anjc

35 ms·

331.
by anjc 8y ago
Presumably they're talking about the consumption of Ether as gas, to run contracts. Perhaps they're seeing that algorithmic trading of currency is more predictable than gas consumption by distributed apps, which may be highly and
332.
by anjc 8y ago
That's great. Do you use any other baselines, e.g. random daily positions? I'm guessing that your method soundly beat the 'buy and hold' baseline over the last 5 months. Have you done any work on trying to predict breako
333.
by anjc 8y ago
Very interesting. Are you buying and selling, or are you shorting too? Does this 60% accuracy remain if you change the training/prediction period? I'd guess that it would be more accurate if you train based on days versus seconds.
334.
by anjc 8y ago
I presume that the context of those accuracy numbers is prediction for the next period (i.e. 8 minutes, 10 minutes, 1 minute). To me 60% sounds good, but apparently not to people in this thread :)
335.
by anjc 8y ago
It looks like it is a class project. But so what? It's giving you enough information to reproduce the study, which is more than can be said for many published research papers. That makes it useful imo.
336.
by anjc 8y ago
This is assuming no trading fees and highly liquid exchanges with low spreads, otherwise the profit from these micro-movements could be eaten up. I see no problem with automatic trading over periods of hours if you're getting >60% a
337.
by anjc 8y ago
Interesting that even the most naive methods still have >50% accuracy. Also interesting that the best method was better able to predict downward moves than upward moves, during a bull market. Any intuitive reason for this? Is there some
338.
by anjc 8y ago
Stories!
339.
by anjc 8y ago
> Because if there's one thing banks are known for, it's running off with client assets suddenly and without warning. Capital controls are real
340.
by anjc 8y ago
If you're concerned about an EMP wiping out electronics systems worldwide then surely it'd be smarter to horde weapons, food and antibiotics, than Bitcoin OR gold.
341.
by anjc 8y ago
RIP
342.
by anjc 9y ago
From what I've seen, the average number of citations for papers published in the previous year is something like 0.3. A significant proportion are never cited. Most people give no shit about most papers. The fact that even the shittest
343.
by anjc 9y ago
The key thing not being pointed out is that these papers are generally printed in a journal or as proceedings to a conference. So there needs to be a hard deadline by which the work needs to be complete, and seen as valid, for printing. So
344.
by anjc 9y ago
This is what happens, it's the "peer review" thing being described. The reviews are issued so that corrections can be made before publication.
345.
by anjc 9y ago
You're the resource :) The alternative to you doing it for free would be paying someone. Having said that, I presume that you're doing it because you work in a certain role, and because it's advantageous to your career. I.e.
346.
by anjc 9y ago
"This is probably media hyperbole" > reads comments ITT ...
347.
by anjc 9y ago
> To test the idea, the team showed 24 bonobos another set of animated videos in which one cartoon character repeatedly prevents another one from claiming a coveted spot. The apes generally preferred the character who hogged the spot ove
348.
by anjc 9y ago
I was partially being facetious :) But you said it precisely, it was via a hard fork, which was agreed upon in a democratic fashion. The person I was replying to was suggesting that transactions were simply revoked from Ethereum-HQ, which i
349.
by anjc 9y ago
And how was the contract nullified exactly?
350.
by anjc 9y ago
The rewards go to the people who took on the most risk (i.e. the creators, and then the early investors). If Ether didn't have speculative value then the project would not have proceeded.
351.
by anjc 9y ago
The suggestion that somebody sleeps consistently, achieves a normal weight, and reduces caffeine intake, is probably the least contentious advice in the thread. And he's receiving plenty of medical treatment, there's no need to be
352.
by anjc 9y ago
I suppose it's possible that you do have some illness that no doctor has been able to diagnose. I'm also a pretty calm guy and don't often get "stressed" in the typical sense, but also had similar symptoms to you wh
353.
by anjc 9y ago
It's whatever the last generation of 3D LG Smart TVs was, don't know what model, sorry. But there are settings for depth of 3D and smart 3d object detection and so on (I don't use that). Either way, it feels way more 3D than
354.
by anjc 9y ago
Maybe it's the settings on my TV, or maybe it's due to my expectations, but I'm more consistently blown away at home than in a cinema. In a cinema I adjust to the 3D more quickly. To name drop another movie, I'd highly r
355.
by anjc 9y ago
I wish everyone would have tried 3D on a home TV, because in my experience it's far more immersive and special than in a cinema. It's really disappointing to me that 3D TVs aren't being made anymore.
356.
by anjc 9y ago
Facebook worked like this up until recently, and now sort of works like this. "females who are single, age between 16 and 20, who likes writing" would have returned precise results.
357.
by anjc 9y ago
"Can't wait to get to work. Anywhere is better than this cold shower". Plausible...
358.
by anjc 9y ago
You only have to casually witness the art world - even just at a local level - to see that speculation by wealthy buyers sustains it, and also, that it costs a lot to produce art as a professional. So maybe without patronage some level of a
359.
by anjc 9y ago
> People are going to look very hard to see what is so special about this painting. Leonardo da Vinci painted it, for a start
360.
by anjc 9y ago
> Art is supposed to inspire our inner eye for beauty These paintings were only painted because exceedingly wealthy families commissioned and collected them. If it were up to people like me and you, there'd be no art to inspire peop

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