caeril

38 ms·

361.
by caeril 4y ago
> So if you're saying they're more affordable to the rich, sure. No, cash buyers are in an even worse position right now. A traditional 60/40 portfolio is down substantially more right now than the average home price. Ca
362.
by caeril 4y ago
> a period of either extremely slow growth Oh no, slightly less out of control consumerism! Slightly less carbon emission! Horrors! > or out-right deflation You mean the lower classes would have to pay less for their basic necessities
363.
by caeril 4y ago
> people who invested in housing in the last couple years If you "invested" in housing, you get what you deserve. My house serves a functional purpose. It is not a status symbol, it is not a means of extracting rents from other
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by caeril 4y ago
>> Do you truly think Alex Jones's speech inflicted a billion dollars worth of damage? > I urge you to read up on Alex's conduct before, during, and after the trial(s). Solid point. Fairness and objective inquiries into d
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by caeril 4y ago
> The whole situation with Alex Jones has undermined the confidence I have with our court system If it makes you feel any better, Purdue Pharma and the Sackler family was fined SIX TIMES more than Alex Jones. 800k people dead for $6B ver
366.
by caeril 4y ago
Business inventories are the highest they've been in a decade right now. There are pockets of supply constraints, like energy and raspberry pis, but for the most part we are overflowing with inventory.
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by caeril 4y ago
> You need more than just dynamite to sculpt Mt Rushmore. Not really. Volcker did his job with dynamite just fine. You raise interest rates above prevailing inflation rates. Easy. But the current Fed is stuck. They can't fix infla
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by caeril 4y ago
For me, two things, neither of which is a conspiracy theory: 1. It's communism, for money. We live in a society in which prices for nearly everything: food, housing, laptops, etc, are all set my supply/demand equilibrium. The mark
369.
by caeril 4y ago
Many hangover symptoms, specifically the mental fog, fatigue, and general malaise, are caused by GABA receptor starvation, not by hydration levels. Like you, I can put down a pint of whiskey and feel mostly fine the next day. This is due to
370.
by caeril 4y ago
> it should be obvious to Fed board members, no? What? Take a look at the dot plots of FRB expected rate surveys and compare them to actual rates. These people have substantially less predictive capacity than a monkey throwing darts. No,
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by caeril 4y ago
One problem is that in 2022, most of these companies have very fragile revenue in a contracting or even a steady-state broader economy. In a time of genuine hardship, particularly of the energy/food constraint kind, there are a milli
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by caeril 4y ago
>> when you have to do remote shell work > vscode is very good at this I'm sorry, but what? VSCode over ssh? Huh?
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by caeril 4y ago
> Man, I don't know what has happened My guess is that 4coder kicked all this off.
374.
by caeril 4y ago
Fantastic observation, I hadn't noticed it until now. Thank you.
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by caeril 4y ago
I'm not sure where you live, but where I live, school funding is taxed and allocated at the county level. The county contains both extremely impoverished and extremely wealthy areas, in roughly a bell curve distribution. Schools are fu
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by caeril 4y ago
Modern farming is indeed dependent on imports. But modern-"ish" farming, with tractors, combines, and some degree of mechanization can still be done and maintained without microprocessors, sensors, and precision pumps and machine
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by caeril 4y ago
> Both sides would either devolve into unlivable hellscapes One side would devolve into an unlivable hellscape. The other side would devolve into the 1890s-1910s or so, without access to modern imported goods. Nobody would "win&quot
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by caeril 4y ago
Review some electoral maps. The OP was referring to secessionary scenarios, in which case most of Inland California, including the San Joaquin Valley, belongs to Team Red. Even so, produce does not comprise a material percentage of the US
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by caeril 4y ago
The coastal US needs flyover country to survive. Flyover country likes the things that ports/harbors, hollywood, silicon valley, and banks provide. These two are not the same.
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by caeril 4y ago
The US can borrow, print, and export as many dollars as it feels like because the world still settles contracts in dollars, and US Treasuries are still regarded as the gold standard for central bank reserves. A reminder that the US told the
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by caeril 4y ago
China is fine. That is a table of external debt, not total debt. External debt is serviced, on a currency-neutral basis, by trade. China has an absolutely enormous surplus. What you definitely don't want to look at is the US external d
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by caeril 4y ago
> We want to avoid structural damage: Lost jobs, bankrupt businesses Completely incorrect. If the jobs and businesses in question existed only due to speculative excess, they shouldn't exist. Easy money generates what David Graebe
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by caeril 4y ago
> maybe less so for pre-meds Yes, I agree that an industry that murders nearly a quarter million Americans annually through fully preventable medical errors needs to train their professionals to work with less rigor. YOLO, baby!
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by caeril 4y ago
> Those can all be planned for. Literally nothing can be planned for. Compare the Fed dot plots at any given meeting since 2008 with actual rates a year, or three years hence. Look at the BoE and BoJ flail wildly around right now, absolu
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by caeril 4y ago
We're "liberating", or "protecting democracy" when the US and/or our allies invade sovereign territory. If you do precisely the same thing without a permission slip from the State Department, then you're e
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by caeril 4y ago
> how can we just forget the order of events A high IQ is neither a necessary nor sufficient defense against well-crafted Western propaganda efforts. Hackernews falls for CIA talking points just as effectively as a Redneck falls for QAno
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by caeril 4y ago
> but when the Euro falls the attractiveness of its exports increases. They're talking about manufacturing. Energy input costs are still denominated in dollars/rubles, so those exports will still be pretty expensive if the fact
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by caeril 4y ago
Opposite experience, here. I've never had aesthetic, chassis, or body panel issues, but the M3P has been endless problems: - I've gone through three 12v batteries in four years. - I've lost 40% of main battery pack capa
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by caeril 4y ago
> Remarkably, Erdogan and his cronies do not think they have made a mistake! This is not an Erdogan/Turkey problem. See how the BoE panicked and relaunched QE despite 10% inflation in order to rescue the bonuses of pension fund mana
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by caeril 4y ago
Yes. Children are 800-3000% more likely to be physically or sexually abused by the mother's live-in boyfriend or step-father than by their biological father, but we don't want them to have bad feels. Good call.

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