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The article is copy-pasting what seems to be a widely spread misquote of Colin Powell. What I think is the actual quote seems less controversial than the "What
by corysama 12y ago
The article is copy-pasting what seems to be a widely spread misquote of Colin Powell. What I think is the actual quote seems less controversial than the "What defines 40% of the information?" issue that is being debated here.
> Part I: "Use the formula P=40 to 70, in which P stands for the probability of success and the numbers indicate the percentage of information acquired." Part II: "Once the information is in the 40 to 70 range, go with your gut."
So, Powell was actually talking about confidence in success, not percentage of information. Confidence is explicitly an estimate, whereas "percentage of information" is clearly unknowable in the situations being discussed.
The original collection of Powell quotes that included this one is a lot more interesting and valuable than this particular article, IMHO. http://govleaders.org/powell.htm http://govleaders.org/powell.htm