angelzen

21 ms·

151.
by angelzen 5y ago
The middle class cumulative share of the national income and wealth has declined quite significantly over past 50 years. Income: 62% => 43% Wealth: 32% => 17% https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2020/01
152.
by angelzen 5y ago
This ZOE business is something else. Their website is 75% building up their credentials, 25% promoting their app and 0% substance, e.g. what the actual formulas are or a link to code and data dumps. Or at least a research publication with s
153.
by angelzen 5y ago
"should not be used to estimate vaccine effectiveness" Exactly. Neither should aggregate numbers that various US states and Prof. Spector use to spread fear, acrimony and stigma should be used to estimate VE, or mislead the audien
154.
by angelzen 5y ago
Interesting. Last detailed report is from Sept 07. Vax rate ~90%, 2-3k new cases, ~90% in vaxed population. The vaccine seemingly had no effect on infections?! Nothing like 6.8x likelihood. So on one hand we have detailed data from UK and S
155.
by angelzen 5y ago
Very few know or care what the policies are. The vast majority of the voters decide using the gut feeling of who's the "good guy". Hence yesteryear's politicians competing in obnoxious Bible thumping, and the equally obn
156.
by angelzen 5y ago
Yes. https://www.moh.gov.sg/covid-19/statistics
157.
by angelzen 5y ago
The linked video, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hc7A1bVuSJU&t=56s , is misleading. It shows that the number of unvax cases is much larger than vax cases. I hope that by know it is common knowledge that the pandemic beh
158.
by angelzen 5y ago
That quote never sit well with me. How about "Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize there is a 50/50 chance you are stupider than that."
159.
by angelzen 5y ago
Are there any other considerents in life, or reduce-the-chances-of-getting-and-spreading-sars-cov2 is the only metric of relevance? Can you conceptualize any possible anti-covid measure that has too little of a benefit for too high of a cos
160.
by angelzen 5y ago
Startrek is amazingly devoid of status conflicts. Everybody takes for granted the the BigCaptain is BigCaptain for life and that the SeniorOfficers are SeniorOfficers for life. The crew is content to work routine boring jobs for years on en
161.
by angelzen 5y ago
There is one in the Pfizer application for FDA authorization in 5-11 age group, see Table 14, page 34. It is not a direct study, it's an extrapolation based on antigen titers in a 2000 kid 2 months clinical trial, but it's the onl
162.
by angelzen 5y ago
The article also shows that deaths-per-100k is highly dependent on age. "“Age is our top risk factor for vaccine breakthrough deaths,” said Theresa Sokol, the state epidemiologist in Louisiana, one of the jurisdictions that contributed
163.
by angelzen 5y ago
That is correct. It is also a hypothetical. The ethical question is, at what level of vaccine efficacy, either against infection or against severe infection, do we stop mandating vaccines, for adults (see federal mandate) or, inexcusably, f
164.
by angelzen 5y ago
There is a fairly influential activist movement that promotes "Vision Zero". The ostensible goal is to reduce car accident injuries to zero, in practice this means a soft ban on cars: remove parking, remove lanes, snail speed limi
165.
by angelzen 5y ago
Now that gave me a chuckle. I'll defer to the experts then. :)
166.
by angelzen 5y ago
Thanks for the correction and the great link.
167.
by angelzen 5y ago
"Yes, the vaccine efficacy drops over time." That's it. Pfizer made their core of their argument to FDA for 5-11 age group based on VE against infection numbers that we agree do not hold over time. They should take their ti
168.
by angelzen 5y ago
Good point. I'm attempting to summarize the position of the total vaxers as best I can. Some incoherency may be unavoidable. I personally find the logic bordering the absurd... Perhaps "some vaccinated people are still at severe r
169.
by angelzen 5y ago
Novavax has also applied for approval in Canada, UK, Australia and NZ, and possibly already received EUA in Indonesia. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29111197 https://ir.novavax.com/press-releases?cate
170.
by angelzen 5y ago
https://www.homedepot.com/p/Newhouse-Hardware-All-Purpose-Wi...
171.
by angelzen 5y ago
FWIW, the article is too long and rambly for my taste. But, they estimate NNTV to save a life in 5-11 age range at 1 : 1,261,550. It so happens that Pfizer themselves estimated NNTV at 1 : 1,000,000 in their FDA application (table 14, page
172.
by angelzen 5y ago
The argument is that because vaccinated people are still at severe risk (*), it follows we should vaccinate everyone to reduce the risk of severe infection in the vaccinated population (we have written off the unvaccinated). Following the
173.
by angelzen 5y ago
To be fair, before we get carried away, VE against severe infection persists much better given the limited data we have and considering the in-the-field hospitalization & death rates. For adults, especially older, the vaccine is a big n
174.
by angelzen 5y ago
It's getting ugly... The choice of newspaper section is telling... "San Francisco says children 5 to 11 will have to comply with proof-of-vaccination mandate" https://www.sfgate.com/bay-area-politics/arti
175.
by angelzen 5y ago
PS. One more recent VE study picked from the comments, https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-021-01548-7/tables/3 UK, VE vs delta over 90 days days VEaPCRI VEaSI after 2nd dose 14 85%
176.
by angelzen 5y ago
Nit. CFR may not be the best measure, as it is very sensitive to the level of testing, which I expect is higher in a small homogenous country like Singapore. Alternatively, raw deaths per million shows closer numbers, though unclear if Sing
177.
by angelzen 5y ago
Speaking of protection (vaccine effectiveness against infection) durability, I have to admit there is a certain level of disappointment seeing charts like Figure 1 in a US veteran study, which flat out contradicts the J&J claims (VEaI 3
178.
by angelzen 5y ago
Nuance: Touting high effectiveness agains infection, which degrades over time. This has been explained elsewhere in this thread, the original vaccine claims were similar and later morphed into "but the vaccine was always designed to pr
179.
by angelzen 5y ago
At the other end of the spectrum, in British Columbia (population 5 million), there have been 0 deaths in age group 10-19 and 2 deaths in age group <10. To further confound the issue, mortality rates in infants is significantly larger th
180.
by angelzen 5y ago
As long as 'severe' covid efficiency rates are in the same ballpark as covid deaths rates, I'm willing to accept the ballpark even if the details may be marginally off. Another credible metric is ICU utilization, because it&#

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