MrScruff

15 ms·

181.
by MrScruff 3y ago
I think it very unlikely you could call a coin flip ten times in a row, but I wouldn't want to bet my life savings on it.
182.
by MrScruff 3y ago
I find it quite extraordinary how many on here are dismissing that there is any risk at all. I also find statements like Yann LeCunn's that "The most common reaction by AI researchers to these prophecies of doom is face palming.&q
183.
by MrScruff 3y ago
Haha that’s a cool fact. By implication you’ll hear a slightly different groove as the drummer than your audience.
184.
by MrScruff 3y ago
As a drummer who also programs drums, shifting individual hits around by 1 ms is easily perceptible and has a big impact on the feel of a groove. I will always go through each drum element separately and figure out, by ear, what the specifi
185.
by MrScruff 3y ago
I feel that the time quoted to cook the recipes is always based on an experienced chef, which is likely often not the case for things like Hello Fresh. An experienced chef will have be far more efficient at chopping/food preparation -
186.
by MrScruff 3y ago
Yes exactly. They've been foreshadowing this with developers for a while with ARKit. It will take several iterations, and likely as yet non existent new technology to make this a true mass market product. But it's not like it woul
187.
by MrScruff 3y ago
Fun game! I prompted it to guess Inception with a thought cloud, an hourglass and a gun.
188.
by MrScruff 3y ago
Not the person you’re replying to but I work in an industry not to dissimilar to games and many of the top performers love in-person collaboration. They come into the office every day even though they’re not obliged to.
189.
by MrScruff 3y ago
I disagree. I massively preferred working 100% in the office with colleagues and would return to that in a heartbeat if it was an option. I know many others who feel the same.
190.
by MrScruff 3y ago
It matters because the memo as being portrayed as 'the opinion of Google' by websites looking for clicks. The opinion is as relevant or not as any opinion expressed on Hacker News, the fact that the person who expressed it works f
191.
by MrScruff 3y ago
Yes exactly. All of the dismissive ‘it’s just a fancy next word predictor’ articles can’t see the woods for the trees. Just because the function of the model is to predict the next word tells us almost nothing about what internal representa
192.
by MrScruff 3y ago
Not sure what reputation you're talking about? It alters your capacity for empathy, not your sex drive.
193.
by MrScruff 3y ago
Agreed, but the question is would he still claim it's not possible to train a deep model to achieve this goal at all. Maybe not, but it feels a lot less certain than it did in 2017.
194.
by MrScruff 3y ago
From the linked blog post (2017) > Even with this data, you could not train a deep learning model to simply read a product description and generate the appropriate codebase. Would be make the same claim now I wonder?
195.
by MrScruff 3y ago
Depends what you mean by threat. Could future LLMs industrialise misinformation disrupting the global political order? Maybe. Can we scale up current architectures to beyond human intelligence without further advances in theory/methods
196.
by MrScruff 3y ago
> This explains nothing. Stating it's an emergent phenomenon gives us just as much information as saying it's magic. Arguably even less, because it sounds like an explanation, whereas "magic" doesn't pretend to e
197.
by MrScruff 3y ago
I think you're missing the point. It's not that GPT4 is sentient, not that successor LLMs will be. It may be we never create something that's sentient, by our definition. My argument is just that: - Sentience is variable. We
198.
by MrScruff 3y ago
I didn't claim ChatGPT constitutes a self. I agree with the description of 'stochastic parrot'. But the underlying intelligence GPT4 is demonstrating in order to be a better stochastic parrot appears to be, while it's ob
199.
by MrScruff 3y ago
I think the mystery of why we're not just philosophical zombies was never going to have some eureka moment, given that it's quite plain it's an emergent property. Was there a creature in history that wasn't sentient that
200.
by MrScruff 3y ago
Yes of course, I'm being loose in my language, but you know what I'm getting at.
201.
by MrScruff 3y ago
Obviously AI academics are uniquely challenged by the 'scaling is (nearly) everything' reality, but I feel like a lot of the mixed emotions being expressed towards the latest results are also because we're actually seeing the
202.
by MrScruff 4y ago
This is true. But if the AI was multimodal and we had some sensors that could measure the chemical composition of an object that it’s told is labelled ‘pizza’. Presumably that would count as semantic information?
203.
by MrScruff 4y ago
Agreed, and this is where there needs to be a line drawn. GPT is trained to emulate the patterns in the text it was trained in, and it is very likely learning higher level relations between concepts/states where it needs to in order to
204.
by MrScruff 4y ago
This article lines up well with my feelings on the matter. In general, people seem to understate the emergent behaviours of ML models, while overstating the uniqueness of human intelligence. I think a lot of this is down to the fact that al
205.
by MrScruff 4y ago
This is such an extraordinary claim. That this technology arms race the like of which we’ve possibly never seen before is somehow going to end at GPT-4 because ‘we’ve run out of training data’. Do you think the entire research staff at Open
206.
by MrScruff 4y ago
I'm not sure anyone is claiming that ChatGPT is going to steal their job. I think most people are just extrapolating the ridiculously steep rate of progression and pondering what the future holds. Sure, maybe we're about to hit a
207.
by MrScruff 4y ago
Isn’t almost everything on this page concept stuff though? Seems like the only thing they’re shipping is text to image and the results they show look pretty underwhelming. Seems like all these big companies are pushing amazing looking conce
208.
by MrScruff 4y ago
He addresses this in the interview. In terms of research background, you're right. But he's someone with a history of original thought and as he states, it's not clear that we're at the stage of machine learning where us
209.
by MrScruff 4y ago
Absolutely, I would just addressing the ‘it’s just statistical’ argument. The vast majority of human behaviour is learned. We’re all implicitly ‘saying what seems right to achieve some underlying fitness function’ all of the time. That’s wh
210.
by MrScruff 4y ago
Exactly this. A lot of these type of articles on AI make the simultaneous mistakes of understating what even the current iterations of models are capable of, while overstating the complexity of our own intelligence. As these models get larg

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