fewer customer
835.
by cameldrv 4y ago
This is not true. Go look at the balance sheets of all of the major banks.
836.
by cameldrv 4y ago
In this case, IMO it was more than a potential problem. On a mark-to-market basis SVB was certainly undercapitalized and possibly insolvent last week. Had there been no run, over the next year, SVB would have had three choices over the ne
837.
by cameldrv 4y ago
There was a domino effect, but a number of banks had the same root problem -- MBS held on their books at higher than their true value. Bear Stearns just happened to have a whole lot of the worst MBS, so it went down first. In this case, a
838.
by cameldrv 4y ago
I don't think that holding to maturity really solves the fundamental problem though. The reason the MBS have lost value is because they have a low coupon compared to what you can get now. To execute the hold to maturity strategy, the
839.
by cameldrv 4y ago
Yes but supposedly if you mark their balance sheet to market, the net is approximately zero, i.e. they have just enough assets to cover liabilities with no reserve. In this case you could say that the reserve requirement is serving its pur
840.
by cameldrv 4y ago
I think that this should turn out OK for depositors, hopefully soon. It seems that while the bank essentially has no equity if you mark to market, assets and liabilities are about equal. That means that they have enough money to pay depos

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