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TARP was not a gift. It was an ultimatum that was forced on Goldman, Morgan Stanley and a few others.[0] Somethings worked out for them, BUT they did give up q
by bushido 12y ago
TARP was not a gift. It was an ultimatum that was forced on Goldman, Morgan Stanley and a few others.[0]
Somethings worked out for them, BUT they did give up quite a lot along the way.
Regardless the article is not well balanced and presented in a way that breeds misinformation. Quote from the end of the article - about a quote from the fed:
In its analysis, the Fed added that **Goldman had asked** the Fed to determine if the grandfather clause permitted the activities to continue. But the analysis said that the Fed’s lawyers were still considering that request.
So Goldman is in the wrong because the Fed's can't decide what's permitted and what's not? If anything Goldman should get points for asking.
If past behavior in compliance is any indicator to future compliance I would like to bring attention to the following:
- One of the things that was clear early was that proprietary trading[1] was a big NO under the next bank status and TARP conditions and had to be wound down by 2014.
- Goldman Sachs shut that business down in under 4 months. It's worth noting that they were probably the best trading desks with consistent great results.
- Most other banks kept their trading desks around till quite recently
[0] http://www.businessinsider.com/uncovered-tarp-docs-reveal-how-paulson-forced-banks-to-take-the-cash-2009-5 http://www.businessinsider.com/uncovered-tarp-docs-reveal-ho...
[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proprietary_trading http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proprietary_trading
edit: typo and grammar
- tacostakohashi 12y agoDid you read this article, or some other one? There was no mention of TARP.
- bushido 12y agoI read this article. They mention TARP, they just never called it TARP. The whole premise of the article is based on the activities of a regulated bank, which has everything to go with TARP. > They mention: - Goldman Sachs became a regulated bank - Which in turn allowed them to partake in activities that were allowed by the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act - Also that they were not a 100% on the validity and asked the Fed's to confirm if they could continue their business > What the article fails to mention or is unclear about is: - Goldman and Morgan Stanley were forced to accept the TARP - A condition of TARP was that they had to immediately become a regulated bank (again not by choice) - They complied with everything that was clear under TARP immediately and months/years before their counterparts - They closed off their highest money making departments - The so called windfall gain/Gift of the crisis/unfair advantage is something that is permitted under another law, which Goldman asked for clarification on So yeah, read the article, if you did not notice that this was about TARP, it wasn't your fault, this article is constructed very very poorly and leaves a lot out and glosses over the anything else that may cast a doubt on their headline.
- tacostakohashi 12y agoGood point; silly me for not noticing that the article is actually about a list of things that it doesn't mention. I wouldn't say it's poorly written, it's just that isn't not the article you want it to be. In what sense were Goldman & MS "forced to accept the TARP"? They were both free to choose bankruptcy, were they not?
- ams6110 12y agoIn the same way that when you are robbed at gunpoint on the street you are free to choose handing over your wallet or being killed.
- tacostakohashi 12y agoUmm, no - the two investment banks in question weren't being robbed at gunpoint, they were suffering from their own failures to manage risk, and various other management failures entirely of their own doing.
- ams6110 12y agoI agree. But their "choice" to accep TARP or not was not really a choice. They could accept the terms of the bailout, or die (go bankrupt). Whether or not it was their own fault that they were in that situation is irrelevant.
- desdiv 12y agoYou talk as if these investment banks were poor helpless living creatures or something. They gambled and they lost, then they had their government cronies bail them out. An analogy would be an idiot gambling away his entire live savings on the slot machine, and then going to the house and complaining: "I deserve all my money back because I didn't win."
- drumdance 12y agoCompanies choose bankruptcy all the time. They don't like to do it, but sometimes it's their best option. GS clearly thought it was their second-best option.
- marcusgarvey 12y ago>It was an ultimatum that was forced Actually, revelations from the ongoing AIG trial are proving otherwise. http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2014/11/aig-bailout-trial-revelation-morgan-stanley-told-geithner-file-bankruptcy-weekend-became-bank.html http://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2014/11/aig-bailout-trial-rev...
- bushido 12y agoWe maybe digressing a tad, but that link isn't proving much in relation to necessities of accepting TARP. If one takes into consideration that 4 days after that email was written Goldman announced a $5 billion investment into GS from Warren Buffet. A $5 billion deal does not get conjured overnight, takes days if not weeks of work prior to public announcements. Regardless, that was over a full month prior to them receiving the TARP funds. Also if one absolutely must, they could take into consideration that 4 days prior to that email GS, mid-crisis had beat prior earning and profit estimates by a tad over 10%. Also, GS had not had a single losing quarter since 1999. They did however report a loss mid-December 2008, mostly stemming from being required to mark the value of various assets at currently distressed prices, mostly because their status was recently changed to a regulated bank.
