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Satam
searching PlanetScale…
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by
Satam
3y ago
From: https://twitter.com/geoffreyirving/status/172675427761849141... Geoffrey Irving @geoffreyirving: Third, my prior is strongly against Sam after working for him for two years at OpenAI: 1. He was always nice t
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Satam
3y ago
If you do a board coup, surely, you then use the best fake reasons you can muster to justify your decision. Why would they hold back giving answers they know wouldn't satisfy anyone and just inspire further anger? First thought: buying
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OpenAI's chaos does not add up
(builtnotfound.proseful.com)
285 points
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Satam
3y ago
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209 comments
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Satam
3y ago
And to argue against myself. One way this doesn't come true is from the fact have being smarter than every human still isn't smart enough if it's not orders of magnitude smarter.
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Satam
3y ago
They will bleed what exactly? The product will keep on working as well as it did, and in the upcoming future, the general public will not give a single fuck about what has happened here.
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Satam
3y ago
I find this hard to internalize, to be honest. I am inclined to chase the economic and productivity gains that might await if the promise of something like AGI is fulfilled. It does look to me like the progress won't be slowing down mu
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Widely useful is also widely dangerous
(builtnotfound.proseful.com)
1 points
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Satam
3y ago
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2 comments
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Satam
3y ago
You're wrong about A & C but B is more nuanced. a) Meta is training and releasing cutting-edge LLM models. When they manage to get the costs down, everyone and their grandma is going to have Meta's AI on their phone either thr
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Satam
3y ago
I'm the first to defend CEOs and it's not a popular position to be in usually, believe me. But in this case, they did an experiment and it blew up based on their model's superiority alone. Product-wise, however, it's loo
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Satam
3y ago
Purely business-wise, it sure does seem like it's a race down to the bottom. A disproportionate amount of the sharpest minds are working on this, burning ungodly amounts of money but no one has so far has really managed to capture that
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Satam
3y ago
Except they only had AI model velocity and not product velocity. The user-side implementation of chatGPT is actually quite below what would be expected based on their AI superiority. So the parts that Sam & Greg should be responsible fo
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Satam
3y ago
Agreed. If you build an AI that's very useful on a vast array of diverse tasks, it is naturally also going to have a large capacity for harm. A blunt knife cuts nothing, but a sharp one slices both through our food and our fingers. I&#
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Satam
3y ago
It's related insofar that Sam or no Sam, OpenAI might be done with their part for good. It seems like they might have GPT-5 up their sleeve but after that, I can't be certain if they have a winning horse in this race to the bottom
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Satam
3y ago
I think you're right but there might be a catch. It doesn't seem like he's able to steer the delivery of polished products either. I know it's the fastest growing app and all that but that's driven by their tech. I
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Satam
3y ago
It now seems to me that it was inevitable that something like GPT would take off - but it didn't necessarily have to come from OpenAI. Someone else would have filled their place. The collective ML knowledge and research were rapidly ev
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Satam
3y ago
Rereading what I wrote... It does sound like satire - but no, I'm serious haha. If the tech is able to deliver without compromises in quality, I think the transition would be inevitable.
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Satam
3y ago
Would it be wrong and not art if one wouldn't need a $100 million budget to fully execute their vision? And art is a term that's quite ambiguous and often means different things to different people. I think you would agree that a
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Satam
3y ago
I thought about this as well but I think research activities and such might be qualitatively different, at least for now. Movies are merely looking to please our senses, on the other hand, researchers look for truths and facts about the wor
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Satam
3y ago
It's why AI-generated movie shots would make a lot of sense. Hollywood spends billions of dollars, builds and blows up elaborate sets, and hires 100,000s of thousands of people... just to be able to have pixels move in a pleasing way.
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Satam
3y ago
Australia had a nationwide internet meltdown a few days ago. Something's brewing?
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Satam
3y ago
Apparently it is a stock? https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPHR:NYSE?sa=X&ved=2ahU...
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Satam
3y ago
Very interesting and basically confirms that GPT-4 turbo is a faster but dumber model. When a task doesn't rely on memorization of the training set, it reasons similarly well to GPT-4. Where memorization is helpful, it performs worse (
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Satam
3y ago
This might go against the standard definition of AGI, but I think LLMs have already achieved general intelligence (but not superintelligence). It is not human level and it succeeds and fails in ways different from us. However, it certainly
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Satam
3y ago
I have proposed[1] a pragmatic rule of thumb for defining superintelligence: A system is superintelligent if in a remote hiring process it can get any non-physical job, earn a salary and perform its duties to the satisfaction of the employe
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Taking the AGI Bet
(builtnotfound.proseful.com)
1 points
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Satam
3y ago
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0 comments
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Pragmatic Superintelligence
(builtnotfound.proseful.com)
1 points
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Satam
3y ago
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0 comments
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Satam
3y ago
Tesla did not establish electric veichile company and Max Planck did not, in fact, erect a building in my university's square.
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Satam
3y ago
An insolvent business pays no salaries, and that's where you'll end up running an enterprise like a charity.
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Satam
3y ago
Right, and if someone else thinks they can do a better job they're free to start their own company or acquire a stake in one. Also, why are stakeholders being infantalized like they're some completely naive and innocent bystanders
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Satam
3y ago
Why do so many people feel they're owed a job? When founding a company the market certainly doesn't give the entrepneur a break. You get money, you work, that's the end of it. If someone was ever offered 2x their salary elsew
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