btilly

27 ms·

421.
by btilly 1y ago
Being a loose aggressive player is far more likely to lead to you losing a lot of money, than winning a lot of money. Once you consider what the house earns, poker is a net negative for the players. In order for there to be some big winners
422.
by btilly 1y ago
And now you encounter the issue of, "a long list of features that I don't want". It is hard to sell someone on a solution to a problem that they don't have.
423.
by btilly 1y ago
To quote the OP: I would encourage everyone to try out emacs with org-mode. It takes some time to get used to the editor and its keybindings... He's literally recommending that everyone who doesn't use emacs should install and u
424.
by btilly 1y ago
You give a long list of features that I don't want. And then go on to encourage everyone to switch text editors, and adopt a specific plugin that happens to work in the way that you personally like. As a vim user, this is kind of what
425.
by btilly 1y ago
It sounds like your life requires a manager's schedule. Lots and lots of things to fit into a busy day. Likely without a lot of big blocks of focus time. Most programmers are far better off with a maker's schedule. Far fewer thing
426.
by btilly 1y ago
This basically doesn't happen in California due to https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1978_California_Proposition_... . The unintended consequence is that cities get much more in taxes from businesses tban residents.
427.
by btilly 1y ago
The widespread belief that it is rare, is an invitation to fraudsters. Who have therefore wound up in such positions as president of Stanford. It is hard to catch them because people's a priori belief that there isn't much fraud m
428.
by btilly 1y ago
It is worthy of note that most of the incidents in Yes, Minister were based on things that really happened. At some level it was more curation than invention.
429.
by btilly 1y ago
In inclined to believe that neither would have become trillion dollar companies if they had been acquired by Yahoo. I absolutely agree. One fundamental reason why Yahoo failed is that they prioritized short-term revenue from search partne
430.
by btilly 1y ago
They still do this. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meg_Tilly is my sister. It claims that she is of Irish descent. She is not. The Irish was her stepfather (my father), and some reporter confusing information about a st
431.
by btilly 1y ago
It seems that you reversed your point then. You said before: Even before I read your comment I thought that 5% precision is useful but 1% precision is a silly turn-off, unless that 1% is near the 0% or 100% boundary. However what I am say
432.
by btilly 1y ago
To the nearest 5%, for percentages in that middle range. It is not just 16% -> 15%. But also 46% -> 45%.
433.
by btilly 1y ago
The book Superforecasting documented that for their best forecasters, rounding off that last percent would reliably reduce Brier scores. Whether rationalists who are publicly commenting actually achieve that level of reliability is an ope
434.
by btilly 1y ago
That was not my experience 30 years ago. I know that because the experience of being turned away from hotels while driving across country was why I applied for my first credit card.
435.
by btilly 1y ago
It is a positive sign, and here are three reasons why. First, even if space is smooth, it is sometimes well-approximated by a singularity. In which case understanding that approximation has value for real universe predictions. As https:&#x
436.
by btilly 1y ago
Yes. If it exploded in the air, then there is no crater.
437.
by btilly 1y ago
Yes, Democrats turned on tech. But this did not just randomly happen. For at least a decade, the New York Times (which Krugman wrote for) had an editorial policy that all articles on tech had to be critical of tech. This created a blatantly
438.
by btilly 1y ago
The lack of clarity is often the point. They try to get you to accept that God is the uncreated cause, then slip into talking about the God of Abraham. For them this is a natural substitution, because in their belief system the two are one
439.
by btilly 1y ago
No, the original was correct. Any computable sequence S(n) must be computed by a specific finite program of fixed length. Once n gets big enough, BB(n) will include the function S(2^n), and therefore will exceed that computable sequence. Gi
440.
by btilly 1y ago
It's an analog system. Which means that accuracy is naturally limited. However a single analog math operation requires the same energy as a single bit flip in a digital computer. And it takes a lot of bit flips to do a single floating
441.
by btilly 1y ago
This paradigm for computing was already covered three years ago by Veratasium in https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GVsUOuSjvcg . Maybe not the specific photonic system that they are describing. Which I'm sure has some sig
442.
by btilly 1y ago
> I would encourage that you attain at least basic proficiency in the subject matter before drawing such hasty conclusions, but you don't seem to respond well to encouragement, so I'll leave it at that. I respond just fine to e
443.
by btilly 1y ago
I encourage you to not be flippant about dismissing people who think that your metaphysical arguments don't hold water. Thomas Aquinas' actual first cause argument is trivially refuted by the possibility of infinite regress. Your
444.
by btilly 1y ago
For what it is worth, when I hear "Six Nations", I think "Iroquois Confederacy". And as parochial as you think that American sports are, the USA has a population that is half again as big as the "Six Nations" t
445.
by btilly 1y ago
Thanks for the correction. It was only 20 years too late to help me.
446.
by btilly 1y ago
This is a state level thing. As is whether IP produced outside of your job, on your own equipment, is yours. I moved from New York to California a bit over 20 years ago in large part because I personally encountered this (the IP ownership b
447.
by btilly 1y ago
I would think that a trivial solution for that is to create devices that can supply variable demand. (For example by heating up water somewhere in the ocean.) If the power created by nuclear exceeds base-line demand, create artificial deman
448.
by btilly 1y ago
This is Geoffrey Hinton, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geoffrey_Hinton , issuing his estimate of p(doom). He has worked in AI for a long time, and played an important role in foundational concepts such as the rise of th
449.
by btilly 1y ago
I consider this an extremely important project. One of the most reliable cognitive biases that we have is that cognitive dissonance prevents us from taking feedback on that which is important to us. Instead we convince ourselves that we&#x2
450.
by btilly 1y ago
What I said about Hilbert's belief was a quote by him. So of course I believe it. His full views were more complicated, and are already discussed elsewhere in this discussion. My statement about Gödel is not an exact quote, but fits wh

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