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This touches on several of the Big Issues with being a market maker, shopping large orders, and HFT. Sadly, it's exactly as detailed as you'd expect a Slate ar
by patio11 12y ago
This touches on several of the Big Issues with being a market maker, shopping large orders, and HFT. Sadly, it's exactly as detailed as you'd expect a Slate article to be.
It doesn't matter that it is a bot. The controller of the bot happens to be, in this instance, directional order flow: unlike the overwhelming majority of market volume, he actually has an edge.
The options market maker is, unusually for market makers, forced to transact with any comer. They've got a license to print money and that is the price of the license. They get to pick their pricing.
In the old days, when people actually talked, parties would be cagey about whether they were buying or selling, to make sure the market maker didn't use that against them. The conversation went like this:
"Make me a market [quote a buy price and a sell price] for 100 contracts of May Foo CALLs at $15."
"0.10 by 0.15."
"Buy a hundred."
"Done."
"Make me a market."
"0.10 by 0.15."
"Buy a hundred."
"Done. #'(%# you man what's your angle."
"Make me a market."
"0.11 by 0.16"
"Buy a hundred."
"Done, you mother(#%)0&. You want WEIGHT? I hate carrying this. Next one is 0.20 by 0.25"
"Buy a hundred."
"DONE. You through with me yet?"
"Make me a market for 1,000 contracts."
"YOU MOTHER()#%0# #O%'#(&')$#$ ((#) '%)(#%). 0.30 x 0.35."
"Buying 1,000."
"DONE YOU #%)0#0%)."
And the reason the marketmaker just hated that interaction is because they now have what is politely referred to as "inventory risk." Market makers by definition don't want exposure to the market, they just want to harvest non-directional order flow, where buys and sells roughly cancel each other out, capturing the spread each time and making out like bandits. (In the case where the market maker's second conversation was someone selling the same option rather than buying, they just made $500 for about a minute total of work. A "seat" on the CBOE, which is the license part of the license-to-make-money, costs millions. The lucrative ability to collect a little toll from marker participants is why.)
But once in a while, you get stuck with inventory risk. And, if you're stuck with inventory risk by being short in grossly out-of-the-money call options close to expiry, the vast majority of the time that's great news! They expire worthless.
But they don't have to expire worthless. There's literally thousands of contracts which expire every month worthless, and (statistically speaking) a handful which go from being worth pennies in the morning of expiry day to being worth dollars in the afternoon.
You probably shouldn't feel badly for the options market maker here, except in the general sense that you should feel badly for people who underperform at their jobs. He's suppose to place orders that he'll be happy when the fills come in. (i.e. When his offer to sell a call option is matched with someone who inexplicably wants to buy them at a penny a contract.) He got the fills.
His problem is that a counterparty was smarter than he was and put in buy orders in response to late-breaking information before he could cancel his sell orders. Which is unfortunate, from his perspective, but avoiding this is literally his only job.
This is, incidentally, the whole premise of Flash Boys: people with lots of stock to shop are the guy getting sworn at in the above conversation with a marketmaker. They would prefer that marketmakers always buy 100k shares from them at a go without experiencing any price slippage. Market makers do not like this, but can't do much about it. HFTs are much better at making markets than humans are, and are capable of managing the risks of large block trades better. Some people who preferred getting an exceptionally good deal from human market makers would prefer dealing with them instead of algorithms which can actually, you know, do math many times a second for an entire trading day.
- Tsggdjbs 12y agoIf the type of trading discussed in the article becomes more common, would market makers stop making markets for these deep out of the money options? Presumably this would be bad for those attempting to use the options as a hedge.
- patio11 12y agoThey aren't allowed to stop making markets, at least in the options market. (This is not true of market makers generally. You or I could, if we had a lot of money, start making markets in any stock we desired to, just by getting a brokerage account and sending the right orders to the exchange. A market maker is a participant like any other and may not be a formal role.) What would probably happen is tweaking their risk exposure: be less willing to play large resting bids/asks for large positions close to the NBBO, and instead either resize them or layer them over several price points. My feeling with regards to the fairness of this is that one should not offer to sell 4,000 PUTS for e.g. Zynga at $1 in May 2015 unless one is prepared to accept delivery of 400k shares of Zynga in return for $400k. Some options market participant is signaling their willingness to do that, or something close to it. They are theoretically responsible adults who know the risks. If that trade blows up in their face, and they take to the Internet to decry the unfairness of it all, I will not be maximally sympathetic. (Full disclosure: I was probably their counterparty a time or two buying the option on "Zynga blows up in next short-increment-of-time" and did poorly.)
- rustyconover 12y agoThey could make the spread wider after the first 500 contracts go off in a certain interval. Even the in the S&P outcry pit in Chicago sometimes the bid/ask spread goes wide or even no bid when things move too far or too fast for comfort. Next time a jobs number comes out or other financial data point look at the spread right before the number is released. These marker makers are survivors, if they're nervous about inventory risk they shrink size and you get thinner markets (bid/ask sizes) or wider spreads. Of course, if the options market shows something very out of sync with the underlying that is a signal that something is up or there is a market force that hasn't yet caused the underlying to move. Because an American option can be exercised anytime before expiration both options and the underlying stay pretty closely aligned with each other using the theoretical pricing model of each market maker. I'm sure this trader has programmers working on this problem and putting in some type of limiting such that he doesn't sell off 3000 contracts in one go for a very cheap option close to expiration. 3000 contracts is nothing in SPY options but for a single name stock (not an ETF) it can be considered a sizable trade compared to the open interest.