axguscbklp

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by axguscbklp 7y ago
I'm not suggesting immediately starting to dose millions of people with it. I'm suggesting massively ramping up production so that if it turns out to be useful, we can at that point immediately start dosing millions of people with
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
It seems to me that we should immediately move to massively increase production of hydroxychloroquine. If it turns out to be part of a solution, great. If not, I doubt that more than a tiny fraction of the total resources dedicated to the p
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
>The U.S. was imperfect too, of course, but most of the badness was non-policy like the My Lai massacre, or evil or wrong policies (e.g. segregation) which pale in comparison I disagree. The biggest badness was support for murderous dict
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
Question: why has the US not attempted to land on Venus? Another question: how long could a lander made with the best modern technology survive on Venus? Edit: oops! I just learned about Pioneer-Venus. Looks like the US has actually landed
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
If the government wants to attract competent people, maybe it should first get rid of mass NSA domestic surveillance, purge the CIA of everyone who was responsible for extraordinary rendition, and try harder not to murder innocent people ov
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
Yes, harder than hype and deluded optimism expected. Plenty of people have seen through the hype and delusion for years now. Level 5 requires AGI. AGI is probably nowhere close to being realized - humans may well be centuries away from reac
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
I think that I am not a mystic if by mysticism you mean something like "forsaking logic and science for delusion". I am a mystic, however, in the sense that while I have enormous respect for logic and scientific method, and I am u
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
A machine could emulate consciousness in the sense that we could probably in principle build a machine that acted, viewed from the outside, as if it were conscious. But we have no way to measure whether something is conscious or not so we w
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
That's not really oversimplification though, it's more like making an assumption. But I agree that it's a minor point. I mainly brought it up in my other comment in this thread because the topic of consciousness fascinates me
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
Wonderful essay, one of the best such compilations I've read. I see myself engaging in many of these thought patterns. I'll add one in the spirit of "none of us are perfect"... >..neurons creating consciousness... Is
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
Because of all the edge cases that humans can handle a good amount of the time because we have a lot of intelligence compared to any computer. But I agree with you that if we meet in the middle, that could actually work well.
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
I would say that I would feel comfortable falling asleep in a 5 while it is driving nontrivial distance and/or road conditions, but I would not feel comfortable doing so in a 4++.
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
The thing is, I see no way to have full self driving without AGI. And I don't think humanity is anywhere close to developing AGI. Without AGI you can have level 4++ self driving, maybe, but not level 5.
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
I'm not against it, I just think that it requires AGI and humanity is nowhere close to developing AGI. I think that AGI is somewhere between "50 years away" and "will never be developed by humans".
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
>I thought fully autonomous driving was meant to be done by now? Musk was bullshitting when he made that prediction. Maybe he did it because he had bought his own bullshit. Personally I think what's more likely is that he was cynica
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
Navigating off-road might actually be easier in practice for AI than navigating on roads, since off-road there are generally many fewer other cars to deal with. As a rough rule of thumb, I'll call a car fully self-driving if, without a
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
The poster you replied to has a point, though. Trump certainly does seem to have many shady connections to powerful Russian figures, but the Trump administration's Russia policy is almost identical to the Obama administration's.
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
Musk, for all his genuine achievements, is also a bullshitter. If/when his FSD prediction fails to come to pass, I expect that he will just say "Well, when I said FSD, what I really meant is..."
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
If you have to modify the environment to make it easier for the cars, then you haven't achieved fully self-driving technology.
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
Well yeah, of course. Full self-driving probably requires artificial general intelligence and it is quite possible that humans will never develop artificial general intelligence. The real surprising thing, for me, is how many otherwise inte
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
Working around the house/village is still work. Male peasants for the most part don't work outside the house/village either. They usually work on fields that relatively close to where they live. And a large fraction of the wo
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
Most people for most of history were peasants. Peasant women don't just raise children - they usually contribute to almost everything else that the farming economy requires, as well. Think of old photos of peasants/poor farmers. D
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by axguscbklp 7y ago
IMO, to whatever extent the reverence exists, it is unjustified. The films are about as good as one can reasonably expect from big budget blockbusters, but to me they are somewhere between mediocre and merely decent cinema, with bombastic m