21 ms·
> It's plain that tech is the proximal cause It's half of the proximal cause. Housing prices have increased because of the interaction of supply and demand.
by surrealize 13y ago
> It's plain that tech is the proximal cause
It's half of the proximal cause. Housing prices have increased because of the interaction of supply and demand. Blaming the tech boom focuses only on the demand side, but the supply constraints (height limits, zoning density limits, etc.) are just as important.
- timr 13y agoThe supply didn't decrease. The demand increased. That's the proximal cause.
- surrealize 13y agoIf you like. The policy levers are all on the supply side, though (unless you want to start kicking out major employers or something). So it's pointless to complain about demand side changes.
- timr 13y ago"The policy levers are all on the supply side, though" Are you kidding? Remember the big white buses that everyone is mad about? They play a role here. The valley tech companies have mitigated the natural barrier that would ordinarily limit the number of tech employees living in the city -- the pain of commuting. So rather than staying close to work and building communities where they live, they use the city as a glorified suburb, but with cushy private transportation. There are a variety of things wrong with this, not the least of which is the fact that they reduce housing supply for the natives. Econ 101 theories about supply and demand don't apply when large external forces are subsidizing the demand side of the equation. One can quite reasonably argue that instead of "building up" (which is expensive and disruptive) SF should just ban the private buses -- it would be cheaper, more natural, and would solve the same problem.
- surrealize 13y agoBan private buses? You mean, like, prevent people from operating private buses entirely? No greyhound? You can't mean that, because it's ridiculous, but I'm not sure exactly what you do mean. A huge number of people employed on the peninsula would absolutely live close to work and build communities there, if those peninsula cities weren't so hell-bent on preventing dense development. There just isn't the supply there. And what the f do you mean by "natives", anyway? Native Americans? Everyone else is an immigrant. If you moved here a year before I did, do you have some more legitimate claim to live here? I don't think so. Of course supply and demand applies to the situation. Your suggestion of banning private buses, while ridiculous, is specifically an attempt to influence demand. Your own suggested solution assumes that the "Econ 101" theory applies.
- malandrew 13y agoOnce enough of the employees are commuting, I would imagine that any smart business would look at the situation and think "Time to move the office to the city or at least build a satellite office there."
- malandrew 13y agoThe demand has been increasing for like forever. The supply has never reacted to the increase in demand. The complete paralysis when it comes to rezoning is an equally valid proximal cause. The Bay Area hasn't been constructing housing to meet the demand caused by job growth, tech or otherwise, for 30-40 years now.