MarkusQ

3 ms·

1.
by MarkusQ 5d ago
That past certainly did exist, within living memory (mine, for one).
2.
by MarkusQ 7d ago
No, the Germans had good statistical data linking smoking (as well as asbestos and other carcinogens) to cancer by the 1930s; this was known and ignored (or actively derided) by the allies. It's one of the classic and well known examp
3.
by MarkusQ 7d ago
Well, your heart contains both mesoderm derived cells (enervation) and ectoderm derived cells (musculature).
4.
by MarkusQ 7d ago
The truth about tobacco was known for years but ignored because 1) industry lobbying and 2) the Nazis were the ones who figured it out, and pushed anti-smoking hard, so smoking became something "our side" did, 3) tobacco was still
5.
by MarkusQ 7d ago
Congratulations, you are now quoted on the page!
6.
by MarkusQ 8d ago
Exactly!
7.
by MarkusQ 8d ago
> More out-of-distribution ways to think of things. Openly admitting that it only caught fire once the Plagiarism-as-a-Service took hold is a good first step. It's the part that everyone knows and few will openly acknowledge.
8.
by MarkusQ 8d ago
> If worries about AI safety and the end of the world entered your life recently, it’s probably because of a resignation letter. No, it's because of an extensive and well coordinated FUD campaign. The resignation letter was just on
9.
by MarkusQ 9d ago
That (the ZIRP period) was the anomaly; this is (historically) normal.
10.
by MarkusQ 9d ago
Inflation isn't like ice cream that comes in assorted flavors. It's a simple ratio (hard to measure in practice, but still conceptually simple). If one side of a ratio is fluctuating (for whatever reason) the ratio's value c
11.
by MarkusQ 10d ago
Bot farms may make up the bulk of "normal user behavior" at this point. It would explain at lot, actually.
12.
by MarkusQ 10d ago
Depends on your time frame for "relative to"; rates have been high compared to ZIRP-era, but still moderate to low when compared to historical norms.
13.
by MarkusQ 10d ago
> the Fed has no mechanism to really deal with supply-shock driven inflation. Inflation is just a change in the ratio of money to stuff. You can reduce inflation by increasing the stuff or reducing the money, and cause it by doing the o
14.
by MarkusQ 10d ago
Russia hasn't been exporting diesel to anyone for a while now, and they're unlikely to resume exports anytime soon. https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russia-extends-diese...
15.
by MarkusQ 11d ago
> ...or whether you believe that AI continues to be a stochastic parrot, smoke and mirror plagiarism machine... I feel heard! What constantly amazes me is how many people don't get this after interacting with them for a while.
16.
by MarkusQ 11d ago
Any set of points (w. velocities) along the trajectories could be the "starting positions".
17.
by MarkusQ 11d ago
Yeah, but I still have a soft spot for the old classics like privacy, autonomy and dignity. I don't want to give up my modern conveniences, but I have and will if forced to choose.
18.
by MarkusQ 13d ago
I really like Julia, but I wind up not using it as much as I might otherwise because the startup time kills it for many use cases (though of course it's easily amortized in others).
19.
by MarkusQ 13d ago
When I was a lad we walked out to the car and did that with the key. In the snow. It wasn't that bad and, despite what you may have heard, was not in fact uphill both ways.
20.
by MarkusQ 14d ago
More likely it's because a million dollars one way or the other won't make a difference in the hole they are digging / mountain they are building.
21.
by MarkusQ 14d ago
And then subtly misuse them. LLMs write like some people cook, adding bespoke artisanal Belgian sea salt, truffle oil and weirdly specific cheese without any thought given to how the result will taste.
22.
by MarkusQ 15d ago
You may not like the truth, but it's still the truth. https://marketwise.com/investing/openai-losses-surge-to-21-b... Anthropic is "profitable"... if you exclude compensation and compute cost commitments
23.
by MarkusQ 15d ago
Right, but if you ask it to make a systematic change (the room decor for light to dark and back) or something with subtle implications that would require other changes to fit in? Changing the title in the movie example is this sort of chang
24.
by MarkusQ 15d ago
It would have been interesting to try something closer to the movie poster example; say have the AI rewrite the passage with the room toggling between the initial light-mode decor and a dark-mode decor, then back, repeatedly. Or even chang
25.
by MarkusQ 15d ago
The point was that a textbook (where the 40hr/page estimate comes from) is cumulative/linear -- what you need for page n was defined / established on the preceding pages. But in a proof such as this you can call on any other
26.
by MarkusQ 15d ago
This. The point of these problems is the understanding / tooling gained in solving them. We're getting none of that. At best they are like a modern oracles, correctly answering your questions in a way that's doesn't he
27.
by MarkusQ 15d ago
Given that they all the bit AI players are still loosing money, it follows that their total costs are _higher_ that their API pricing would imply.
28.
by MarkusQ 16d ago
By: "an LLM AI just solved Navier Stokes" I assume you mean: "an LLM AI [company] just [claimed that a team of mathematicians they hired, using their AI] [may have] solved [part of] Navier Stokes[, definitely prompted by (and
29.
by MarkusQ 16d ago
PaaS: an acronym for "Plagiarism as a Service" which replaced the older terms AGI, GPT and LLM in late 2026. Origin uncertain. Pass it on.
30.
by MarkusQ 17d ago
I think he's well on his way. Math friends that would have said "Altman who?" a week ago are now saying "Don't talk to me about that #@$!@&!"

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