MVissers

13 ms·

61.
by MVissers 2y ago
How? Interesting co’s are private (openai, groq, etc). Nvidia already huge. Microsoft and Apple are more users.
62.
by MVissers 2y ago
Probably within 5 years. Compute growing exponentially, algorithm improvement as well, multi modalities allows for different type of data training, etc… Yeah, this shit is near. Also- Quite a dangerous experiment we’re running. And safety-f
63.
by MVissers 2y ago
I believe GPT-4 pre-rlhf was much more accurate overall. If you finetune it in formats that humans likes, it actually gains similar biases. I believe the ‘sparks of AGI’ talks about this, where models can much more accurately predict the pr
64.
by MVissers 2y ago
Good comparison.
65.
by MVissers 2y ago
There is more money in AGI than LLMs. Whatever it is, language seems key to intelligent algorithms. Nah, he departed due to politics (failed coup) and shift from research first to profit first. Same with Karpathy I believe. He’ll most likel
66.
by MVissers 2y ago
Nah– These models will improve faster than people can catch up. People or AI models can barely catch AI-created text. It's quickly becoming impossible to distinguish. The one you catch is the tip of the iceberg. Same will happen to spe
67.
by MVissers 2y ago
Soon these models are cheap enough to learn in the real world. Reduced costs allows for usage at massive scale. Releasing models to users that where users can record video is more data. Users conversing with AI is also additional data. Anot
68.
by MVissers 2y ago
Why would reasoning have plateau’d? I think reasoning ability is not the largest bottleneck for improvement in usefulness right now. Cost is a bigger one IMO. Running these models as agents is hella expensive, and agents or agent-like recur
69.
by MVissers 2y ago
They did the same with GPT-4, they were sitting on it for months not knowing how to release. Ended up releasing GPT-3.5 and releasing 4 quietly after nerfing 3.5 into a turbo. OpenAI sucks at naming though. GPT2 now? Their specific gpt-4-31
70.
by MVissers 2y ago
In Europe they have to refund your ticket plus compensate you in cash depending on delay and distance. Not sure if this will change much in the USA, refunding is not that high of a cost either for airlines.
71.
by MVissers 3y ago
There is now way this is overblown hype. This is real- And the progress on AI capabilities is exponential with no signs of slowing down. Agree that we don’t think enough about it.
72.
by MVissers 3y ago
Stop paying for chatgpt and use platform.openai.com instead to pick your model for consistency. I’m still using the original gpt-4-3.14 model.
73.
by MVissers 3y ago
You could- That’s the case in Europe. But ‘Murica = Freedom so no interest to regulate.
74.
by MVissers 3y ago
Forests that never decayed because nothing could break down liglin molecules for millions of years. Many buried underground and I believe turned into coal/oil.
75.
by MVissers 3y ago
Do you have data for that? Occupancy is at record highs in most US cities. It’s simply too little inventory, mostly due to local regulations and NIMBY’s. Most housing is owned by ppl, and a lot of the nation’s net worth is tied up in housin
76.
by MVissers 3y ago
What’s also fascinating is that a child’s brain has additional plasticity/aptitude for learning different things at a different age. If he/she learns it too late, they’ll never master it. Perfect pitch is an example, ‘perfect’ mot
77.
by MVissers 3y ago
“The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.” Eventually- Markets go back to the mean, but predicting when is the hard part.
78.
by MVissers 3y ago
We have regions that specialize in specific tasks. Information gets routed there for recognition and understanding. Eg: Faces are processed in the fusiform area. And if you play pokemon obsessively as a kid, you’ll even create an expert pok
79.
by MVissers 3y ago
Depends. Unchecked it’s completely disastrous to most except a few. I do believe we should get more oversight and have co’s invest more in research on safety/alignment. It’s a wild west right now with potentially fatal end result to hu
80.
by MVissers 3y ago
I mean, basically no-one can compete with OpenAI right now. They have a monopoly. They can start copying any business that relies on them tomorrow. And it’s not easy to build a better model. Do that’s not an option. So you basically use the
81.
by MVissers 3y ago
This is the scientific consensus btw. There are also more intellectually challenged men btw, but somehow that rarely gets discussed. But the effects are quite small, and should not dissuade anyone to do anything IMO.
82.
by MVissers 3y ago
“And that moment was the final nail in the coffin of humankind from earth. They choose, yet again, for money and power. And they shaped AI in their image. Another civilization perished in the great filter.”
83.
by MVissers 3y ago
They’ll all be filthy rich if they can keep doing this. Altman was already side-hussling to get funding for other AI companies. Same with employees and their stock comp. Same with microsoft.
84.
by MVissers 3y ago
If by “long-term-success” you mean a capitalistic lap-dog of microsoft, I’ll agree. It seems that the safety team within OpenAI lost. My biggest fear with this whole AI thing is hostile takeover, and openAI was best positioned to at least d
85.
by MVissers 3y ago
Let’s not creating AI with our biases and thought patterns. Oh wait…
86.
by MVissers 3y ago
As long as compute keeps increasing, model size and performance can keep increasing. So no, we’re nowhere near max capability.
87.
by MVissers 3y ago
GPT-4 on platform.openai.com says this on the first try: Switch on the first switch and leave it on for a few minutes. Then, switch it off and switch on the second switch. Leave the third switch off. Now, walk into the room. The bulb that i
88.
by MVissers 3y ago
So when your drunk and you forget your actions the day afterwards you don't consider yourself to have been sentient/conscious? That's not how we define conscious anywhere. You can process the world around you, feel and intros
89.
by MVissers 3y ago
The board of the non-profit (one that fired Sam) has no fiduciary duty to those investors, I believe. Microsoft invested in the for-profit Openai, which is owned by the non-profit. The other ones I don't know. The board has no responsi
90.
by MVissers 3y ago
You should read the safety paper of GPT-4. It can easily manipulate humans to attains it goals.

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