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Yeah not only is it totally unsubstantiated, the benchmarks are getting less useful to really show the difference between these models. Big model smell is still

by bilater 4mo ago

Yeah not only is it totally unsubstantiated, the benchmarks are getting less useful to really show the difference between these models. Big model smell is still a thing and GLM 5.2 while impressive is not Fable class. Here is something I would like people to chew on. Perhaps the smartest researchers in the world across multiple labs know more about this than we do? Perhaps they are aware of issues like the data wall and diminishing marginal returns. And perhaps they are being honest when they tell you there is no wall?

nathan_compton 4mo ago
Are the smartest researchers in the world out there saying there isn't a wall? I don't know of any people doing the actual R&D who frequently make outrageous claims.
- bilater 4mo ago
  https://x.com/polynoamial/status/2064210146558136827 https://x.com/polynoamial/status/2064210146558136827
  - djvdq 4mo ago
    I'd say that as OpenAI employee he's kinda biased on the topic
    - fragmede 4mo ago
      In what way is what he's saying wrong though? It makes him considerably more knowledgeable about the subject than the average Joe, and unfortunately for science, it's not like you're going to find an independent spherical researcher in the wild that exists without any bias.
- itkovian_ 4mo ago
  The entirety of Anthropic believe ai is going to eat everything, not just software, and result in major societal disruption within a year. They do not have a sliver of a doubt on this. Article has no idea, is completely wrong.
  - coldtea 4mo ago
    "Company execs and stuff pre-IPO declare their product is amazing and will change everything, news at 11"
coldtea 4mo ago
>Perhaps the smartest researchers in the world across multiple labs know more about this than we do? Perhaps the smartest researchers in the world across multiple labs follow the money, and don't make waves that go against them getting their paychecks? That's part of what makes them smartest.

by bilater 4mo ago

nathan_compton 4mo ago

Are the smartest researchers in the world out there saying there isn't a wall? I don't know of any people doing the actual R&D who frequently make outrageous claims.

bilater 4mo ago
https://x.com/polynoamial/status/2064210146558136827 https://x.com/polynoamial/status/2064210146558136827
- djvdq 4mo ago
  I'd say that as OpenAI employee he's kinda biased on the topic
  - fragmede 4mo ago
    In what way is what he's saying wrong though? It makes him considerably more knowledgeable about the subject than the average Joe, and unfortunately for science, it's not like you're going to find an independent spherical researcher in the wild that exists without any bias.
itkovian_ 4mo ago
The entirety of Anthropic believe ai is going to eat everything, not just software, and result in major societal disruption within a year. They do not have a sliver of a doubt on this. Article has no idea, is completely wrong.
- coldtea 4mo ago
  "Company execs and stuff pre-IPO declare their product is amazing and will change everything, news at 11"

coldtea 4mo ago

>Perhaps the smartest researchers in the world across multiple labs know more about this than we do? Perhaps the smartest researchers in the world across multiple labs follow the money, and don't make waves that go against them getting their paychecks? That's part of what makes them smartest.