3 ms·
"But the chance the next crash is on 3 August is (364/365) x (1/365), because the next crash occurs on 3 August only if there is no crash on 2 August." Why is
by platz 12y ago
"But the chance the next crash is on 3 August is (364/365) x (1/365), because the next crash occurs on 3 August only if there is no crash on 2 August."
Why is a crash on 3 August dependent on there being no crash on 2 August? Surely there could be crashes on both 2 August and 3 August.
- UrlichtZwei 12y agoThe Aug 3 crash can't be the "next" crash if the "next" crash occurred on Aug 2.
- shawabawa3 12y agoBecause if there was a crash on the 2nd and the 3rd, the one on the 3rd wouldn't be the next crash.