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"Once everyone has a smartphone, they are supposed to go out and get a smart watch, followed by smart eyeglasses, and so on. Or, at least, so goes the theory."

"Once everyone has a smartphone, they are supposed to go out and get a smart watch, followed by smart eyeglasses, and so on. Or, at least, so goes the theory." That sounds like a very ill gotten theory. Do companies really expect people to go out and by accessories that cost in the hundreds and add more stuff for people to hull around that do roughly the same things? No, If I'm buying a smart device it's because either the cost is so cheap it's like buying extra USB cables or it's something to replace my other smart device.

melling 11y ago
History repeats itself and people start rattling off the basic litany of complaints. It's a first generation device for Apple. The first iPhone had to be plugged into a computer. This watch is for early adopters, you know the 10-50 million people who'd shell out the money. The watch's abilities will greatly improve over time, thus becoming more useful to another 500 million people.
- adventured 11y ago
  500 million people who also won't want to pay $400-$600 for another smart gadget when they have already paid $600 for their iPhone. At that price point, smart watches will remain a very niche market. Just as niche as $600 watches are today for consumers globally. Android will end up dominating smart watches. They'll be made in China, and they'll cost $50-$99. That will drive adoption in the hundreds of millions globally.
  - melling 11y ago
    Yes, we already know that Android will dominate wearables, as they do smartphones. Android simply sells cheaper options. It's a bit irrelevant though because Apple simply needs to cater to its current "small" market and remain highly profitable. As for the size of the market, I'd expect almost everyone on the planet to want a wearable when you can use one to better monitor your health (heart, blood pressure, sleep, etc), use it as a credit card, remote for lights and garage door opener, key for house, etc. 7 billion people, 7 billion wearables.
    - eveningcoffee 11y ago
      Count me out. 7 billion minus 1. First I do not like watches, I have not used one for more than 15 years. Second I do not like single companies to try to steal more and more of our private information. So I do not like single company to monitor my health, my credit card nor my garage door. Pop.
      - melling 11y ago
        You're a rounding error. A few hundred thousand more people became consumers today. http://www.worldometers.info/world-population/ http://www.worldometers.info/world-population/ 8 billion by 2025.

melling 11y ago

History repeats itself and people start rattling off the basic litany of complaints. It's a first generation device for Apple. The first iPhone had to be plugged into a computer. This watch is for early adopters, you know the 10-50 million people who'd shell out the money. The watch's abilities will greatly improve over time, thus becoming more useful to another 500 million people.

adventured 11y ago
500 million people who also won't want to pay $400-$600 for another smart gadget when they have already paid $600 for their iPhone. At that price point, smart watches will remain a very niche market. Just as niche as $600 watches are today for consumers globally. Android will end up dominating smart watches. They'll be made in China, and they'll cost $50-$99. That will drive adoption in the hundreds of millions globally.
- melling 11y ago
  Yes, we already know that Android will dominate wearables, as they do smartphones. Android simply sells cheaper options. It's a bit irrelevant though because Apple simply needs to cater to its current "small" market and remain highly profitable. As for the size of the market, I'd expect almost everyone on the planet to want a wearable when you can use one to better monitor your health (heart, blood pressure, sleep, etc), use it as a credit card, remote for lights and garage door opener, key for house, etc. 7 billion people, 7 billion wearables.
  - eveningcoffee 11y ago
    Count me out. 7 billion minus 1. First I do not like watches, I have not used one for more than 15 years. Second I do not like single companies to try to steal more and more of our private information. So I do not like single company to monitor my health, my credit card nor my garage door. Pop.
    - melling 11y ago
      You're a rounding error. A few hundred thousand more people became consumers today. http://www.worldometers.info/world-population/ http://www.worldometers.info/world-population/ 8 billion by 2025.