Manuel_D

16 ms·

331.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
More like a few decades, if ever. Battery production is estimated to reach 6.8 TWh per year in 2035 [1]. But only 12% of this is expected to go to battery storage systems, yielding just 800 GWh. 12 hours of storage worldwide at current el
332.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
How about we don't bother with either fission or wind and solar? Just build fusion plants and be done with it. If we're comfortable betting trillions of dollars in infrastructure projects on the hopes that a heretofore unproven t
333.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
It's never economical to operate an asset at under 100% capacity. Intermittent sources of energy like solar and wind encounter the same problem when they start to saturate demand during peak periods of generation. Install a new solar p
334.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
Nuclear can deliver flexible demand if required , it just involves either lowering the reactivity in the core, or if the drop in demand is sudden, bypassing steam from the turbine and running it directly to the condenser. But since their o
335.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
To be clear, all thermal plants - be they nuclear, fossil fuel, biofuel, etc. - require water for cooling. But this doesn't need to be freshwater, many nuclear plants are cooled with seawater. In non-costal arid areas, nuclear plants c
336.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
> The implication seems to be that batteries will get more expensive at some point. Perhaps. Or more chemistries will be discovered or used. Lithium got very expensive for a short while, then cheap. The cure for high prices is high price
337.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
What you're describing is substantially different than, say, attempting to build a dam in a flat place with no rivers. "It can function here, but people choose not to" is a very different kind of geographic restrictions than
338.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
Building enough battery to cover the night is still 20,000 to 30,000 GWh. For comparison, global annual battery output in 2025 was 2,200 GWh. Of which only ~ 300GWh went to grid storage. Even just diurnal storage for a completely renewab
339.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
> If we're at 2-3 TWh of world battery production capacity in 2025, that's 4 days of California demand. By 2031 or 2032, we're going to have 20-30TWh of battery production. The 2,200 GWh of batteries produced in 2025 amou
340.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
The energy density of uranium is such that the amount of energy required to mine and process uranium is trivial relative to the amount of power produced. The carbon intensity of nuclear power is lower than solar: http://large.sta
341.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
Sure, someone can be both concerned about climate change and oppose nuclear power. But it's a largely self-defeating stance: nuclear is the only non-intermittent geographically independent form of clean energy. Dams and geothermal ar
342.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
It's a large amount of money, but the plants have a long service life. And once a nuclear plant is built, it's operational costs are much lower than other forms of electricity generation. Simply saying "use PV plus batteries&
343.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
The analogy breaks down because hydroxychloroquine does not effectively treat Covid. Whereas nuclear power is carbon free (to be pedantic, it's carbon intensity is on par with that of most renewables).
344.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
Also wrong. Palantir itself does not do surveillance. It sells software to government agencies, who use that software to conduct surveillance. If the IRS uses Excel, that doesn't mean Microsoft is actively catching tax evasion. Microso
345.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
So should the US simply not pursue any tax evasion cases? Because catching tax evasion necessarily requires surveillance.
346.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
The J-35 has just one export customer, Pakistan. And they have yet to even start operating these aircraft yet. The market sure seems to favor the F-35, with 19 customers.
347.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
Have you considered the possibility that it is in fact safe to legally travel to the US? No doubt there are individual instances of mistreatment, but how many of the ~70 million international visitors to the US each year encounter problem
348.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
So if a game launches with DRM it's forever tainted and that group of people who supposedly would have bought the game absent DRM won't buy it - even if the DRM is subsequently removed. But on the flip side, if a game doesn't
349.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
But couldn't the same failure mode happen in traditional information sources? Can a textbook not also have a wrong assumption about political dynamics? Could I not make a google search, and then read one of the top results that makes a
350.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
> My point was just that "if you were a victim, wouldn't you want this?" is not a very strong argument. What victims want does matter. But when it affects other people, their needs matter too. Right and you used murder a
351.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
To be clear, what is measured is the proportional change in sales following the release of a crack, relative to other released games that went uncracked for longer. I don't know what percentage of games removed DRM after the crack was
352.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
Games that never had DRM restrictions to begin with are also pirated on day 1. There's no way to measure the sales before and after a crack is released, because the former period is basically zero.
353.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
> In early 2026, the USA prepared to invade Greenland and, therefore, the EU4. Only a few months prior to that it was completely unthinkable that the USA would even think about threatening an invasion of Greenland. As AI base models are
354.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
> Losing X% of sales to pissing off customers with DRM in order to avoid losing Y% of sales to pirates is only worth it if X is less than Y, but they're only even attempting to measure Y, and probably overestimating it. But releasin
355.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
People don't have a right to privacy in public (at least in the US). Do people not realize anyone can photograph or film them in public at any time. Heck, photographers can even then around and sell the without the subject's conse
356.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
By definition, illegal copies of games don't have DRM protection. I'm not sure what you mean by this. The analysis studies pre-crack and post-crack sales, and specifically observed the dip in sales after the crack. The dip was la
357.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
> There's a percentage of people who will never pay, it's true - and by never pay, it means never pay. You can't get them to pay by blocking or adding DRM or whatever. The point is DRM can get people to pay who would have
358.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
Most games are cracked within days. The number that survive for over a month without a crack is small, largely limited to Denuvo protected games. > But to be precise, even if all of the above is covered, this is not proof that DRM increa
359.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
To the contrary, data suggests that games lose about 20% of sales if they're cracked on day 1. https://arstechnica.com/gaming/2024/10/the-true-cost-of-game... Good service is still hard to compete with z
360.
by Manuel_D 6mo ago
To the contrary, there is evidence that DRM increased sales. Researchers analyzed data on sales before and after cracks for video games shows up to 20% lost sales of a game is cracked quickly: https://arstechnica.com/gaming&

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