BobbyJo

11 ms·

241.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
I would have agreed with this a few months ago, but something Ive learned is that the ability to verify an LLMs output is paramount to its value. In software, you can review its output, add tests, on top of other adversarial techniques to v
242.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
There is a much larger gap in language ergonomics between python and C++ than between python and golang. Compile time and package management being some of the major downsides to C++. "You'd rather drive a compact car than an SUV?
243.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
Over the long term, earnings per employee should shrink due to competition. So, a tax like this, can only be expected to generate significant income in emerging industries, where competition isn't as tight. IMO that would be bad for te
244.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
Define "efficient" in this context. The point of the gold rush now is that a large number of investors think AI will be more efficient at converting GPU and RAM cycles into money than games or other applications will. Hence they a
245.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
Yes! I can't tell you the number of times I thought to myself "If only there was a way for this problem to be solved once instead of being solved over and over again". If that is the only thing AI is good at, then it's s
246.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
You're glossing over the leap between "is a driver of spending increases" and "is a primary driver of spending increases". IIRC healthcare costs rising has far more to do with an aging population than new drugs, so,
247.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
> Could you point to the date range you’re referencing? The last two months. There was a rate cut in October and again in December, but since late October long bond yields have been rising. > Of course there is. Loads of options. For
248.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
You made a claim (budgeting wasn't good, they were just lucky) and backed it up with a strange hypothetical (if GLP1 drugs were released it would have driven the deficit higher). Your connection between the two is that new drugs are a
249.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
> People who don't know US budgets don't know what drives faster-than-GDP growth in expenses (it's real estate, biotech and college). That's just wrong. Social Security, Medicare, debt interest, and the military eclip
250.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
Long bond rates have somewhat decoupled from short term rates set by the fed. For instance, they just slashed short term rates 25bps, but long bond rates (10+ years) have actually gone up a few basis points since the cut. This is exactly wh
251.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
I mean, luck is always a part of it, but you need responsible policy too. The US was lucky from 2010 to 2020, with the the economy growing basically that whole stretch, and we still ran a massively growing deficit the entire time because we
252.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
You thought only one person a year died during break ins gone wrong? Vending machines kill more than that.
253.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
What were the questions again? There was some stuff about you being a computer screen then asking me for sources then pointing out typos. Not really sure what you're asking me for at this point.
254.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
> If we don't think the candle in a simulated universe is a "real candle", why do we consider the intelligence in a simulated universe possibly "real intelligence"? A candle in Canada can't melt wax in Mexic
255.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
The point I was trying to make was that the time you use to perform the calculation may change whether there is an "experience" on behalf of the calculation. Without specifying the basis if subjectivity, you can't rule anythi
256.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
If you put a droplet of water in a warm bowl every 12 hours, the bowl will remain empty as the water will evaporate. That does not mean that if you put a trillion droplets in every twelve hours it will still remain empty.
257.
by BobbyJo 10mo ago
Dang, brain fart. I guess you win.
258.
by BobbyJo 11mo ago
You wait right there and I'll go right a paper for you.
259.
by BobbyJo 11mo ago
Your point was that "they are being replaced by..." not "The market expects them to be replaced by...". The former would only be supported if their businesses were already actively being displaced (which may very well be
260.
by BobbyJo 11mo ago
Real wages are effectively unchanged since 1970 [0]. So, either technology hasn't advanced enough to make people more productive, or technology hasn't increased the value of labor. One of the two has to be true. [0] https:&#x2F
261.
by BobbyJo 11mo ago
I have a hard time blaming parents as well to be honest. Think about it this way, if you truly believe parents are disciplining children less, and doing a worse job of controlling their kids on average, why is that? Is it because people jus
262.
by BobbyJo 11mo ago
This. Technology tends to increase the value of capital and not the value of labor, at least that has been the pattern for the last 50+ years. Take that trend to its conclusion and merit is crushed under the weight of who your parents are.
263.
by BobbyJo 11mo ago
> It's just that kids are less disciplined, and more prone to attention deficits. I think this puts the blame too much on the kids. Its not their fault we've created a world where they are surrounded by dopamine treadmills. I k
264.
by BobbyJo 11mo ago
> Ackchyually, I am a computer screen. lololol Okay bud.
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by BobbyJo 11mo ago
No thank you.
266.
by BobbyJo 11mo ago
I think the author glosses over a core problem AI would need to overcome for his thoughts to become reality: training data. We can't teach AI to code in languages that do not have human ergonomics because, as of now, all AI is based on
267.
by BobbyJo 11mo ago
Are you claiming to be a computer screen now? Hard to believe, but you're the expert on computer screens I guess.
268.
by BobbyJo 11mo ago
> You read through all of that data and research, as told earlier, and haven't become an expert...? Yeah right. No need to be so modest with me. Be proud of your achievements! Okay. You seem upset, so I'll disengage. Have a gre
269.
by BobbyJo 11mo ago
> which is all you can expect of me given that I am not the one of us Not sure why the snark is necessary. Its pretty easy to look up academic achievement stratified by socioeconomic status. I'm not an expert, but the line for rich
270.
by BobbyJo 11mo ago
> If you pick a random, normally capable, person off the street and give them everything they need to become successful in R&D, what ends up happening? Don't we run that experiment on every moderately wealthy child on the planet

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