bilater

5 ms·

31.
by bilater 3mo ago
The demand for frontier intelligence is basically infinite. The frontier doesn't just complete a task more effectively, it creates new tasks and new problems and new solutions. It grows the pie exponentially. It's like looking at
32.
by bilater 3mo ago
I encourage you to use your imagination once in a while.
33.
by bilater 3mo ago
woa your nephew lives inside a height-optimization machine that gets redesigned every few months (weeks), learns from every growth chart on Earth, and keeps proving it can grow faster?
34.
by bilater 3mo ago
That is the question, and it does f** with me. But the existential nihilism that comes with it is not an argument against it not happening.
35.
by bilater 3mo ago
At least I have trends backing up my claim. What precedent is there for saying, "Yeah, AI has kept getting better, and keeps doing things that we thought it would never be able to do, but now I think it’s going to plateau because I jus
36.
by bilater 3mo ago
I just don't understand why people are incapable of extrapolating. AI can't do this blah blah, my brother in spaghetti monster, have you seen the curve? ChatGPT launched in November, 2022. Opus in December last year. Do you see wh
37.
Everything Is Downstream of Technology(twitter.com)
2 points by bilater 3mo ago|0 comments
38.
The Cheap Model Fallacy(twitter.com)
10 points by bilater 4mo ago|3 comments
39.
by bilater 4mo ago
https://x.com/polynoamial/status/2064210146558136827
40.
by bilater 4mo ago
Yeah not only is it totally unsubstantiated, the benchmarks are getting less useful to really show the difference between these models. Big model smell is still a thing and GLM 5.2 while impressive is not Fable class. Here is something I wo
41.
by bilater 4mo ago
If you ask a surgeon if you need surgery... In general most developers are going to find themselves fighting incentives which will color their opinion. AI isn't there yet but if you are going to abase your whole world view on a point o
42.
by bilater 4mo ago
Nice - I built an npm package in a similar fashion called Agent Order: https://github.com/btahir/agent-order I think there is alpha just have to be very careful how you let the models com up with solutions and collabor
43.
by bilater 4mo ago
This is like saying we only need 100 websites when the internet came out. We have no idea what second third fourth order effects of frictionless and abundance are. What you think is software itself will change.
44.
by bilater 4mo ago
I’m so sick of this scarcity mindset. We will have better and cheaper intelligence in the future than we have now. This is not Uber. Inference is profitable for these companies. Looking at API pricing and assuming that reflects the cost bas
45.
by bilater 4mo ago
That's fair but I felt you held up these companies and founders as these demigods running this well oiled operation and yet I remember looking up those companies and all quietly folded within a few years of your book coming out. My poi
46.
by bilater 4mo ago
Hey Eric - does it bother you all the startups in your first book you held up as examples are dead?
47.
by bilater 4mo ago
every week I see this guy on HN. only forum where ppl still buy this c**
48.
by bilater 4mo ago
you're being a doomer and only looking at how AI will take your job or suppress your wage. try to flip it around and see how you can do more. layoffs are coming and I have said as much in other posts but the top AI engineers will make
49.
by bilater 4mo ago
The bitter lesson is that there is no domain that will be left which AI won't get good at eventually. So really you have two options: if you actually believe the timeline is long you can keep retreating to the sectors that will be take
50.
The Last Coder: A Mockumentary(twitter.com)
4 points by bilater 4mo ago|0 comments
51.
by bilater 4mo ago
Reminds me of this story. Milton Friedman was once visiting China when he was shocked to see that, instead of modern tractors, thousands of workers were toiling away building a canal with shovels. He asked his host, a government bureaucrat,
52.
by bilater 4mo ago
Reminds me of the buggy whip makers https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JOcz-H5u3Rk
53.
by bilater 4mo ago
Yup I was going to comment that's the closest analogy to tulips. You might hate AI but at least that's one thing you can't do (if you're even trying to be fair).
54.
On Why I Write(hackyexperiments.com)
4 points by bilater 4mo ago|1 comments
55.
by bilater 4mo ago
A brief post on why I still write despite no human ever reading my ramblings.
56.
by bilater 4mo ago
Create shows and movies. I, like you and everyone else, will figure it out. And it'll be better than what we have today just like its better to drink coffee and code vs toil at a farm 20 hours a day.
57.
by bilater 4mo ago
Author here. Seeing comments that this is a doomer article for some reason. I'm an AI optimist. It's humans that scare me. The article is about managing the transition to Valhalla. My toy projects and my job can disappear and I&#x
58.
by bilater 4mo ago
Nope - I'm as optimistic about AI as they come. It's humans that scare me. The article is about managing the transition to Valhalla.
59.
by bilater 4mo ago
Yes! Hopefully with AI we'll get more adaptations of Pratchett. I've only read Going Postal so far. The Discworld universe would be so cool to see.
60.
The Coming Layoffs and the Revenge of the Measurers(hackyexperiments.com)
43 points by bilater 4mo ago|60 comments

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