- marcusgarvey 12y agoThe email you are referring to, an exhibit from the AIG trial: "FYI, Morgan Stanley called Tim Geithner late last nite and indicated they can not open Monday. Morgan Stanley advised Goldman Sachs of that and Goldman Sachs is now panicked because feel that if Morgan Stanley does not open, then Goldman Sachs is toast. So appears we will definitely need to resolve both entities in one way or another this weekend. Options under active discussion range from sovereign wealth injection to merger with / acquisition by a bank to becoming Bank Holding Companies themselves to government assistance (unlikely). Tim Geithner and PDM team just finished getting first hand report of liquidity situation from Morgan Stanley. Have not heard assessment of that call yet. Baxter only EVP present. Checki expected shortly. Dudley, Rutledge and Krieger on standby at home for likely conf calls." No, no distress here at all.
- StandardFuture 12y agoWhy do I get the feeling that you are not being quite as honest as you should be about your affiliations? You have commented on multiple financial article submissions in your past comments [0], including multiple Goldman Sachs articles. It's hard to take your immediate defense seriously, when you attack an article attacking the industry (possibly the company) that you work for. [0] https://news.ycombinator.com/threads?id=bushido https://news.ycombinator.com/threads?id=bushido
- bushido 12y agoNope not in the financial industry. Consult in tech, Marketing Engineer of sorts. Have applied to YC before. In 2008 however I was very much involved in the financial markets, as an independent options and quant trader(avoiding calling myself a day trader, but that would be accurate too). Never worked for GS or any of its real competitors. Have worked on a proprietary trading floor(wouldn't call GS a competitor still unless making a pun on how insignificant we were compared to GS) and have worked in retail finance in the past. Made some decent returns on put options positions on GS between August and November 2008. Hence intimately familiar with the stuff happening around them in that period. I'm deeply interested in financial services, tech and law. and I will chime in time to time, mostly when there is some misinformation or blatant disregard for the regulatory infrastructure flying around. Not giving any more information as of now, not because I cannot, not because I am famous (I'm not), not because I have any conflict (I have none), I generally like talking under a small guise of anonymity that HN affords, I'd like to keep that for now. edit: removed unnecessary information not required in a disclosure.
- deleted 12y ago[deleted]
- guelo 12y agoGoldman and Morgan would not have survived without government intervention. My preferred intervention would have been to nationalize the companies and fire all the executives. But the intervention that we got was that money was shoveled into the companies until the executives could start paying themselves giant bonuses again.
- ahomescu1 12y ago> My preferred intervention would have been to nationalize the companies and fire all the executives. ...and replace them with politically-connected cronies? That's what usually happens for nationalizations.
- crdoconnor 12y agoDidn't happen in Sweden. They followed this policy successfully and it worked out great for them (back to growth a year or two later; banks healed).
- wheaties 12y agoThey wouldn't have survived? Based on what evidence? They had already liquidated the majority of their bad debt and hedged away more of the risk onto their own clients by the time TARP came around.
- autokad 12y agogoldman bought tons of insurance on bad loans (loans it didnt own). it was gambling they would go bad, but part of that gamble was that the issuer (AIG for example) could pay up. they couldnt, until the government stepped in and made sure that 100 cents to the dollar was paid on those gambling notes. without that, goldman would have failed
- inthewoods 12y agoThe key question is why it was at 100 cents on the dollar - most cases would have required a haircut.
- kyleblarson 12y agoshill intransitive verb \ˈshil\ : to talk about or describe someone or something in a favorable way because you are being paid to do it
- jim_greco 12y agoThe article is about them becoming bank holding companies which preceded any talk of TARP. They became bank holding companies so they could get access to the discount window and get different accounting treatments.
- bushido 12y agoYou're somewhat correct. They became a bank holding company on Sep 21st, 2008. It was a Sunday; CEOs of all financial companies worth noting were being held in Paulson's office to accept the conditions of TARP. The TARP funds followed over a month later circa Oct 28th, 2008. Can't speak for MS, but GS was not going bankrupt, they were the only one's who were making money (a substantial amount) and had already secured funding to buy up distressed assets.
- jim_greco 12y agoThe meeting with Paulson at the Treasury happened after TARP was signed into law (October 3). The book Too Big To Fail does a good job of summarizing the events.
- nvarsj 12y ago> Can't speak for MS, but GS was not going bankrupt, they were the only one's who were making money... That's a bit misleading. GS had a huge exposure via AIG. Many people in the industry think that GS was essentially bailed out via AIG.
- jim_greco 12y agoAbsolutely. The financial system is interlinked. If MS, AIG, Citi, etc. would have gone down then GS wouldn't have survived.