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Nobody thinks Moore's law will last another 30 years.
by gweinberg 12y ago
Nobody thinks Moore's law will last another 30 years.
- dudus 12y agoNobody thought it would last till here
- jblow 12y agoSee this graph: http://www.extremetech.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/CPU-Scaling.jpg http://www.extremetech.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/CPU-Sc... The green line was the only one still going, and it plateaued about a year ago (you'd see that in a newer graph).
- dysfunction 12y agoThe green line is the only one that Moore's law is about. Power consumption plateauing is a good thing, clock speed was never going to be the primary driver of performance increases long-term, and instruction-level parellelism (green line) is not a measure of performance-per-clock-cycle.
- maaku 12y agoThere's plenty of room on the bottom.
- marcosdumay 12y agoWell, I think it's already dead for some good 3 or 4 years. It just didn't start stinking yet. But that's no reason to think that it'll take more than 100 years.