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FiveThirtyEight examined this in the NHL. > Teams that fired their coaches performed exactly the same on average in the following season as teams that kept the
by bennettfeely 12y ago
FiveThirtyEight examined this in the NHL.
> Teams that fired their coaches performed exactly the same on average in the following season as teams that kept their coaches. Notably, teams that were sub-.400 performed 20 percent better on average the following season regardless of whether they fired their coach or not. [...] Playoff performance is no better under new coaches. Non-playoff teams go an average of 0.5 playoff rounds the following season, whether they fire their coach or not.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-predicts-if-an-nhl-coach-will-be-fired-and-whether-it-matters/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-predicts-if-an-nhl-...
- cheepin 12y agoShouldn't team performance decrease the season after a coach change since the players have to learn a new system? This seems to say that the cost of firing a poor coach is zero because at worst you will do the same as before in the short term, with a great potential upside for longer time spans.
- seanmcdirmid 12y agoThese teams have large coaching staffs that don't get fired and change more slowly. I would guess that a coach's impact is often more long term (in training, recruitment of players and staff).