anovikov

6 ms·

121.
by anovikov 5mo ago
I am not at all concerned about this problem. At this point, society mostly need people as consumers, so quality is not as important as it used to be (in democratic countries it's a bit more complicated because people vote - but this i
122.
by anovikov 5mo ago
Why doing so? When there are so many people irrationally against something, there's always some upside in being closer to truth than the crowd. It's arbitrage.
123.
by anovikov 5mo ago
Not really because to make gasoline, both sorts are necessary. When anyone in the world makes gasoline they need oil they import from the US and they don't need/can't substitute it with the kinds of oil US imports. So there c
124.
by anovikov 5mo ago
JFYI, consumer debt to GDP ratio is at the lowest level in a generation. There's really nothing at all concerning about household debt load and of all principal types of loans there is only one that is problematic: student loans. But i
125.
by anovikov 5mo ago
Why are stocks relevant at all if the US is the largest producer and a 3rd largest net exporter? It's not like there's any chance that there will be oil shortage in US.
126.
by anovikov 5mo ago
How can it go higher if exports are limited by liquefaction capacity which is already being expanded at the fastest pace technically possible and won't expand any faster in any case? US is the world's by far biggest producer, alre
127.
by anovikov 5mo ago
But as progress happens, role for politicians and public perception to play shrinks. Subsidies supported by voters and taxpayers can push something from 1% to 5% but they can't make it go from 20% to 80% - any economy will be bankrupt
128.
by anovikov 6mo ago
Electricity consumption in Germany is down from 2014 actually. And the study was about electricity system with no fossil fuels at all, and assumed no addition of hydro (or storage).
129.
by anovikov 6mo ago
Yes sure renewable based energy system isn't possible on solar alone, it also takes a lot of wind and some hydro+biomass/biogas. Kombikraftwerk study simulated it back in 2014 and results were not so bad.
130.
by anovikov 6mo ago
This is still very, very little. Battery installations need to go another 10x up for proper energy transition, and solar installations as well, at least 5x.
131.
by anovikov 6mo ago
It's a lot simpler. They were providing cheapest service in the era when almost 50% of spending is from top 10% consumers. Inequality made no-frills model unprofitable, no airline without a good premium product and good public image is
132.
by anovikov 6mo ago
Why is this a surprise? A business owner speaks his own money. A "non-business owner" means "an employee of another business" who doesn't care about anything but clocking out at 5pm and not getting fired - they are
133.
by anovikov 6mo ago
Yes just pulled the plug. Now mostly travelling and meeting people (not even drinking, because Ozempic totally killed all the joy of doing it).
134.
by anovikov 6mo ago
Low trust is not a problem anymore. High trust societies these days are just a lot lot more vulnerable. High trust was a fluke brought about by close knit, protestant, racially and ethnically homogenous societies. Now everything is open to
135.
by anovikov 6mo ago
1. Democracy. Measured as "Odds for winning candidate/party 6 months before voting date, averaged over last 4 electoral cycles", higher the better. Democracy = elections with unpredictable results. This metric creates some qu
136.
by anovikov 6mo ago
Personally, i have stopped trying and retired about 9-10 months ago. There's nothing there, i think the whole thing is dead.
137.
by anovikov 6mo ago
70in CRT monitor?? Wasn't 43in Trinitron largest CRT ever created?
138.
by anovikov 6mo ago
It's simply that no one who's still in the job market in China, has ever witnessed a recession or high unemployment. They had a non-stop, rapid growth from 1978. They have no mental concept of it. So they live in blissful ignoranc
139.
by anovikov 6mo ago
In Europe, they never, ever pick on this. Not a single time and i fly more than once per week. Only problem is that flights are frequently full so they sometimes force me to check in what i should take onboard, and i hate waiting for checke
140.
by anovikov 6mo ago
It's probably that there are just no other serious concerns. Concerns are relative: people's anxiety is well, constant - it's a product of their innate anxiety as a psychological trait - it almost doesn't change over tim
141.
by anovikov 6mo ago
It's also progress in components and compute that made insane things possible on a budget, that opened up new markets. Look at what this guy is doing https://hforsten.com/synthetic-aperture-radar-autofocus-and-...
142.
by anovikov 6mo ago
Talking of military stuff: it's not a problem really. No one can keep the non-needed capacity in existence, it's not even possible if no one consumes the product. Make sufficient buffer stocks to have time to re-learn the process
143.
by anovikov 6mo ago
I probably don't understand you in full but the idea of private capital is based on the opposite - that there is no dependency on a single person. This was seen as a major risk of Apple ("what's going to happen if Steve dies,
144.
by anovikov 6mo ago
Well, but at least it shows his engineering and management skills. Both US incumbents and Russians struggled to create new viable launch vehicles and Russians even lost capability to produce old ones (Zenit, then Proton). SpaceX seemed to h
145.
by anovikov 6mo ago
Well, Starship is going to add another order of magnitude to an already overwhelming domination (SpaceX launches 80+% of all payloads by weight, even corrected for orbital energy). This isn't cheap and it did a lot of things that seeme
146.
by anovikov 6mo ago
I don't get why are you being downvoted. People seem to forgot that he started out as an engineer and visionary, and built pioneer companies in at least two industries that were deemed impossible to enter from outside - cars and space
147.
by anovikov 6mo ago
Well, at least success of SpaceX that was achieved in the industry that was considered a basket case overall, and unapproachable by private entrants in particular, is beyond doubt. He brought US space launch industry from a heavily struggli
148.
by anovikov 6mo ago
Human trafficking for porn is fake news. No such thing exists. As for exploitation/abuse - sadly yes, this place is full of prostitutes and they look like they aren't doing it willingly :/ this is truly a dark side of this pl
149.
by anovikov 6mo ago
There are plenty of startups like this here in Cyprus and some of them combine real women and AI, this is a fascinating new field and lots of money is being made. And if the result is less exploitation of women - i see it as a positive outc
150.
by anovikov 6mo ago
Internet in 1999 was like democracy in 1791. An elite club for the few percents of best people. Good days indeed.

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