Estimate surveys have a poor record. Technologies tend to be perpetually 10-30 years away until they are 0 years away, or never happen at all. ANI and AGI are

Estimate surveys have a poor record. Technologies tend to be perpetually 10-30 years away until they are 0 years away, or never happen at all. ANI and AGI are qualitatively different. Progress in making cars faster will not lead to teleportation or warp drive. It's not even applicable. There are many unknown unknowns in AGI. I could not even pretend to give you an estimate.