4 ms·
Interesting. Last detailed report is from Sept 07. Vax rate ~90%, 2-3k new cases, ~90% in vaxed population. The vaccine seemingly had no effect on infections?!
by angelzen 5y ago
Interesting. Last detailed report is from Sept 07. Vax rate ~90%, 2-3k new cases, ~90% in vaxed population. The vaccine seemingly had no effect on infections?! Nothing like 6.8x likelihood.
So on one hand we have detailed data from UK and Singapore with breakdown by age/date/vax status and limited VE agains infection, on the other hand opaque charts (US...) with only aggregate numbers, showing 6-10x odds in favor of vax. The lack of detailed epi USA data conspicuously continues.
I did sanity check one UK aggregate chart touted in a sibling thread claiming, absolute numbers, unvax infections >> vax infections in UK. There were egregious Simpson's issues, all age groups >18yo had (significantly) more vax infections than unvax infections. The <18yo case load was a huge outlier, dominating the aggregate numbers. Fireable offense for a data analyst.
https://www.moh.gov.sg/news-highlights/details/update-on-local-covid-19-situation-and-vaccination-progress-(7-sep) https://www.moh.gov.sg/news-highlights/details/update-on-loc...
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29126217 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29126217
- refurb 5y agoI’ve seen some really sloppy analyses. There was one in Canada that was similar to the US. It entirely ignored factors like vaccinated people never testing positive because they are asymptomatic. The Singapore one isn’t perfect since those at higher risk of exposure (medical workers) tend to be vaccinated so that isn’t corrected for. But that would also disappear as you start to get most of the population vaccinated.