Isinlor

46 ms·

421.
by Isinlor 5y ago
Blue Origin was in breach of solicitation requirements that would likely result in in intellectual property disputes with the government [0]. I don't think NASA found any issues with SpaceX and Dynamics proposal with regard to IP licen
422.
by Isinlor 5y ago
Take it from Greenpeace: https://www.greenpeace.org/usa/news/greenpeace-response-to-g... > Greenpeace response to Google Carbon-Free by 2030 commitment, September 14, 2020 > By becoming the first major tech
423.
by Isinlor 5y ago
Objective functions are just weak anthropocentric abstractions. If you take a random 110 rule or any other Turing machine how can you know its objective function? What was the objective function of abiogenesis? Can we outsmart the objective
424.
by Isinlor 5y ago
Thinking about it in terms of intelligence is actually misleading. It's not about intelligence, it's about power to change the world. Take SARS-CoV-2. It is a small RNA program ~32kb that duplicates and optimizes itself by random
425.
by Isinlor 6y ago
You should not focus on the easiest emissions to eliminate. The issue is with the most difficult. Some 10% of our emissions are from steel and cement. There are no cheap green solutions here.
426.
by Isinlor 6y ago
It's worth reminding ourselves that space exploration is not high on humanity priorities list. It's somewhere around lipstick market worth of ~10B dollar per year.
427.
by Isinlor 6y ago
It's not anywhere near remotely high on humanity priorities. It's somewhere around lipstick market worth of ~10B dollar per year.
428.
by Isinlor 6y ago
The entire planet and it's ongoing cost per year. The difference between CO2 emissions and geoengineering is that CO2 just randomly happens to change Earth climate. If we start changing climate directly and intentionally we can optimiz
429.
by Isinlor 6y ago
It may be easier to terraform Venus back into Earth like planet it once was. But we will be capable of establish permanent presence across solar system before Venus terraforming could conclude. Even with exponentially growing effort it woul
430.
by Isinlor 6y ago
We can quite easily, probably for less than 1T dollars [0], stop climate change with geoengineering, but nobody wants to experiment with Earth climate. Cost analysis of stratospheric albedo modification delivery systems > We conclude tha
431.
by Isinlor 6y ago
I can imagine around 100 000 people visiting Mars by 2100. Currently around 50 000 people attempted eight-thousanders with death rate of around 1-2%. The first recorded successful ascent of an eight-thousander was in 1950. I imagine going t
432.
by Isinlor 6y ago
Comparing between Nordic countries is not specific to COVID-19. They do it all the time with everything. Their cultures are very similar so the comparisons are very apples to apples. Latvia, Estonia, Lithuania are post soviet republics. Vas
433.
by Isinlor 6y ago
Because Nordic countries are very similar culturally and compare between each other all the time. I have a Finnish girlfriend and my impression is that first thing that Finnish people do when considering a policy is to ask how it's don
434.
by Isinlor 6y ago
Americans don't hear that much from continental Europe because (a) they don't speak our languages and (b) each country in continental Europe is a lot smaller than Anglo-sphere.
435.
by Isinlor 6y ago
It's still possible that people born today will stop aging at some point e.g. when they get to be 50 years old in 2070. There are some promising venues like CRISPR, mRNA related research or stem cells. There is also very serious possib
436.
by Isinlor 6y ago
It does not mean that EU can or wants to do it. Actually, the processing of this data itself is probably a breach of GDPR.
437.
by Isinlor 6y ago
EU will not notify them, since EU doesn't have technical tools and legal framework to do it. If DPA finds Facebook in breach of GDPR they will be ordered to do it with additional fines for non complying. Art. 58 GDPR Powers point 2: &g
438.
by Isinlor 6y ago
EU legal system will not allow a company to trade infringement for a fine. If they had to do something, they will get a fine and they will be forced to do it anyway by the court. If they don't comply with court orders they will be fine
439.
by Isinlor 6y ago
There has been decline before 1990, but the drop in fertility between 1990 and 2000 is very pronounced. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.TFRT.IN?location... Economic crash in Poland, Czechia or Hungry was no
440.
by Isinlor 6y ago
Is there a single country in the world that increased fertility rate from below replacement rate to above by giving young people anything? In Soviet sphere of influence in Europe there was sudden drop in fertility rate after fall of communi
441.
by Isinlor 6y ago
Just yesterday [0] I also did an upper bound estimate on computing power of a human brain based on assumption that brains carry out irreversible computations. E.g. inputs of an AND gate can not be recovered from the gate output. This forces
442.
by Isinlor 6y ago
The difference is not only of quality, but quantity. Computing power that biological platforms provide are quite huge. Each infected person carries 1e9 - 1e11 virions during peak infection [0]. If there are 1 million (1e6) infected people r
443.
by Isinlor 6y ago
We empirically do not need AGI for computational/intelligence explosion. Biological viruses like SARS-Cov-2 are relatively simple programs ~30kb that optimize themselves. Single virus has no chance of out computing and evading an immun
444.
by Isinlor 6y ago
Parameters in artificial networks and biological networks are indeed very loosely related. But we can bound computing power of any physical system if that system is doing computation that erases information due to the second law of thermo
445.
by Isinlor 6y ago
By far the most important reason dictating lifespan is evolvability - the ability to adapt genetically [0]. This has so great effect that it's easy to observe even in a simple computer simulations. If you don't adapt and the envir
446.
by Isinlor 6y ago
They don't need to cover all edge cases. They just need to be better than an average human and otherwise fail safely. The life threatening situations are rather simple and reactive. It's a car colliding with something at a high sp
447.
by Isinlor 6y ago
Good catch. Still, I would say that it is the 10 last years that matter, because that's when people started to take it really seriously. It's also interesting to think that we may have a lot of ideas like that. They are just waiti
448.
by Isinlor 6y ago
Waymo is doing actual for customer self driving right now.They need to scale it up a lot, but 5-10 years is a lot of time in AI research. Deep Learning did not exist 10 years ago. Tesla is trying hard too, but it goes with a big dose of bul
449.
by Isinlor 6y ago
Tesla killers have been promoted by media since Model S in 2012. But I can see how this time it is different. VW seems to be boldly all in and that's a very good thing. Although around 2025 to 2028 we may start to see full scale deploy
450.
by Isinlor 6y ago
Some of the reports are supposed to be from multiple instruments. Obviously there will not be anything convincing, because if it was this would not be the way to release it.

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