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08-15
searching PlanetScale…
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8y ago
> has actual numbers for power input per liter of water Where did you find that? All I could find is "0.8-1.8kW/hr" for a machine with capacity with a capacity of "30gal/day". This is complete nonsense, &q
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I don't know how a hypothesis can be partly right, but I'll read this as "Surely that only works if your prior belief in your hypothesis is neither exactly 0 nor 1?" And that's correct. Prior distributions are neve
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8y ago
E.T.Jaynes: "Probability Theory, The Logic Of Science" A great introduction to the topic and a great general guideline. It's not a collection of recipes, more like a nudge in a direction where you don't need canned reci
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8y ago
Is there anything you disagree with? Or do you simply dislike the conclusion? Five million euro of tax payer money have been blown on a Neanderthal genome. All we got out of it is a hyper sensitive analysis that picked up an artifact (sou
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8y ago
The obsession with p values is the most absurd thing. You write as if there are "positive findings" and "negative findings". This isn't true in orthodox statistics. There are only "negative findings" (th
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8y ago
Exactly! Stop government funded research! Today, most science is funded by government agencies, like the NIH. This means, bureaucrats who know nothing about science allocate other people's money to research they don't care about
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8y ago
"Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence." A null result (no significant evidence for anything, a p value above 0.05) is truly null. It doesn't even confirm the null hypothesis. Common wisdom says that Statistical Hyp
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The fix is to use Bayesian statistics, where every finding updates you beliefs and therefore there is no such thing as a null result. The cult of the p value needs to end.
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8y ago
Zirconium and zirconium carbide are about as different as aluminium and clay. One is a metal, the other is a ceramic.
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Zirconium and zirconium carbide are very different materials.
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> Overall, OP said "there is no evidence" and it seems that yes, there is. This is evidence for a correlation between the number of CT scans and cancer incidence. To jump to the conclusion that the cancer is caused by the radi
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8y ago
The problem with that study is that "people who take a CT scan" is not exactly an unbiased sample of the general population. Now compare this to https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2477708/
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8y ago
> Every CT scan increases your odds of cancer. There is no evidence for that statement. More specifically, there is no evidence that a single radiation dose below 100mSv is harmful at all, but plenty of evidence (Taiwanese radioactive a
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8y ago
> Exactly. So, the bottle wasn't half full at 11:59. What was the guy's point again? > Is that sustainable? I don't know. I can't predict the future any more than you can. But I can tell you one thing: this is
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8y ago
Actual bacteria in actual bottles grow exponentially only for a brief period. The grow slows down to cubic, quadratic, linear as the limiting factors become space, area on the bottom of the bottle, height of the culture. Frankly, I see no
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8y ago
> You contradict yourself: any given real number Err... I didn't say that. For good reason, as you point out. I know that you cannot "give" almost all real numbers. I'm merely pointing out that there are mathematic
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8y ago
Brilliant, just like the dimwitted TA at university who claimed full of conviction "NO amount of memory can represent pi!" Which is funny, because he represented it with a single character. Pi and e are both algebraic numbers, th
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8y ago
So much for "mainstream math". There is an alternative take called constructive algebra, which I believe to be more useful to a computer programmer. Briefly: "There are only finitely many numbers." That's triviall
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All the analysis comes from the same team (Pääbo and Reich), so no conspiracy is needed. And it's not even scientific misconduct, it's just incompetence.
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That's not what they did. They brought him to the morgue. You know, where I grew up, it's very simple: if your actions directly result in the death of another human, you go to jail by default. "I only wanted to help"
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> So instead finding the cause and fixing it The cause for cops murdering innocent civilians is that the cost for doing so is zero. Increase the cost and the problem goes away. Moreover, bad cops are bullies who thrive on bossing peopl
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8y ago
Oh, come on! It's decision theory, plain and simple. As an officer, I have two options: (1) shoot first, (2) talk to the victim. The cost in case (1) is ZERO (well, actually a couple bullets...) and in case (2) it is somewhat highe
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Did you follow the actual science? First neanderthal genome, 2010: about 6% admixture. Denisova, 2011: 2.5% admixture. Altai neanderthal, 2014: 1.5% admixture. Every time the quality of the genome improved, the estimated admixture decr
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Probably not. The difference between any human and any neanderthal is about twice as big as the biggest difference between two humans. One could now argue that if two differences in one thousand DNA bases constitutes different subspecies,
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8y ago
> I think when the police's top priority is to get home to their families rather then protect and serve... That speaks volumes. No, that's not a problem, that's everyone's priority. But if shooting innocent citizens
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So they were in collusion and should both be prosecuted. If there was a will to prosecute feral police officers, there would be no practical difficulty.
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Or maybe it's designed to inflict as much pain and humiliation as possible without permanent harm. Because that's how it's actually used by the police, to punish their victims for disobedience.
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Next stage: "We couldn't possibly know he was not dangerous, so we shot him just in case. He really should have registered with The Vitals™". Brilliant idea, really.
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But nobody is really pushing back. From the article: "No officers were prosecuted." Moral outrage is inferior to guns, cattle prods and poisonous injections.
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And if they don't, they should be regarded as "cruel and unusual punishment", colloquially known as torture. Seriously, policemen who repeatedly fire a tazer at their victim, rendering him unable to control any of his muscles
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