2 ms·
The article's central point at least partially hinges on the continuation of Moore's Law. However, if the exponential rise in computing power at stead cost does
by nopinsight 13y ago
The article's central point at least partially hinges on the continuation of Moore's Law. However, if the exponential rise in computing power at stead cost does not continue, the coming 'rise of robots' might be substantially slower.
There is some evidence that Moore's Law might come to an end:
http://www.economist.com/news/21589080-golden-rule-microchips-appears-be-coming-end-no-moore http://www.economist.com/news/21589080-golden-rule-microchip...
Our knowledge of AI suggests that performing basic human tasks like perception and navigation in the physical world is extremely computationally expensive. Even though improvements in algorithms would speed things up somewhat. The required computing resources would still be fairly expensive for complicated tasks many workers routinely perform.
On the bright side, this might give us time to adjust our institutions to the new reality.
Thoughts?