Octoth0rpe

5 ms·

31.
by Octoth0rpe 2mo ago
> SpaceX is an AI company without a frontier model. Unless they manage to build such a model, then their plan looks like they intend to be an AI _infrastructure_ company. Which is probably viable and healthy business! One with lots of co
32.
by Octoth0rpe 2mo ago
That was indeed my intent. Pre-IPO, SpaceX already had _some_ cash in hand, and was burning >4b per quarter IIRC; so presumably _some_ runway. That said, they also got the anthropic/openai monthly payments coming in soon (already st
33.
by Octoth0rpe 2mo ago
> My best guess, it makes it harder to get loans in the future. Which is pretty important! It's my understanding that from all that money they raised during their IPO, a good amount of it went right back out the door again to pay of
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by Octoth0rpe 2mo ago
> No one would bat an eye about "ledger" appearing at a high frequency in content about accounting, but it starts to look odd if "ledger" is showing up in other contexts. The reason why I chose that specific term to p
35.
by Octoth0rpe 2mo ago
It's a pretty common word if you've worked in anything that vaguely resembles an accountancy system. Also, anything crypto related will often use that word (the distributed ledger, etc)
36.
by Octoth0rpe 2mo ago
> Nobody is expected to use it. There's a certain ironic circularity to this comment given Torvalds' original email, describing his little project as: > just a hobby, won't be big (of course, I agree with you, no one is
37.
by Octoth0rpe 2mo ago
What does it mean to work on a port of redox on macos? The ability to compile it / build a disk image on macOs?
38.
by Octoth0rpe 3mo ago
Do you have any #s on how old they were at decomm time? There's some suspicion that part of the AI bubble is companies playing games with depreciation, eg assuming that H100/H200s will survive for 5 years.
39.
by Octoth0rpe 3mo ago
That's an interesting approach. I'm concerned about the use of LibreOffice as your source of truth. Would it be possible to swap out LibreOffice for actual MS Word in this workflow? This also could reveal some libreoffice renderin
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by Octoth0rpe 3mo ago
> Maybe because Mozilla makes no money Mozilla makes a surprising amount of money, almost entirely from google.
41.
by Octoth0rpe 3mo ago
> Product and service reviews are completely useless now too > Product and service reviews are completely useless now too One relatively minor counterpoint: amazon has seemed to resolve their review squatting issue. Several years ago,
42.
by Octoth0rpe 3mo ago
Surely such a person would use the spelling k@r3n
43.
by Octoth0rpe 3mo ago
More importantly, he's really probably talking about 'superintelligence', rather than just building genuinely useful and monetizable models.
44.
by Octoth0rpe 3mo ago
That's not how we have traditionally thought citizenship works, but that is exactly what the Trump administration would've gone for next if the supreme court had ruled in their favor in this instance, thereby setting up the _next_
45.
by Octoth0rpe 3mo ago
> They just need to win in coding and that's exactly where they are going. They don't even need to 'win' in the sense of maxing the benchmark. They can be 20% worse/50% cheaper and many of us (and our managers wh
46.
by Octoth0rpe 3mo ago
The entire post is great, but the acknowledgements section is particularly excellent: > Kubernetes (the dog), who was not involved in this incident but whose photo in the #incident-response channel was auto-tagged by the Slack image clas
47.
by Octoth0rpe 3mo ago
I don't disagree, but given the ideological opposition towards NPR/PBS right now from Republicans, the only way we might accomplish that is by promising to turn them into fox news.
48.
by Octoth0rpe 3mo ago
> You can buy a Macbook Pro with an M5 Max with 128GB of RAM for $6k currently. I expect that will go up by 20-50% in the next generation. That config can be had for $5100 already: https://www.apple.com/shop/buy-mac&
49.
by Octoth0rpe 3mo ago
I think we might end up in a weirder situation: Apple _does_ drop their prices back down to current levels for the same quantity of ram, but ASP goes much higher, at least for the Pro tier buyers. My reasoning is that depending on how the b
50.
by Octoth0rpe 3mo ago
> A dual Natrium reactor site can provide 690 MW of reliable 24/7 365 power Given that they haven’t actually built one, asserting the performance seems inappropriate, _especially_ the uptime which IIRC is far, far higher than is ty
51.
by Octoth0rpe 3mo ago
If someone refers to themselves by a particular slur, that does not grant you any social leniency to call them that too. Consider that exact situation with any other particular slur.
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by Octoth0rpe 3mo ago
Hopefully? I mean, adding the cell modem is sort of hypothesizing about the future, and if we're already doing that then we might as well also hypothesize that such a future google tv will refuse to display anything from its hdmi input
53.
by Octoth0rpe 3mo ago
I was dreading my most recent tv purchase (last fall) for exactly this reason, and ended up with TCL google tv. One can apparently setup a google tv as a dumb tv and never sign it into the internet. It acts exactly how I'd want a dumb
54.
by Octoth0rpe 4mo ago
I wonder how the decisions might change by adding the simple instruction of "Note that a nuclear exchange will result in significant loss of shareholder value for <model owner>"
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by Octoth0rpe 4mo ago
wow, that caused me quite a bit of confusion > Haskell Free Library Has zero to do with haskell the language: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Haskell_Free_Library_and_Opera...
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by Octoth0rpe 4mo ago
I wonder if that number can be adjusted based on the amount of arable land, or based on the ease of construction (quite the nebulous term here admittedly). The number of mountains presumably makes this hard to compare.
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by Octoth0rpe 4mo ago
I mean, sure, in the sense that they're a real and meaningful number for most of the spectrum on offer, and only gets silly when the number gets too high? There's a pretty big usability difference between 10t/s and 100t/
58.
by Octoth0rpe 4mo ago
Throwing out another factor: Chinese companies have been banned and/or limited from buying nvidia, and turned to local companies for their hardware. I haven't actually seen pricing/benchmarks comparing Chinese AI accelerators
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by Octoth0rpe 4mo ago
Many people think their claimed TAM is total fiction, and attempting an actual realistic TAM relies far more heavily on starlink. From morningstar: > Our base-case forecast entails $56 billion in revenue for Starlink in these niche and g
60.
by Octoth0rpe 4mo ago
I think in some people's minds, the concept of sentience and intelligence are intertwined, and there are at least some people (myself included) who do not think they're the same. There is a strong (but surprisingly not universal)

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