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One of the arguments of this article is that as technology stabilizes we will be able to demand higher pay. Technology will likely not stabilize.

by hobs 13y ago

slurry 13y ago
Overall, technology hasn't really "stabilized" since the loom, either. It has, however, stabilized locally for periods of time in one area of industry or another. And it is likely to do similar things again.
marcosdumay 13y ago
Well, it must, some day. But I'm not betting on any specific millennium. I just love those articles that state that "we have no problem" because "everything just settles out at the end", while forgetting that one of the mechanisms for everything to settle up is a huge share of the population dying. It's survival bias acting at slaughter time.
- WalterBright 13y ago
  I don't know about England in the 1700's, but during the industrialization of the US, 1800-1900, the life expectancy and just about every other measure of health got dramatically better throughout that century. Another way to look at it as go visit Fort Williams in New York, they have a display of 18th century clothing. Look how tiny it was. It's a dramatic illustration of how hard life was in pre-industrial America. Next visit some Civil War museums and look at the uniforms on display. They're about halfway between colonial sizes and modern sizes.
snowwrestler 13y ago
Internet technology has stabilized already: we're still using HTML, HTTP, javascript, etc. The Space Jam website from 1996 still loads in a browser. Most servers and clients still use IPv4. Etc.
- hobs 13y ago
  Using the article's analogies, they talk specifically about web designers. Would a web designer from 1996 have a job in today's market? In the same vein, it would be like saying the autoloom would still work today, obviously it would, but no one would use it to produce goods to sell commercially.
- dllthomas 13y ago
  http://www2.warnerbros.com/spacejam/movie/jam.htm http://www2.warnerbros.com/spacejam/movie/jam.htm

One of the arguments of this article is that as technology stabilizes we will be able to demand higher pay. Technology will likely not stabilize.

by hobs 13y ago

One of the arguments of this article is that as technology stabilizes we will be able to demand higher pay. Technology will likely not stabilize.

slurry 13y ago

Overall, technology hasn't really "stabilized" since the loom, either. It has, however, stabilized locally for periods of time in one area of industry or another. And it is likely to do similar things again.

marcosdumay 13y ago

Well, it must, some day. But I'm not betting on any specific millennium. I just love those articles that state that "we have no problem" because "everything just settles out at the end", while forgetting that one of the mechanisms for everything to settle up is a huge share of the population dying. It's survival bias acting at slaughter time.

WalterBright 13y ago
I don't know about England in the 1700's, but during the industrialization of the US, 1800-1900, the life expectancy and just about every other measure of health got dramatically better throughout that century. Another way to look at it as go visit Fort Williams in New York, they have a display of 18th century clothing. Look how tiny it was. It's a dramatic illustration of how hard life was in pre-industrial America. Next visit some Civil War museums and look at the uniforms on display. They're about halfway between colonial sizes and modern sizes.

snowwrestler 13y ago

Internet technology has stabilized already: we're still using HTML, HTTP, javascript, etc. The Space Jam website from 1996 still loads in a browser. Most servers and clients still use IPv4. Etc.

hobs 13y ago
Using the article's analogies, they talk specifically about web designers. Would a web designer from 1996 have a job in today's market? In the same vein, it would be like saying the autoloom would still work today, obviously it would, but no one would use it to produce goods to sell commercially.
dllthomas 13y ago
http://www2.warnerbros.com/spacejam/movie/jam.htm http://www2.warnerbros.com/spacejam/movie/jam.htm