Yoric

13 ms·

211.
by Yoric 1y ago
> Most of the technologically unemployed will wake up and do whatever AI tells them to do on a daily basis. Their lives will improve because AI is better than they are naturally at everything. This will lead to some weird outcomes. Espec
212.
by Yoric 1y ago
Having worked with CEOs of a few start-ups, I suspect that many CEOs feel like they belong to a small circle of people "in the know". Part of it is going through the VC gauntlet, I believe. Let's face it, to get money from VC
213.
by Yoric 1y ago
And now (useful) quantum computing is 5 years away! Has been for a few years, too.
214.
by Yoric 1y ago
I assume you're describing the fact that Silicon Valley culture keeps pushing out products before they're fully baked?
215.
by Yoric 1y ago
It's a possibility, but far from certainty. If you look at it differently, assembly language may have been one nine, compilers may have been the next nine, successive generations of language until ${your favorite language} one more nin
216.
by Yoric 1y ago
Jane Street apparently has a version of OCaml extended with affine types. I'd like to test that, because that would (almost) be the best of all worlds.
217.
by Yoric 1y ago
As an OS/2 and Linux users, I mostly missed out on Win95 fun. But I was thinking of the (not particularly) golden days of MS-DOS/DR-DOS/Amiga/Atari applications.
218.
by Yoric 1y ago
FWIW, I was speaking of the 80s.
219.
by Yoric 1y ago
For LLMs? Mostly permanently. This is a limitation of the architecture. Yes, there are workarounds, including ChatGPT's "memory" or your technique (which I believe are mostly equivalent), but they are limited, slow and expens
220.
by Yoric 1y ago
That's not how I read it. Perhaps because most of the smartest people I know are regularly irrational or impulsive :)
221.
by Yoric 1y ago
By the time a junior dev graduates to senior, I expect that they'll be more reliable. In fact, at the end of each project, I expect the junior dev to have grown more reliable. LLMs don't learn from a project. At best, you learn ho
222.
by Yoric 1y ago
"1, 2, 3" is a correct answer "1 2 3" is another "After sorting, we get `1, 2, 3`" yet another etc. At least, that's how I understood GP's comment.
223.
by Yoric 1y ago
It needs to optimize for something. Like/dislike is an anthropomorphization of the concept.
224.
by Yoric 1y ago
I grew up in the same era and I recall crashes being less frequent. There were plenty of other issues, including the fact that you had to adjust the right IRQ and DMA for your Sound Blaster manually, both physically and in each game, or tha
225.
by Yoric 1y ago
That being said, even if for some reason your money is invested in Finland (or somehow safe from the next collapse), that won't be sufficient to save your entire community.
226.
by Yoric 1y ago
Good point. And both Google and Apple used to reinvest all benefits in R&D. My impression is that as they calcify into money-printing machines, this stopped. An example being Google's famed 20% that are apparently a long dead memor
227.
by Yoric 1y ago
All of this is research from the 90s, with a few decades of polish. Now maybe we could start looking at what research labs have come up with since then. > Hell, the state the US is in currently is largely explained by the fact that most
228.
by Yoric 1y ago
Possibly, yes, but so far, it's barely noticeable, hardly a threat.
229.
by Yoric 1y ago
Very nice! Interesting that Chile and Brazil went further down than S&P, but I guess it's noisy.
230.
by Yoric 1y ago
Eh, I was just discussing this article on LinkedIn. Even one wasn't _that_ cynical about AI, but yeah, this is clearly one possible reading of the events. I'm in no hurry to live in the future that it entails, though.
231.
by Yoric 1y ago
On the other hand, GPUs die down fairly quickly, so this excess capacity had better prove useful rather quickly.
232.
by Yoric 1y ago
Well, last few times the US had a big recession, they took down the whole world with them. The biggest recession led almost directly to WWII, and that was before the US centralized that much power or money. I don't live in the US, but
233.
by Yoric 1y ago
I think that the sentence is "Those who don't learn from history are condemned to send everyone else to the bread lines while they retire on their private luxury islands."
234.
by Yoric 1y ago
> For Nvidia: all it will take is for one smart grad student to find a better training algorithm to destroy 75% of their value. I don't think so. We've already seen several generations of better training algorithms, but they al
235.
by Yoric 1y ago
I'm working on two graph optimization libraries for quantum computers. The first one was released a few months ago and the next version will make it much more powerful. The second one is currently being tested. Both of them work on act
236.
by Yoric 1y ago
Now remember that there's an entire current in Silicon Valley that advocates against rule of law, at least when applied to them. Oh, and a felon taking some liberties with law sitting at the White House. Yeah, I think reminding people
237.
by Yoric 1y ago
Do I understand correctly that you're saying Donald Trump got lots of support from social networks and TV for free?
238.
by Yoric 1y ago
Isn't it what McKinsley has been doing for the last few years?
239.
by Yoric 1y ago
I absolutely buy that theory. I believe that we the normalization of catastrophe was a natural consequence of VC money: VC don't care about structurally sound companies, in particular structurally sound products, what they want is a un
240.
by Yoric 1y ago
I mean that I've read a few articles claiming that using CPI as the metric for inflation is plainly wrong. I'm not an economist, can't comment any further.

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