bitshiftfaced

7 ms·

61.
by bitshiftfaced 9mo ago
I was the under the impression that this had to do with drug related deaths more than anything.
62.
by bitshiftfaced 9mo ago
I don't have to "need" other explanations in order for them to exist. The current price does happen to accurately reflect what the risk free rate would imply. But look at the graph history: it hovered around 1% for a large ch
63.
by bitshiftfaced 9mo ago
While Polymarket does offer holding rewards interest, it looks like it doesn't for this particular market. That doesn't mean there aren't other explanations. It could mean that No holders expect to incur an opportunity cost
64.
by bitshiftfaced 9mo ago
Yeah it's a good way to introduce the idea. But I don't think someone would really grasp it until they understand why both calibration and "discrimination" are necessary in determining if a prediction market is accurat
65.
by bitshiftfaced 9mo ago
Polymarket pays interest on those bets about the same as the risk free rate.
66.
by bitshiftfaced 9mo ago
Polymarket and Kalshi both pay interest on long term bets around the same as the risk free rate.
67.
by bitshiftfaced 10mo ago
Advocates for clear, plain English recommend using the second person and not to shy away from imperatives. [0] It makes it easier to use the active voice as well as use less words. As a reader of this article, I don't take issue becaus
68.
by bitshiftfaced 11mo ago
> The app really does enhance the experience, order exactly what you want without human error, roll up to the drive-thru, give them the code, and they begin making the order at that point. They're particularly good at getting orders
69.
by bitshiftfaced 11mo ago
It hadn't occurred to me until now that the pelican could overcome the short legs issue by not sitting on the seat and instead put its legs inside the frame of the bike. That's probably closer to how a real pelican would ride a bi
70.
by bitshiftfaced 11mo ago
Market distortions can be a sign of funny business. Nothing prevents grocery stores from donating and supporting charitable causes in other ways.
71.
by bitshiftfaced 11mo ago
An example is retailer fraud, where the retailer exchanges SNAP benefits for cash. Another thing that happens is when you sell benefits for cash person to person.
72.
by bitshiftfaced 11mo ago
I think you have to ask why you'd want grocery stores to compete over SNAP customers in a way that doesn't already overlap with how they compete over non-SNAP customers.
73.
by bitshiftfaced 11mo ago
> In Brazil you throw a party to people you like and they all have a hand in helping you, sharing the load. Everyone will be responsible for some part of it, all of it is organized informally, there are no real formalities to the event.
74.
by bitshiftfaced 11mo ago
This is sort of my thinking too. It's finding next token once the previous ones have been generated. Dashes are an efficient way to continue a thought once you've already written a nearly complete sentence, but it doesn't cre
75.
by bitshiftfaced 1y ago
You might have a point because the donut shops that I've been to have started moving to the "discount for cash" model. Same with restaurants.
76.
by bitshiftfaced 1y ago
Maybe take a longer route that avoids the narrow street.
77.
by bitshiftfaced 1y ago
Since we now have the technology to both 1) detect whether a headline is clickbait and 2) summarize and interpret articles, I'm surprised we haven't yet seen platforms automatically "de-clickbait" titles. Or, they could
78.
by bitshiftfaced 1y ago
This article: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/in-defense-of-the-amyloid-h... makes a pretty compelling argument for continued research on the link between amyloid-beta and Alzheimer's.
79.
by bitshiftfaced 1y ago
New energy generation from solar is cheaper. New energy generation from solar plus storage is cost competitive with natural gas peaker plants. By how much depends on the region.
80.
by bitshiftfaced 1y ago
Which is why some countries like the US have encoded into law IEP and 504 plans for children with (among other things) sensory needs, regardless of giftedness status.
81.
by bitshiftfaced 1y ago
Kids shouldn't have to be surrounded by "violent screaming children" period. I fail to see what giftedness has to do at all with whether or not you deserve to not have this as a learning environment.
82.
by bitshiftfaced 1y ago
I did read it. It actually clarifies that staff/students can talk about politics in their individual capacity.
83.
by bitshiftfaced 1y ago
> How do you teach political science, history, basically any social science, or even freaking literature, while doing that? Even if it only required you to be "neutral" (which is not what it says), that would be impossible. By
84.
by bitshiftfaced 1y ago
I believe they're speaking within the scope of the Bayesian analysis. We could interpret games outside of the winning streak as evidence to whether he's a cheater or not. Instead, I believe they are looking at the question of &q
85.
by bitshiftfaced 1y ago
The annualized growth rate of CPI food prices from Jan 2021 to Jan 2025 was 5.5%. From Jan 2025 to Sept 2025, it was 2.2%. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIUFDSL# It's due increase in money supply during Covi
86.
by bitshiftfaced 1y ago
How often is there not some upcoming deal with some media company that has political content? It's not unusual at all, yet ABC is completely absolved of any responsibility in this case apparently.
87.
by bitshiftfaced 1y ago
If I'm understanding it correctly, the FCC didn't actually do anything here. The FCC chairman made, at worst, a threat. ABC immediately pulled the show, and news article's link this to license approvals and such. But if the F
88.
by bitshiftfaced 1y ago
What explains not changing jobs because you find it distressing and claiming that you're being paid below what you're worth? It seems like if that were true, then you'd be motivated to find a job that pays market rate. And
89.
by bitshiftfaced 1y ago
The real number is probably somewhere between 1% and 17.9%, since you need to include all other ways to work in the US, including the various visas.
90.
by bitshiftfaced 1y ago
That's not the only way you can work in the US. "In 2023 17.9% of employed workers were immigrants" https://usafacts.org/answers/what-percent-of-jobs-in-the-us-...

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