OptimalPlay

3 ms·

1. 1.▲
   Ask HN: Startup job offer with equity valued using 409A ~8 months ago

   4 points by OptimalPlay 4y ago|5 comments
2. 2.▲
   by OptimalPlay 8y ago

   The replies to this don't look correct so here's my take: P(R) = Probability of rain in Seattle P(F) = Probability of three friends saying it's raining in Seattle P(F) = P(F|R)*P(R) + P(F|R')*(1-P(R)) = (8