bbeez

3 ms·

1. 1.▲
   by bbeez 6y ago

   I’ve seen these reports but I don’t understand the math. The true simple CFR meeting actual deaths as reported over actual cases as reported should be adjusted for the course of disease which would make it in places like Italy well over 10%
2. 2.▲
   by bbeez 6y ago

   I think there are also several issues that are causing the reported CFR to be understated, that counteract to some degree the “denominator problem” from undiagnosed mild cases. The one that I think is the most important is the simple unders
3. 3.▲
   by bbeez 6y ago

   I hear a lot about how we may be seriously underestimating the CFR denominator, due to undiagnosed mild cases. Ok I get that. What I don’t hear much about is that the numerator is also probably understated at any point in time for several