YetAnotherNick

7 ms·

61.
by YetAnotherNick 4mo ago
I have many diverse friend groups. And HN is lot lot more anti AI then even the worst of the non technical groups I am in. e.g. [1] is so detached from reality and got to front page for multiple days recently. Or [2]. I have never seen a po
62.
by YetAnotherNick 4mo ago
Why do these kind of articles getting into front page in HN everyday. There is nothing substantive and these are the empty kind of articles that anti AI folks should be against. No one is forcing you or pressuring you to not call friend to
63.
by YetAnotherNick 4mo ago
Where did 4 order of magnitude even come from? If I were to guess it is just 5x larger based on the pricing, so not even 1 order of magnitude. > Mythos is not 4 orders of magnitude larger than Opus Again can you define this. How would 4
64.
by YetAnotherNick 4mo ago
Lot of the things aren't facts that could be stated. No one can just see the dictionary or translation of words and start talking in that language. There isn't a clear definition of what is knowledge and what is intelligence. Is b
65.
by YetAnotherNick 4mo ago
What do you mean by 3-4 orders of magnitude better? Was Einstein 3-4 order of magnitude better than us? Meaningful in the sense it could find security vulnerabilities in browser and kernel that >99% of the engineers couldn't find.
66.
by YetAnotherNick 4mo ago
> It is almost guaranteed that a 60-90B model can outperform current SOTA in coding tasks within 2-3 years. I am ready to bet against this. Knowledge benchmark like SimpleQA isn't increasing for small models. > It is far less cle
67.
by YetAnotherNick 4mo ago
At least they show competitors in any benchmark, compared to OpenAI which likes to pretend that there isn't any competitor.
68.
by YetAnotherNick 4mo ago
Those numbers don't even track even in the same sentence. If it is $2T/year by the end of 2029, it would be something < $6T cumulative in 3 years.
69.
by YetAnotherNick 4mo ago
> $5t to $10t to make back in the next 5 years Wait what? They spent 2 order of magnitude less on hardware.
70.
by YetAnotherNick 4mo ago
Did you even try to verify your claims. I tested it on few translations on wikipedia articles using [1] and it takes 15-20% more tokens for Norwegian. English performs the best because there is more data in English and high quality sources
71.
by YetAnotherNick 4mo ago
Is opening church cheaper than running open models?
72.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
> This is not true at all. In what sense is it not true? > mission of the church and mission of the ai being the same is absurd Did I claim that? I just said any point you wrote against church representing powerful few is applicable t
73.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
Everything you say apply to the AI. Even more so that there are very good open models which anyone can host and get almost exact same power.
74.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
This is so obviously wrong I don't know how this theory got popular. OpenAI had everything from compute to brand name to contracts. Sam wasn't the reason the money was coming, employees and OpenAI were. Even if Sam bought them mon
75.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
Then they should have made the position clear to the public, or at the very least have some communication with the employees. It's not hard to say that they were against Sam for some particular reason, if they are firing him. At least
76.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
The irony is that this is the most AI generated, agreeable and no substance article. And the only ones who are upvoting it are the people who are against those. Does so many people in HN just upvote by title?
77.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
If the collude to say make the price $1000 for a component that costs them $100(including opportunity costs), then either a new company or a greedy company in the collusion can make their price secretly $900 and get massively more profit. R
78.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
Because house is part of economy. Crypto went from $4T market cap to $2T and no wide impact was observed. Same will be true for $4T AI market cap.
79.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
Why can't someone ask what happened in Ilya's mind. Firing Sam and then signing the solidarity letter of Sam to leave OpenAI if was fired. Other than that, all other information seems kind of just going over the surface.
80.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
But inference is increasing dramatically. Google says they now do inference of 3.2 quadrillion tokens per month, 7x increase in a year. Claude code and others are here to grow even if they don't do any further training.
81.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
Because in 2008 ordinary everyday people invested in overvalued things like house.
82.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
> That's the only market that will recoup the program costs. No. If it is just $15B I can think of dozens different usecases ranging from military applications(fast transportation, it is the cheapest ICBM) to asteroid deflection to
83.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
Loss to who? Now all of a sudden, we are caring about investors and sovereign funds? And I think we passed the threshold for crash down for AI, even if AI companies wont be that profitable. Nvidia/cloud providers will be profitable as
84.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
You are comparing two different model. It's like saying roadster is more expensive than model S. No model pricing actually increased, and I am using GPT-4o in the same price as it was before. You can see price vs performance in artific
85.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
Also if I were to guess the damages because of sci hub is higher than Anthropic training the models. I don't think I know anyone who didn't bought a book because the summary is available or they can ask about it to AI.
86.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
No. Anthropic fought and paid $1.5 billion in settlement and agreed to delete all the copyrighted material.
87.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
We were talking about winning commercially, not on model quality.
88.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
Well China is consistently 6 months behind the frontier labs(possibly because they can they harvest data from released frontier models). If the scaling continues, US will win, but if not then China will win as the models will converge.
89.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
Those legal and IT departments of companies favours Microsoft and Amazon, as they are sure they won't get any issue with regulation, or if they do they are the ones who can have better legal representation than a small open source self
90.
by YetAnotherNick 5mo ago
Later in the article: > The act is not limited to companies based in the United States.

More ›